{"id":477679,"date":"2022-05-23T10:45:49","date_gmt":"2022-05-23T07:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=477679"},"modified":"2022-05-23T10:45:49","modified_gmt":"2022-05-23T07:45:49","slug":"rusiya-d%c9%99rin-iqtisadi-bohran-gozl%c9%99yir-z%c9%99r%c9%99r-100-milyard-dollara-catdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=477679","title":{"rendered":"Rusiya d\u0259rin iqtisadi b\u00f6hran g\u00f6zl\u0259yir: Z\u0259r\u0259r 100 milyard dollara \u00e7atd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Embarqo tam q\u00fcvv\u0259y\u0259 min\u0259nd\u0259n sonra Rusiyan\u0131n neft ixrac\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 7 milyon bareld\u0259n 3 milyona d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozlar\u0131 b\u0259dbindir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun hesablamalar\u0131na istinad\u0259n bildirirl\u0259r ki, Rusiyada \u00dcDM cari ild\u0259 8 faiz, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 2 faiz azalacaq. \u00d6lk\u0259nin d\u0259rin iqtisadi b\u00f6hranla qar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259xmin edilir.<\/p>\n

M\u00f6vzuyla ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0q\u0259zetinin m\u0259qal\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edirik.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Ukraynaya m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n Q\u0259rbin Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259tbiq etdiyi sanksiyalar\u0131n ard\u0131-aras\u0131 k\u0259silmir. Daha radikal olacaq n\u00f6vb\u0259ti, alt\u0131nc\u0131 qada\u011falar paketi d\u0259 Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kd\u00fcrm\u0259yi planlay\u0131r. Art\u0131q iqtisad\u00e7\u0131lar Rusiyaya d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k ziyan\u0131n m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fini d\u0259 hesablay\u0131blar \u2013 t\u0259qrib\u0259n 100 milyard dollar. Kreml ideoloqlar\u0131 v\u0259 medias\u0131 sanksiyalara baxmayaraq rublun m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndiyini iddia etm\u0259kd\u0259 davam edirl\u0259r. Rublun dollar qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sabitl\u0259\u015fdiyini vur\u011fulasalar da, alq\u0131-satq\u0131 faktiki olaraq yoxdur. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti sanksiyalardan s\u00f6z d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015fk\u0259n, art\u0131q \u201cB\u00f6y\u00fck yeddilik\u201d liderl\u0259ri Rusiya neftin\u0259 embarqonun t\u0259tbiqin\u0259 raz\u0131l\u0131q veribl\u0259r. AB\u015e, B\u00f6y\u00fck Britaniya v\u0259 Kanada bu qada\u011fan\u0131 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 g\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259l t\u0259tbiq edib. \u0130ndi is\u0259 Yaponiya v\u0259 Avropan\u0131n bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259 embarqoya raz\u0131d\u0131r. Son g\u00fcnl\u0259r\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r s\u0259rt q\u0259rarlar\u0131n q\u0259bul edil\u0259c\u0259yi o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcrd\u00fc. Lakin m\u00f6vcud atmosfer d\u0259yi\u015fir v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin Rusiya neftind\u0259n imtinas\u0131, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla t\u0259sdiql\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k. 100 faizlik embarqo il yar\u0131m sonra realla\u015facaq.<\/p>\n

Neft ixrac\u0131 3 milyon barel\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusiya qaz\u0131ndan imtinaya g\u0259ldikd\u0259 is\u0259, ondan iki il \u0259rzind\u0259 qurtulmaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacaq. 2021-ci ild\u0259 Rusiyada neft v\u0259 neft m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n ixrac\u0131ndan xalis g\u0259lir \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 (g\u00fcn \u0259rzind\u0259 7 mln. barel, t\u0259xmin\u0259n 110 mlrd. dollar) olub. \u018fg\u0259r embarqo tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 q\u00fcvv\u0259y\u0259 min\u0259rs\u0259, o zaman Rusiyan\u0131n neft ixrac\u0131 7 mln. bareld\u0259n 3 mln-a d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozlar\u0131 b\u0259dbindir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun hesablamalar\u0131na istinad\u0259n bildirirl\u0259r ki, Rusiyada \u00dcDM cari ild\u0259 8 faiz, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 2 faiz azalacaq. \u00dcDM-in azalmas\u0131 adamba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u0259n milli g\u0259lirin azalmas\u0131, i\u015fsizliyin artmas\u0131 m\u0259nas\u0131na g\u0259lir. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, \u00dcDM-nin azalmas\u0131 il\u0259 paralel \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Rusiya qar\u015f\u0131dak\u0131 vaxtlarda \u00e7ox ciddi iqtisadi probleml\u0259rl\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015fm\u0259li olacaq. Apar\u0131lan ara\u015fd\u0131rmalara g\u00f6r\u0259, Rusiyan\u0131n bu il v\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n il d\u0259rin iqtisadi b\u00f6hranla qar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259xmin edilir.<\/p>\n

