{"id":150836,"date":"2020-04-14T14:04:49","date_gmt":"2020-04-14T11:04:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=150836"},"modified":"2020-04-14T14:04:49","modified_gmt":"2020-04-14T11:04:49","slug":"neft-bahalasacaq-yoxsa-sad%c9%99c%c9%99-ucuzlasma-dayandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=150836","title":{"rendered":"Neft bahala\u015facaq, yoxsa sad\u0259c\u0259, ucuzla\u015fma dayand\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

P\u0259rviz Heyd\u0259rov yaz\u0131r…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cOPEC+\u201d \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin m\u0259lum raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131ndan sonra \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck sual odur ki, neftin qiym\u0259ti sabitl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259kmi? D\u0259qiq qeyd ets\u0259m, h\u0259tta sual bel\u0259 qoyulur ki, bahala\u015facaqm\u0131? \u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n qeyd edim ki, bahala\u015fmadan s\u00f6hb\u0259t ged\u0259 bilm\u0259z. Sad\u0259c\u0259 olaraq, sabitl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 ola bil\u0259r ki, bu da art\u0131q ad\u0131\u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n quruma aid \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin yenid\u0259n bir araya g\u0259ldikl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcruz\u0259 verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b.<\/p>\n

M\u0259qs\u0259d d\u0259 m\u0259hz bundan ibar\u0259t idi. Y\u0259ni qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin k\u0259skin eni\u015finin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq v\u0259 ifrat ucuzla\u015fmaya son qoymaq. Bu da t\u0259sad\u00fcfi deyil. Qiym\u0259tl\u0259r 20 AB\u015e dollar\u0131nad\u0259k enmi\u015fdi v\u0259 h\u0259tta bu h\u0259ddi d\u0259 ke\u00e7m\u0259k t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259si il\u0259 \u00fczb\u0259\u00fcz qalm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n

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Do\u011frudur, qeyd edil\u0259 bil\u0259r ki, qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin 20 dollardan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011fu vaxtlar olub. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, ke\u00e7\u0259n \u0259srin 90-c\u0131 ill\u0259rinin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259, habel\u0259 2001-ci ild\u0259 17-18 dollar qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. Lakin bir m\u0259qam var ki, h\u0259min d\u00f6vrl\u0259rd\u0259 AB\u015e valyutas\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131q qabiliyy\u0259ti indikind\u0259n art\u0131q idi v\u0259 20-30 il bundan qabaq, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 20 dollar indiki 30-32 dollar g\u00fcc\u00fcnd\u0259 idi.<\/p>\n

Odur ki, real olaraq neftin 20 dollardan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 s\u00f6z\u00fcged\u0259n m\u0259hsul \u00fczr\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131 tarixind\u0259 \u0259n \u201cfaci\u0259vi\u201d h\u0259dd say\u0131la bil\u0259rdi.<\/p>\n

\u00dcst\u0259lik, koronavirusla ba\u011fl\u0131 pandemiya f\u0259lak\u0259ti…<\/p>\n

Buna m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7i kimi yana\u015fmaq, d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n koronavirus b\u0259las\u0131 tamamil\u0259 sovu\u015fub gets\u0259 bel\u0259, onu b\u0259rpa etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn az\u0131 2021-ci ilin sonunad\u0259k g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259k laz\u0131m g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi dem\u0259k idi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnki neftin d\u00fcnya bazar qiym\u0259ti qlobal iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201conun n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 oksigenl\u0259 t\u0259min edildiyi\u201d g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 xam neft \u00fczr\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259td\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xmas\u0131 qlobal iqtisadiyyat v\u0259 apar\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn arzuolunmaz n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r do\u011furar, idar\u0259etm\u0259nin itm\u0259si dem\u0259k olar.<\/p>\n

