{"id":483820,"date":"2022-06-09T08:35:02","date_gmt":"2022-06-09T05:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=483820"},"modified":"2022-06-09T08:35:02","modified_gmt":"2022-06-09T05:35:02","slug":"dunya-bankindan-10-illik-qlobal-bohran-proqnozu-az%c9%99rbaycan-n%c9%99-etsin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=483820","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131ndan 10 illik qlobal b\u00f6hran proqnozu – Az\u0259rbaycan n\u0259 etsin?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Elman Sadiqov: \u201c\u00d6lk\u0259mizin yax\u0131n v\u0259 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131 \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u015fans\u0131 yaran\u0131b\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 qlobal iqtisadiyyatdak\u0131 art\u0131ma dair proqnozunu yenil\u0259yib. Qurum hesab edir ki, 2022-ci ild\u0259 qlobal art\u0131m 4,1 faiz deyil, 2,9 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bank ekspertl\u0259rinin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cD\u00fcnya iqisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n perspektivl\u0259ri\u201d adl\u0131 hesabata g\u00f6r\u0259, cari ild\u0259 bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m deyil, \u0259ksin\u0259, azalma qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nacaq. Hesabat g\u00f6r\u0259, d\u00fcnya 2022-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201cz\u0259if art\u0131m v\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiyan\u0131n uzun s\u00fcr\u0259n d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259\u201d daxil olur.<\/em><\/p>\n

Beyn\u0259lxalq qurum problemi \u0259sas etibaril\u0259 COV\u0130D-19 pandemiyas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirir v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259cav\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u0259 amil oldu\u011funu bildirir. D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n prezidenti Devid Malpas hesabata yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6n s\u00f6zd\u0259 bildirir ki, staqflyasiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259si bu g\u00fcn kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr: \u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259ks\u0259r hiss\u0259sind\u0259 z\u0259if s\u0259rmay\u0259 qoyulu\u015fu s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n artan inflyasiya, ehtimal ki, on il \u0259rzind\u0259 davam ed\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130ndi bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n onillikl\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 t\u0259dar\u00fck art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nildiyi fonda inflyasiyan\u0131n daha uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 daha y\u00fcks\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 qalmas\u0131 riski var\u201d.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 hesab edir ki, qlobal art\u0131m inflyasiyan\u0131n bir \u00e7ox iqtisadiyyatlarda y\u00fcks\u0259k olaraq qalmas\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 2023 v\u0259 2024-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 3 faiz civar\u0131nda olacaq. Qurum AB\u015e-da art\u0131m\u0131n ke\u00e7\u0259n ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 5,7 faiz olmas\u0131na baxmayaraq, bu il yaln\u0131z 2,5 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 qeyd edib. Bank\u0131n proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, Avropada da ke\u00e7\u0259n ilki 5,4 faizlik art\u0131mla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 bu il c\u0259mi 2,5 faiz art\u0131m olacaq.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7ind\u0259 is\u0259 bu il 4,3 faizlik art\u0131m g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir ki, bu da ke\u00e7\u0259n ilki 8,1 faizl\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259ricidir. Qurum bunu COV\u0130D-19-a g\u00f6r\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259tbiq olunan s\u0259rt karantin t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirib.<\/p>\n

\"D\u00fcnya<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n r\u0259yin\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n, sanskiyalara m\u0259ruz qalan Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 il\u0259 s\u0131x iqtisadi \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 olan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiya v\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n \u0259ks\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n z\u0259ifl\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Qurum h\u0259r iki subregionda art\u0131m\u0131n 2021-ci ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 2022-ci ild\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n iki d\u0259f\u0259 azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiyada 2,4 faiz\u0259, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda is\u0259 3,4 faiz\u0259 en\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Hesabatda qeyd edilir ki, qlobal \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131 il\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan, Qazax\u0131stan, \u00d6zb\u0259kistan kimi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259k g\u0259lirl\u0259r \u0259ld\u0259 ets\u0259 d\u0259, bu g\u0259lirl\u0259rin iqtisadiyyatlara faydas\u0131 m\u0259hdud olacaq.<\/p>\n