24 faizlik inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 2021-ci ilin sonunda 1 trilyon 775 milyard dollar civar\u0131nda d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndirilib. Bu r\u0259q\u0259m 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 1 trilyon 600 milyard dollara q\u0259d\u0259r geril\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Bu, Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259\u00e7arpacaq \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 ki\u00e7il\u0259c\u0259yind\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir. \u0130nflyasiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u0259n \u00f6n\u0259mli faktorlardan biri istehlak\u00e7\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri indeksidir. \u0130stehlak\u00e7\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259 indeksin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Rusiyada 24 faizlik inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Apar\u0131lan hesablamalara g\u00f6r\u0259, 2022-2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259r aras\u0131nda Rusiyada investisiya qoyulu\u015fu \u00dcDM-in 18 faizin\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259r olacaq. Ekspertl\u0259r son g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 rublun dollar qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda qism\u0259n g\u00fccl\u0259nm\u0259sinin d\u0259 h\u0259l\u0259 he\u00e7 n\u0259yi ifad\u0259 etm\u0259diyi q\u0259na\u0259tind\u0259dirl\u0259r. Onlar\u0131n q\u0259na\u0259tinc\u0259, rublun bahala\u015fmas\u0131 inzibati amill\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130xracat azald\u0131qca, valyuta daxilolmas\u0131 da azalacaq v\u0259 bu, rubla ciddi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k.\u00a0 Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, bu, Rusiyan\u0131n enerji resurslar\u0131na sanksiyalar\u0131n n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rdir. \u018fg\u0259r Rusiyan\u0131n neft v\u0259 qaz\u0131ndan ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r imtina olunsa, onda rus iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u0259n a\u011f\u0131r z\u0259rb\u0259ni alm\u0131\u015f olacaq.<\/p>\n

Macar\u0131stan neft embarqosuna qar\u015f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lakin m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcmumi q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131 ne\u00e7\u0259 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, Macar\u0131stan bloklay\u0131b. \u00c7ox g\u00fcman ki, onu da bir ne\u00e7\u0259 g\u00fcn \u0259rzind\u0259 yola g\u0259tir\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. Qeyd etdiyimiz kimi, alt\u0131nc\u0131 sanksiya paketin\u0259 Rusiya neftin\u0259 qada\u011fa da daxildir. Ancaq Macar\u0131stan, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 Slovakiya v\u0259 \u00c7ex Respublikas\u0131 bu plana ehtiyatl\u0131 yana\u015fma s\u0259rgil\u0259yibl\u0259r. A\u0130-nin alt\u0131nc\u0131 sanksiya paketind\u0259 Rusiya neftinin al\u0131nmas\u0131 v\u0259 da\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131na qada\u011fa n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulsa da, 2024-c\u00fc il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Rusiya yanaca\u011f\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olan bu \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6lk\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn istisna n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub. Macar\u0131stan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti is\u0259 bu yum\u015falman\u0131 yet\u0259rli saym\u0131r, dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n t\u0259chizata y\u00f6n\u0259lm\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin kompensasiya olunmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b edir.<\/p>\n

Almaniya imtina ed\u0259c\u0259k<\/strong><\/p>\n

A\u0130 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri n\u00f6vb\u0259ti sanksiya paketind\u0259 yanacaq idxal\u0131na qada\u011fa \u00fczr\u0259 raz\u0131l\u0131\u011fa g\u0259l\u0259 bilm\u0259s\u0259l\u0259r bel\u0259, Almaniya ilin sonunad\u0259k Rusiyadan neft idxal\u0131ndan imtina ed\u0259c\u0259k. M\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rin dediyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Almaniya h\u00f6kum\u0259ti alt\u0131-yeddi ay \u0259rzind\u0259 problemi alternativ m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r hesab\u0131na h\u0259ll ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr. Ancaq neft defisitini hans\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin doldura bil\u0259c\u0259yi a\u00e7\u0131qlanm\u0131r. Almaniya \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, Rusiya fevral\u0131n sonunda Ukraynada m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flayandan Almaniyaya Rusiya neftinin t\u0259dar\u00fck\u00fc 35 faizd\u0259n 12 faiz\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb.\u00a0 M\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, art\u0131q Rusiya neftini \u0259v\u0259z etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn alternativ t\u0259chizat\u00e7\u0131lar axtar\u0131l\u0131r. Almaniya h\u00f6kum\u0259ti Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259tbiq etdiyi sanksiyalar \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 \u00f6z milli plan\u0131n\u0131 i\u015f\u0259 salmaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259 olsa da, k\u0259sirin hans\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r hesab\u0131na ba\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 vahid fikr\u0259 malik deyil.
\nAz\u0259rbaycan alternativ m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda<\/p>\n