Qeyd olunanlar s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n birinci n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 AB\u015e \u00f6z\u00fc narahat olma\u011fa ba\u015flad\u0131. Mart\u0131n 31-d\u0259 AB\u015e Prezidenti Donald Trampla Rusiya Prezidenti Vladimir Putin aras\u0131nda telefon dan\u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011fu bar\u0259d\u0259 yay\u0131lan m\u0259lumatda h\u0259r iki d\u00f6vl\u0259t ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n neftin d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131nda m\u00f6vcud qiym\u0259t s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin n\u0259 AB\u015e, n\u0259 d\u0259 Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rf\u0259li olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n dil\u0259 g\u0259tirildiyi he\u00e7 d\u0259 t\u0259sad\u00fcf\u0259n qeyd olunmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z\u00fcged\u0259n m\u0259lumata dair yazm\u0131\u015fd\u0131m ki, v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 h\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin d\u00f6vl\u0259t ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259 kimi add\u0131m ataca\u011f\u0131 – bunu m\u00fczakir\u0259 edib-etm\u0259dikl\u0259ri b\u0259lli deyil. Lakin m\u00f6vcud v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259n b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin \u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kdiyi – AB\u015e-da neft s\u0259nayesinin \u00e7\u00f6km\u0259kd\u0259 oldu\u011fu, Rusiyada b\u00fct\u00fcn n\u00f6v makroiqtisadi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin, dayan\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl\u0259 u\u011frama\u011fa ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131nda is\u0259 investisiya imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fck\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayd\u0131n idi.<\/p>\n

Bu, b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201c\u0259yl\u0259cin bas\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 q\u0131saqapanma\u201d dem\u0259k idi.<\/p>\n

Onu qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, bilavasit\u0259 neft bazar\u0131n\u0131n koronavirusun yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259sirl\u0259r\u0259 bundan sonra davam g\u0259tirm\u0259k imkan\u0131 maksimum 3-4 ay ola bil\u0259rdi. S\u00f6z\u00fcged\u0259n b\u0259la ilin sonunad\u0259k davam ets\u0259, neftin qiym\u0259ti 2022-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r 30 dollara \u00e7atmayacaqd\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlardan \u0259n \u00e7ox \u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259k\u0259n is\u0259, t\u0259bii ki, ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f \u015etatlar olacaqd\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnki AB\u015e-\u0131n enerji sektorunda 10 milyondan \u00e7ox adam \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Odur ki, \u201cOPEC+\u201d \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin bir araya g\u0259lm\u0259sind\u0259 AB\u015e-\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck rolu oldu. Bunu sonuncu raz\u0131la\u015fmada Meksikan\u0131n n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirdiyi \u201c\u0259rk\u00f6y\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u201d \u0259v\u0259zini m\u0259hz AB\u015e-\u0131n \u00e7\u0131xaca\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 bunu \u00f6z boynuna g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259si \u0259yani s\u00fcbut etdi. Bel\u0259 ki, Meksika t\u0259r\u0259fi g\u00fcnd\u0259lik hasilat\u0131 400 min barel \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, 100 min azaldacaq. Yerd\u0259 qalan 300 min bareli is\u0259 AB\u015e \u0259lav\u0259 olaraq azaltma\u011fa boyun olub.<\/p>\n

Diqq\u0259t\u00e7\u0259k\u0259n dig\u0259r m\u0259qam is\u0259 OPEC v\u0259 qeyri-OPEC \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n hasilat\u0131n m\u0259hz iki il \u0259rzind\u0259 – may\u0131n 1-d\u0259n 2022-ci ilin aprelin\u0259d\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259 \u00fczr\u0259 – 9,7-8-6 milyon barel azald\u0131lmas\u0131 haqda q\u0259rar\u0131n q\u0259bul edilm\u0259sidir.<\/p>\n

