{"id":159622,"date":"2020-05-05T14:25:40","date_gmt":"2020-05-05T11:25:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=159622"},"modified":"2020-05-05T14:25:40","modified_gmt":"2020-05-05T11:25:40","slug":"yayda-d%c9%99hs%c9%99tli-istil%c9%99r-olacaq-umayra-tagiyeva-aciqladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=159622","title":{"rendered":"Yayda d\u0259h\u015f\u0259tli istil\u0259r olacaq? – Umayra Ta\u011f\u0131yeva A\u00c7IQLADI"},"content":{"rendered":"

X\u0259b\u0259r verdiyimiz kimi, NASA-n\u0131n Kosmos Ara\u015fd\u0131rmalar\u0131 \u0130nstitutunun direktoru Qavin \u015emit ara\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131nda 2020-ci ild\u0259 planetd\u0259 havan\u0131n temperaturunun rekord h\u0259dd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yini qeyd edib. Yer k\u00fcr\u0259sinin bel\u0259 bir durumla \u00fczl\u0259\u015fm\u0259k ehtimal\u0131 60 faizdir. Milli Okean v\u0259 Atmosfer M\u0259rk\u0259zind\u0259n (NOAA) veril\u0259n a\u00e7\u0131qlamada is\u0259 bu nisb\u0259tin 75 faiz oldu\u011fu bildirilir.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259, 2020-ci ilin indiy\u0259d\u0259k m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmu\u015f 5 isti ild\u0259n biri olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

“Haz\u0131rda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n m\u00fcasir avadanl\u0131qlarla t\u0259chiz olunmu\u015f meteorologiya t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131 bel\u0259 80%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259qiqlikl\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli proqnoz verm\u0259k imkan\u0131na malik deyil”.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bunu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 Publika.az\u00a0-a a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda Ekologiya v\u0259 T\u0259bii S\u0259rv\u0259tl\u0259r Nazirliyi yan\u0131nda Milli Hidrometeorologiya Xidm\u0259tinin r\u0259hb\u0259ri Umayra Ta\u011f\u0131yeva deyib.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

O bildirib ki, iqlim prosesl\u0259rinin t\u0259bi\u0259tind\u0259 \u00e7ox sayda birba\u015fa v\u0259 dolay\u0131s\u0131 as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131qlar m\u00f6vcuddur:<\/p>\n

“Yay\u0131n \u00e7ox da uzaqda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq, t\u0259bii ki, onun nec\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131 sual\u0131 az \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t k\u0259sb etmir. D\u00fcnya iqlim m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259rinin iqlim\u015f\u00fcnaslar\u0131 bu sual\u0131 cavabland\u0131rma\u011fa c\u0259hd edir. Havan\u0131n m\u00f6vs\u00fcmi proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 kimi \u00e7ox vacib m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259nin h\u0259llind\u0259 k\u00f6m\u0259y\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rman\u0131n r\u0259q\u0259msal modell\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259si g\u0259lir. M\u00fcxt\u0259lif m\u0259nal\u0131, modullardan ibar\u0259t modell\u0259r v\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn variantlarda bu suala cavablar m\u00f6vcuddur. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, h\u0259r bir m\u00fcmk\u00fcn versiyalar\u0131n h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259uy\u011funlu\u011fu 40-60 % t\u0259\u015fkil edir.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n t\u0259sirl\u0259rin b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u00fcmk\u00fcn variantlar\u0131n\u0131n, onlar\u0131n intensivliyinin, \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tinin, bel\u0259 uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t\u0259 d\u0259qiqlikl\u0259 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn regionlar\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259 ki, iqlim\u015f\u00fcnasl\u0131q v\u0259 meteorologiya elmi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259l\u00e7atmaz bir m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259dir”.<\/p>\n

U.Ta\u011f\u0131yeva ajiotaj yaradan, ger\u00e7\u0259klik pay\u0131 olmayan m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u0259leyhin\u0259 oldu\u011funu v\u0259 meteorologiya t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n\u0131n uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli proqnoz verm\u0259k imkan\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirib:<\/p>\n