Bu arada Avropa \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn alternativ m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n ke\u00e7irilir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan A\u0130-y\u0259 qaz ixrac\u0131n\u0131 bu il 2 milyard kubmetr art\u0131ra, k\u0259m\u0259rin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u0259 uy\u011fun olaraq, dekadan\u0131n sonuna ixrac\u0131 daha da geni\u015fl\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan qaz\u0131n\u0131 Avropaya n\u0259ql ed\u0259n Trans Adriatik k\u0259m\u0259rinin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc is\u0259 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il \u0259rzind\u0259 m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 20 milyard kubmetr\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131rmaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 da Az\u0259rbaycan qaz\u0131n\u0131 q\u0131sa zamanda Bolqar\u0131stana \u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259y\u0259 nail olaca\u011f\u0131na \u00fcmid edir. Bolqar\u0131stan\u0131n qaz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0259s\u0259n Rusiya buna s\u0259b\u0259b kimi bu \u00f6lk\u0259nin rublla \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015f etm\u0259k ist\u0259m\u0259diyini g\u00f6st\u0259rib. Haz\u0131rda Az\u0259rbaycan Bolqar\u0131stana illik 300 milyon kubmetr\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r qaz verir. Bel\u0259likl\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259miz t\u0259k regional deyil, beyn\u0259lxalq miqyasda da rolunu art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olur. Az\u0259rbaycan etibarl\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f oldu\u011funu t\u0259sdiql\u0259yib, enerji sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 he\u00e7 zaman siyasi t\u0259zyiq al\u0259tin\u0259 \u00e7evirm\u0259yib. Faktlar da kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259rdir. \u018fks\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r buna getdiyi halda, Az\u0259rbaycan mavi qaza t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n artd\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman f\u00fcrs\u0259td\u0259n istifad\u0259 edib qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131 il\u0259 sazi\u015fl\u0259rin yenil\u0259nm\u0259sini d\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259b etm\u0259yib. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Avropa \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn c\u0259lbedici \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n birincil\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Embarqo tam q\u00fcvv\u0259y\u0259 min\u0259nd\u0259n sonra Rusiyan\u0131n neft ixrac\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 7 milyon bareld\u0259n 3 milyona d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozlar\u0131 b\u0259dbindir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun hesablamalar\u0131na istinad\u0259n bildirirl\u0259r ki, Rusiyada \u00dcDM cari ild\u0259 8 faiz, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 2 faiz azalacaq. \u00d6lk\u0259nin d\u0259rin iqtisadi b\u00f6hranla qar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259xmin edilir. M\u00f6vzuyla ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d\u00a0q\u0259zetinin m\u0259qal\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edirik. Ukraynaya m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n Q\u0259rbin Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259tbiq etdiyi sanksiyalar\u0131n ard\u0131-aras\u0131 k\u0259silmir. Daha radikal olacaq n\u00f6vb\u0259ti, alt\u0131nc\u0131 qada\u011falar paketi d\u0259 Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kd\u00fcrm\u0259yi planlay\u0131r. Art\u0131q iqtisad\u00e7\u0131lar Rusiyaya d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k ziyan\u0131n m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fini d\u0259 hesablay\u0131blar \u2013 t\u0259qrib\u0259n 100 milyard dollar. Kreml ideoloqlar\u0131 v\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":477680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FotoJet-2-9.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Embarqo tam q\u00fcvv\u0259y\u0259 min\u0259nd\u0259n sonra Rusiyan\u0131n neft ixrac\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 7 milyon bareld\u0259n 3 milyona d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozlar\u0131 b\u0259dbindir. Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun hesablamalar\u0131na istinad\u0259n bildirirl\u0259r ki, Rusiyada \u00dcDM cari ild\u0259 8 faiz, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 2 faiz azalacaq. \u00d6lk\u0259nin d\u0259rin iqtisadi b\u00f6hranla qar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259xmin edilir. M\u00f6vzuyla ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d\u00a0q\u0259zetinin m\u0259qal\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edirik. Ukraynaya m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n Q\u0259rbin…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=477679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/477680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=477679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=477679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=477679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}