Y\u0259ni b\u00fct\u00fcn bu c\u0259h\u0259tl\u0259r g\u00f6st\u0259rdi ki, \u0259sas m\u0259qs\u0259d xam neft \u00fczr\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda n\u0259zar\u0259tsizliy\u0259 yol verm\u0259m\u0259kdir, ba\u015f vermi\u015f par\u00e7alanman\u0131n d\u0259rin\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259sinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaqd\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki OPEC+ \u00f6t\u0259n m\u00fcdd\u0259t \u0259rzind\u0259 – 2017-2019-cu ill\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 bazarda b\u00f6y\u00fck t\u0259nziml\u0259yici g\u00fcc\u0259 malik oldu\u011funu \u0259yani g\u00f6st\u0259rib.<\/p>\n

Bel\u0259 ki, 2014-2016-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 neftin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri ald\u0131. 2017-2019-cu ill\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 AB\u015e bu qurumun m\u00f6vqeyin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 idi. Lakin g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, indi Va\u015finqton \u00f6z\u00fc OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin mart\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259rind\u0259 m\u0259lum par\u00e7alanmadan sonra t\u0259krar bir araya g\u0259lm\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259lledici rol oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Q\u0131sas\u0131, OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin raz\u0131l\u0131\u011fa g\u0259lm\u0259si neftin qiym\u0259tinin 20 dollarad\u0259k v\u0259 bundan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131. Amma qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin normal temp\u0259 qay\u0131tmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qlobal iqtisadi aktivliyin b\u0259rpas\u0131 z\u0259ruridir. Y\u0259ni koronavirus m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si yox olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u018fks t\u0259qdird\u0259, neftin qiym\u0259ti yen\u0259 20 dollara do\u011fru v\u0259 bundan da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru dart\u0131la bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n is\u0259 n\u0259 vaxt yox olaca\u011f\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259lik m\u0259lum deyil.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0259rviz Heyd\u0259rov yaz\u0131r… \u201cOPEC+\u201d \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin m\u0259lum raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131ndan sonra \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck sual odur ki, neftin qiym\u0259ti sabitl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259kmi? D\u0259qiq qeyd ets\u0259m, h\u0259tta sual bel\u0259 qoyulur ki, bahala\u015facaqm\u0131? \u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n qeyd edim ki, bahala\u015fmadan s\u00f6hb\u0259t ged\u0259 bilm\u0259z. Sad\u0259c\u0259 olaraq, sabitl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 ola bil\u0259r ki, bu da art\u0131q ad\u0131\u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n quruma aid \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin yenid\u0259n bir araya g\u0259ldikl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcruz\u0259 verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. M\u0259qs\u0259d d\u0259 m\u0259hz bundan ibar\u0259t idi. Y\u0259ni qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin k\u0259skin eni\u015finin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq v\u0259 ifrat ucuzla\u015fmaya son qoymaq. Bu da t\u0259sad\u00fcfi deyil. Qiym\u0259tl\u0259r 20 AB\u015e dollar\u0131nad\u0259k enmi\u015fdi v\u0259 h\u0259tta bu h\u0259ddi d\u0259 ke\u00e7m\u0259k t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259si il\u0259 \u00fczb\u0259\u00fcz…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":150837,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/perviz.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"P\u0259rviz Heyd\u0259rov yaz\u0131r… \u201cOPEC+\u201d \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin m\u0259lum raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131ndan sonra \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck sual odur ki, neftin qiym\u0259ti sabitl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259kmi? D\u0259qiq qeyd ets\u0259m, h\u0259tta sual bel\u0259 qoyulur ki, bahala\u015facaqm\u0131? \u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n qeyd edim ki, bahala\u015fmadan s\u00f6hb\u0259t ged\u0259 bilm\u0259z. Sad\u0259c\u0259 olaraq, sabitl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 ola bil\u0259r ki, bu da art\u0131q ad\u0131\u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n quruma aid \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin yenid\u0259n bir araya g\u0259ldikl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcruz\u0259 verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b.…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150836"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=150836"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150836\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/150837"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=150836"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=150836"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=150836"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}