M\u04d9rk\u04d9zi Bank \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn pul siyas\u04d9tini n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u04d9 qlobal v\u04d9 daxili iqtisadi meyill\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 proqnozlar\u0131 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 almaqla h\u04d9yata ke\u00e7ir\u04d9c\u04d9k.<\/p>\n
Q\u00fcvv\u04d9d\u04d9 qalan epidemioloji riskl\u04d9r v\u04d9 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131ndaki \u00fcmumi qeyri-m\u00fc\u04d9yy\u04d9nlik 2021-ci ild\u04d9 b\u04d9rpa prosesinin t\u04d9drici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u04d9rir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun cari ilin oktyabr\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 proqnozlara g\u00f6r\u04d9, 2021-ci ild\u04d9 qlobal iqtisadi art\u0131m 5,2 faiz\u00a0olacaq. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 3,9 faiz, inki\u015faf etm\u04d9kd\u04d9 olan \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 6 faiz iqtisadi art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. COVID-19 \u04d9leyhin\u04d9 vaksinasiya prosesinin art\u0131q ba\u015flamas\u0131 bu proqnozlar\u0131n realla\u015fmas\u0131 il\u04d9 ba\u011fl\u0131 nikbinlik yarad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u0130qtisadi aktivliyi d\u04d9st\u04d9kl\u04d9m\u04d9k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u04d9 apar\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9rd\u04d9 fiskal v\u04d9 monetar siyas\u04d9tl\u04d9rin stimulla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 imkanlar\u0131ndan istifad\u04d9 edil\u04d9c\u04d9yi g\u00f6zl\u04d9nilir.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca g\u00fcc m\u04d9rk\u04d9zl\u04d9rind\u04d9 m\u04d9rk\u04d9zi banklar\u0131n k\u04d9miyy\u04d9t yum\u015fald\u0131lmas\u0131 siyas\u04d9tl\u04d9rinin davam etdiril\u04d9c\u04d9yi ehtimal\u0131 y\u00fcks\u04d9kdir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 faiz d\u04d9r\u04d9c\u04d9l\u04d9ri m\u00fchitinin b\u00fct\u00fcn il boyu davam ed\u04d9c\u04d9yi g\u00f6zl\u04d9nilir.<\/p>\n
Az\u04d9rbaycan\u0131n ticar\u04d9t t\u04d9r\u04d9fda\u015flar\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9rd\u04d9 iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n 2021-ci ild\u04d9 5 faiz t\u04d9\u015fkil ed\u04d9c\u04d9yi ehtimal olunur. M\u00f6vcud qeyri-m\u00fc\u04d9yy\u04d9nlikl\u04d9r \u015f\u04d9raitind\u04d9 t\u04d9r\u04d9fda\u015f \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9rin maliyy\u04d9 bazarlar\u0131nda yeni k\u04d9skin d\u04d9yi\u015fk\u04d9nlikl\u04d9r dal\u011fas\u0131 istisna edilmir.<\/p>\n
Qlobal \u04d9mt\u04d9\u04d9 bazarlar\u0131 il\u04d9 ba\u011fl\u0131 da qeyri-m\u00fc\u04d9yy\u04d9nlikl\u04d9r y\u00fcks\u04d9k olaraq qal\u0131r. M\u00fcxt\u04d9lif \u04d9mt\u04d9\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 d\u00fcnya qiym\u04d9tl\u04d9rinin f\u04d9rqli istiqam\u04d9tl\u04d9rd\u04d9 d\u04d9yi\u015fm\u04d9si istisna edilmir.<\/p>\n
Son vaxtlarda m\u00fcxt\u04d9lif \u04d9cza\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q \u015firk\u04d9tl\u04d9rinin t\u04d9hl\u00fck\u04d9siz v\u04d9 t\u04d9sirli COVID-19 peyv\u04d9ndinin istehsal\u0131 istiqam\u04d9tind\u04d9 ir\u04d9lil\u04d9yi\u015fl\u04d9ri neft bazar\u0131na m\u00fcsb\u04d9t t\u04d9sir g\u00f6st\u04d9rib. Yenil\u04d9nmi\u015f proqnozlar 2021-ci ild\u04d9 neft\u04d9 olan g\u00fcnd\u04d9lik t\u04d9l\u04d9bat\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u04d9rir. Qeyd olunanlar\u0131 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 alaraq bir s\u0131ra analitik m\u04d9rk\u04d9zl\u04d9r dekabrda 2021-ci il\u04d9 neft qiym\u04d9ti proqnozunu art\u0131rmaq istiqam\u04d9tind\u04d9 d\u04d9yi\u015fibl\u04d9r. Ba\u015fl\u0131ca analitik m\u04d9rk\u04d9zl\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 2021-ci il\u04d9 