“Tam s\u0259mimi siz\u0259 bildirir\u0259m ki, haz\u0131rk\u0131 d\u00f6n\u0259md\u0259 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n m\u00fcasir avadanl\u0131qlarla t\u0259chiz olunmu\u015f meteorologiya t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131 bel\u0259 80%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259qiqlikl\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli proqnoz verm\u0259k imkan\u0131na malik deyil. \u00dcmumd\u00fcnya iqlim m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259rinin m\u0259lumatlar\u0131nda m\u00f6vs\u00fcm \u00fczr\u0259 qlobal orta temperaturun 0,8-1 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k olaca\u011f\u0131 60 faizlik t\u0259minatla deyilir. Bunu n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq, b\u0259zi adamlar\u0131n yayda g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259y\u0259n istil\u0259rin olaca\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar inaml\u0131 proqnoz verm\u0259l\u0259ri bar\u0259d\u0259 \u015f\u0259rhl\u0259ri m\u0259ni \u00e7ox t\u0259\u0259cc\u00fcbl\u0259ndirir. Yer k\u00fcr\u0259si kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r b\u00f6y\u00fck miqyasa malik oldu\u011fundan, \u0259lb\u0259tt\u0259 ki, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n hans\u0131sa bir n\u00f6qt\u0259sind\u0259, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Tailandda v\u0259 ya Nevadada bu, uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli proqnoz \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frulda bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Son onillikl\u0259rd\u0259 iqlimin qlobal istil\u0259\u015fm\u0259si il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan \u00fcmumi tendensiya il\u0259 hans\u0131sa d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 raz\u0131la\u015fmaq olar. Lakin planetin h\u0259r bir regionunda bu proses \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 xas olan individuall\u0131qla ke\u00e7ir \u2013 sad\u0259 dild\u0259 des\u0259k, il-il\u0259 uy\u011fun g\u0259lmir.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6r\u0259, deyil\u0259nl\u0259ri yekunla\u015fd\u0131raraq, son ill\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olundu\u011fu kimi Az\u0259rbaycanda istilik dal\u011falar\u0131n\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ehtimal etm\u0259k olar. Bu deyiml\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycanda 5 v\u0259 daha \u00e7ox g\u00fcnl\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 35 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259n yuxar\u0131 temperaturun m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Ekologiya v\u0259 T\u0259bii S\u0259rv\u0259tl\u0259r Nazirliyinin Milli Hidrometeorologiya Xidm\u0259ti m\u00fcnt\u0259z\u0259m hava proqnozu il\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259r 2-3 g\u00fcn \u00f6nc\u0259d\u0259n g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n isti hava dal\u011falar\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 meteoh\u0259ssas insanlar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn tibbi-meteoroloji t\u00f6vsiy\u0259l\u0259rini verm\u0259kl\u0259 \u0259halini m\u0259lumatland\u0131racaq”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

X\u0259b\u0259r verdiyimiz kimi, NASA-n\u0131n Kosmos Ara\u015fd\u0131rmalar\u0131 \u0130nstitutunun direktoru Qavin \u015emit ara\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131nda 2020-ci ild\u0259 planetd\u0259 havan\u0131n temperaturunun rekord h\u0259dd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yini qeyd edib. Yer k\u00fcr\u0259sinin bel\u0259 bir durumla \u00fczl\u0259\u015fm\u0259k ehtimal\u0131 60 faizdir. Milli Okean v\u0259 Atmosfer M\u0259rk\u0259zind\u0259n (NOAA) veril\u0259n a\u00e7\u0131qlamada is\u0259 bu nisb\u0259tin 75 faiz oldu\u011fu bildirilir. Ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259, 2020-ci ilin indiy\u0259d\u0259k m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmu\u015f 5 isti ild\u0259n biri olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. “Haz\u0131rda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n m\u00fcasir avadanl\u0131qlarla t\u0259chiz olunmu\u015f meteorologiya t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131 bel\u0259 80%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259qiqlikl\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli proqnoz verm\u0259k imkan\u0131na malik deyil”. Bunu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 Publika.az\u00a0-a a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda Ekologiya v\u0259 T\u0259bii S\u0259rv\u0259tl\u0259r Nazirliyi yan\u0131nda Milli…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":159623,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama-300x169.jpg",300,169,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",640,360,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/istiaciqlama.jpg",800,450,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Hava<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"X\u0259b\u0259r verdiyimiz kimi, NASA-n\u0131n Kosmos Ara\u015fd\u0131rmalar\u0131 \u0130nstitutunun direktoru Qavin \u015emit ara\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131nda 2020-ci ild\u0259 planetd\u0259 havan\u0131n temperaturunun rekord h\u0259dd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yini qeyd edib. Yer k\u00fcr\u0259sinin bel\u0259 bir durumla \u00fczl\u0259\u015fm\u0259k ehtimal\u0131 60 faizdir. Milli Okean v\u0259 Atmosfer M\u0259rk\u0259zind\u0259n (NOAA) veril\u0259n a\u00e7\u0131qlamada is\u0259 bu nisb\u0259tin 75 faiz oldu\u011fu bildirilir. Ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259, 2020-ci ilin indiy\u0259d\u0259k m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmu\u015f 5 isti ild\u0259n…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159622"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=159622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159622\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/159623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=159622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=159622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=159622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}