Buna t\u0259sir ed\u0259n \u0259sas amill\u0259rd\u0259n biri kimi Az\u0259rbaycanda neft sektorunun tam g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u0259 yax\u0131n s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259si, Qazax\u0131standa is\u0259 \u0259sas boru k\u0259m\u0259rinin daha \u0259vv\u0259l k\u0259silm\u0259si il\u0259 yaranan t\u0259chizat m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259ri \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edir. DB hesab edir ki, \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 xarici t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n k\u0259skin azalmas\u0131 v\u0259 Rusiyadan pul k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 probleml\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259k \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n \u0259ld\u0259 edil\u0259n qazancdan daha \u00e7ox bu iqtisadiyyatlara t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu t\u0259sirl\u0259r\u0259 baxmayaraq, D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 2022 v\u0259 2023-c\u00fc ill\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda \u00fcmumi daxili m\u0259hsulun (\u00dcDM) art\u0131m\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 sabit saxlay\u0131b. Qurum hesab edir ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda 2,7 faizlik iqtisadi art\u0131ma nail olunacaq. G\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 2,2 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 is\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkilat t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n 2,3 faiz civar\u0131nda proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, iki h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259vv\u0259l Devid Malpas d\u00fcnyada inflyasiyan\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 saxlayan amill\u0259r aras\u0131nda enerjida\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259ki bahal\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6n\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kmi\u015fdi: \u201cD\u00fcnya enerji b\u00f6hran\u0131 ya\u015fay\u0131r v\u0259 onun \u015fidd\u0259ti qism\u0259n Rusiya ixrac\u0131n\u0131 \u0259v\u0259z ed\u0259c\u0259k yeni yanacaq m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rinin tap\u0131l\u0131b-tap\u0131lmamas\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. D\u00fcnya Rusiya enerjisind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltsa da, yeni t\u0259dar\u00fckl\u0259r h\u0259yati \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t k\u0259sb ed\u0259c\u0259k. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6hran q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli deyil. Onun \u015fidd\u0259ti d\u00fcnyada enerji t\u0259chizat\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq\u201d.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Rusiya neftin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 sanksiyalar fonunda d\u00fcnya neft bazar\u0131nda qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 real g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr. Qlobal neft istehsal\u0131 artsa bel\u0259, t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n daha y\u00fcks\u0259k art\u0131m\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacaq. AB\u015e Energetika Nazirliyi yan\u0131nda Energetika \u0130nformasiyas\u0131 Administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n (E\u0130A) proqnozuna \u0259sas\u0259n g\u0259l\u0259n il maye karbohidrogenl\u0259rin g\u00fcnd\u0259lik istehsal\u0131 orta hesabla 102,1 milyon barel olacaq. Bu, qurumun \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozu il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 0,5 milyon barel \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n

Hesabata \u0259sas\u0259n, 2022-ci ild\u0259 maye karbohidrogenl\u0259rin g\u00fcnd\u0259lik istehsal\u0131 100,08 milyon barel olacaq, bu, \u00f6t\u0259n proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 0,19 milyon barel \u00e7oxdur.<\/strong><\/p>\n

E\u0130A-n\u0131n proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 maye karbohidrogenl\u0259r\u0259 olan g\u00fcnd\u0259lik qlobal t\u0259l\u0259bat 101,32 milyon barel s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olacaq, bu da \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnoz g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 0,23 milyon barel azd\u0131r. Hesabata \u0259sas\u0259n, bu il maye karbohidrogenl\u0259r\u0259 olan qlobal g\u00fcnd\u0259lik t\u0259l\u0259bat 99,63 milyon barel s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olacaq ki, bu da \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnoz g\u00f6st\u0259ricid\u0259n 0,02 milyon barel \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n

EIA-n\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n bu t\u0259l\u0259b-t\u0259klif \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rind\u0259 2022-ci ild\u0259 \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 etalon neftin orta qiym\u0259ti 107,37 dollar\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 is\u0259 neftin qiym\u0259ti 97,24 dollar t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Hesabata \u0259sas\u0259n, WTI markal\u0131 xam neftin bir barelinin orta qiym\u0259tinin 2022-ci ild\u0259 102,47 dollar (\u00f6nc\u0259ki proqnoz – 98,2 dollar), 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 is\u0259 93,24 dollar (\u00f6nc\u0259ki proqnoza b\u0259rab\u0259r) s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal olunur.<\/p>\n