konsensus qiym\u04d9t 1 barel\u04d9 g\u00f6r\u04d9 48 AB\u015e dollar\u0131 s\u04d9viyy\u04d9sind\u04d9 qiym\u04d9tl\u04d9ndirilir. Bununla bel\u04d9 t\u04d9klifin art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u04d9t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 m\u04d9hdudla\u015fd\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u04d9nilir. Dig\u04d9r t\u04d9r\u04d9fd\u04d9n pandemiyan\u0131n texnoloji innovasiyalara verdiyi t\u04d9kan da n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 al\u0131nmaqla neft m\u04d9hsullar\u0131na t\u04d9l\u04d9bd\u04d9 uzunm\u00fcdd\u04d9tli azalma meylinin davam ed\u04d9c\u04d9yi ehtimal olunur.<\/p>\n
Pandemiya il\u04d9 ba\u011fl\u0131 t\u04d9klifin azalmas\u0131 \u015f\u04d9raitind\u04d9 d\u00fcnya \u04d9rzaq qiym\u04d9tl\u04d9rind\u04d9 cari ild\u04d9 ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f bahala\u015fman\u0131n davam ed\u04d9c\u04d9yi proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u04d9 2021-ci ild\u04d9 qiym\u04d9tl\u04d9rin k\u04d9nd t\u04d9s\u04d9rr\u00fcfat\u0131 m\u04d9hsullar\u0131 \u00fczr\u04d9 1,4 faiz artaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u04d9nilir.<\/p>\n
Qlobal iqtisadi aktivlikd\u04d9 b\u04d9rpa qlobal ticar\u04d9t\u04d9\u00a0m\u00fcsb\u04d9t t\u04d9sir ed\u04d9c\u04d9k. \u00dcmumd\u00fcnya Ticar\u04d9t T\u04d9\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u04d9, 2021-ci ild\u04d9 qlobal ticar\u04d9tin art\u0131m tempi 7,2 faiz t\u04d9\u015fkil ed\u04d9c\u04d9k.<\/p>\n
Baza ssenari \u00fczr\u04d9 proqnozlar n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 Az\u04d9rbaycanda xarici v\u04d9 daxili balans g\u00f6st\u04d9ricil\u04d9rinin 2020-ci il\u04d9 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9n yax\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u04d9rir.<\/p>\n
2021-ci ild\u04d9 Az\u04d9rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n real sektorunda iqtisadi aktivliyin t\u04d9dric\u04d9n b\u04d9rpa olunaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. R\u04d9smi proqnozlara g\u00f6r\u04d9, 2021-ci ild\u04d9 real iqtisadi art\u0131m tempinin baza ssenarisi \u00fczr\u04d9 3,4 faiz, o c\u00fcml\u04d9d\u04d9n qeyri-neft sektoru \u00fczr\u04d9 3,1 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u04d9nilir. Xarici t\u04d9l\u04d9bin b\u04d9rpas\u0131 prosesinin ba\u015flanmas\u0131, el\u04d9c\u04d9 d\u04d9 t\u04d9xir\u04d9 sal\u0131nm\u0131\u015f t\u04d9l\u04d9b hesab\u0131na daxili t\u04d9l\u04d9bin b\u04d9rpas\u0131 iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n b\u04d9rpas\u0131 proqnozunun \u04d9sas\u0131nda dayan\u0131r. Makroiqtisadi sabitliyin qorunmas\u0131 2021-ci ild\u04d9 iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n \u00f6z potensial\u0131na yax\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131na \u015f\u04d9rait yaradan \u04d9sas amill\u04d9rd\u04d9n biri olacaq. Kontr-tsiklik makroiqtisadi siyas\u04d9t v\u04d9 i\u015f\u011faldan azad olunmu\u015f \u04d9razil\u04d9rd\u04d9 b\u04d9rpa i\u015fl\u04d9rinin ba\u015flanmas\u0131 da 2021-ci ild\u04d9 iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n \u04d9sas drayverl\u04d9rini canland\u0131racaq.<\/p>\n
T\u04d9qdim edilmi\u015f b\u00fcdc\u04d9 layih\u04d9sin\u04d9 \u04d9sas\u04d9n n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u00f6vl\u04d9t b\u00fcdc\u04d9si x\u04d9rcl\u04d9rinin 2020-ci il\u04d9 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9n 3,8 faiz, o c\u00fcml\u04d9d\u04d9n \u04d9sasl\u0131 x\u04d9rcl\u04d9rin 7,9 faiz art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. N\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 \u201cfiskal f\u04d9za\u201ddan kontr-tsiklik olaraq istifad\u04d9 olunmas\u0131 makroiqtisadi sabitliyin qorunmas\u0131 bax\u0131m\u0131ndan da \u04d9h\u04d9miyy\u04d9tlidir.<\/p>\n
Ortam\u00fcdd\u04d9tli d\u00f6vr\u04d9 is\u04d9 yeni iqtisadi reall\u0131qlar n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 al\u0131nmaqla yeni makrofiskal \u00e7\u04d9r\u00e7iv\u04d9y\u04d9 ke\u00e7id diqq\u04d9td\u04d9 saxlan\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bundan ba\u015fqa d\u00f6vl\u04d9t b\u00fcdc\u04d9si k\u04d9sirinin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn q\u04d9d\u04d9r azald\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u04d9 onun dayan\u0131ql\u0131 qeyri-inflyasyon m\u04d9nb\u04d9l\u04d9rl\u04d9 maliyy\u04d9l\u04d9\u015fdirilm\u04d9si fiskal prioritetl\u04d9rd\u04d9n olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
2021-ci ild\u04d9 daxili balans \u00fczr\u04d9 qeyd olunan proqnozlar\u0131n realla\u015fmas\u0131 makroiqtisadi siyas\u04d9tin b\u00fct\u00fcn istiqam\u04d9tl\u04d9rinin effektiv koordinasiyas\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
M\u04d9rk\u04d9zi Bank \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn pul siyas\u04d9tini n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u04d9 qlobal v\u04d9 daxili iqtisadi meyill\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 proqnozlar\u0131 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 almaqla h\u04d9yata ke\u00e7ir\u04d9c\u04d9k. Q\u00fcvv\u04d9d\u04d9 qalan epidemioloji riskl\u04d9r v\u04d9 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131ndaki \u00fcmumi qeyri-m\u00fc\u04d9yy\u04d9nlik 2021-ci ild\u04d9 b\u04d9rpa prosesinin t\u04d9drici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u04d9rir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun cari ilin oktyabr\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 proqnozlara g\u00f6r\u04d9, 2021-ci ild\u04d9 qlobal iqtisadi art\u0131m 5,2 faiz\u00a0olacaq. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 3,9 faiz, inki\u015faf etm\u04d9kd\u04d9 olan \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 6 faiz iqtisadi art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. COVID-19 \u04d9leyhin\u04d9 vaksinasiya prosesinin art\u0131q ba\u015flamas\u0131 bu proqnozlar\u0131n realla\u015fmas\u0131 il\u04d9 ba\u011fl\u0131 nikbinlik yarad\u0131r. \u0130qtisadi aktivliyi d\u04d9st\u04d9kl\u04d9m\u04d9k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u04d9 apar\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9rd\u04d9 fiskal…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":261981,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/pexels-photo-4475524-scaled.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"M\u04d9rk\u04d9zi Bank \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn pul siyas\u04d9tini n\u00f6vb\u04d9ti ild\u04d9 d\u04d9 qlobal v\u04d9 daxili iqtisadi meyill\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9 proqnozlar\u0131 n\u04d9z\u04d9r\u04d9 almaqla h\u04d9yata ke\u00e7ir\u04d9c\u04d9k. Q\u00fcvv\u04d9d\u04d9 qalan epidemioloji riskl\u04d9r v\u04d9 d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131ndaki \u00fcmumi qeyri-m\u00fc\u04d9yy\u04d9nlik 2021-ci ild\u04d9 b\u04d9rpa prosesinin t\u04d9drici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u04d9rir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun cari ilin oktyabr\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 proqnozlara g\u00f6r\u04d9, 2021-ci ild\u04d9 qlobal iqtisadi art\u0131m 5,2 faiz\u00a0olacaq. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u04d9l\u04d9r \u00fczr\u04d9…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/261980"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=261980"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/261980\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/261981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=261980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=261980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=261980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}