Qurum bildirir ki, 2022-2023-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda neft hasilat\u0131 azalacaq. 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda g\u00fcnd\u0259lik neft v\u0259 dig\u0259r maye karbohidrogenl\u0259rin hasilat\u0131 670 min barel t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnoz g\u00f6st\u0259ricid\u0259n 30 min barel azd\u0131r. Proqnoza g\u00f6r\u0259, bu il Az\u0259rbaycanda g\u00fcnd\u0259lik neft v\u0259 dig\u0259r maye karbohidrogenl\u0259rin hasilat\u0131 690 min barel t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnoz\u00a0 g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 30 min barel azalma dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n

\"Elman<\/p>\n

Elman Sadiqov<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n qlobal iqtisadiyyatla ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u0259dbin proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli b\u00f6hran g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rinin realla\u015fma \u0259msal\u0131 n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259kdir? Az\u0259rbaycana bu b\u00f6hran\u0131n t\u0259sirl\u0259ri n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r ciddi ola bil\u0259r? \u00d6lk\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n onlara davam g\u0259tirm\u0259k imkanlar\u0131 n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r geni\u015fdir? Suallar\u0131 cavabland\u0131ran iqtisad\u00e7\u0131-ekspert Elman Sadiqovun \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201da dediyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, qlobal iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn staqflyasiya daha t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259lidir:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cStaqflyasiya dur\u011funluqla inflyasiyan\u0131n eyni vaxtda ba\u015f verm\u0259sidir. Bu o dem\u0259kdir ki, iqtisadiyyatda h\u0259m dur\u011funluq yaran\u0131r, h\u0259m d\u0259 inflyasiya ba\u015f verir. Bu, qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00e7ox \u00e7\u0259tin olan bir prosesdir. \u00c7\u00fcnki haz\u0131rda AB\u015e v\u0259 Avropada oldu\u011fu kimi, inflyasiyan\u0131 dayand\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rini art\u0131r\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z, bu is\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131 bo\u011fma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131r. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131 bo\u011fulmadan xilas etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rini azaltd\u0131qda is\u0259 bu, inflyasiyan\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirir. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 staqflyasiya iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li v\u0259ziyy\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n biri hesab olunur. D\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 1970-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 staqflyasiyadan \u00e7ox ciddi z\u0259r\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcb\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ekspert bildirir ki, qlobal iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f riskl\u0259r d\u0259 var:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cBorc m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259ri, g\u0259lirl\u0259rin qeyri-b\u0259rab\u0259r b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u0259si, s\u0259rv\u0259t b\u0259rab\u0259rsizliyinin artmas\u0131 ill\u0259rl\u0259 formala\u015fan v\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hdid yaradan amill\u0259rdir. Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n g\u0259tirdiyi probleml\u0259r – qlobal \u00e7atd\u0131r\u0131lma z\u0259ncirind\u0259ki q\u0131r\u0131lmalar, inflyasiya, t\u0259\u015fviq paketl\u0259rinin icras\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 yaranan pul bollu\u011fu bu t\u0259hdidl\u0259rin say\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 t\u0259hdidl\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131na enerjida\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcks\u0259k qiym\u0259ti, h\u0259m\u00e7inin qlobal \u0259rzaq bazar\u0131nda q\u0131tl\u0131q v\u0259 bahala\u015fman\u0131 da \u0259lav\u0259 etdi. Bu t\u0259hdidl\u0259r inflyasiyan\u0131 t\u0259tikl\u0259yir, onun davaml\u0131 xarakter almas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirir. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, ayr\u0131-ayr\u0131 iqtisadi zonalarda ciddi probleml\u0259r var. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 Rusiya-Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si fonunda Avrozonada ciddi \u00e7\u0259tinlikl\u0259r meydana \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131. H\u0259m m\u00f6vqel\u0259rd\u0259ki ziddiyy\u0259tl\u0259r qabard\u0131, h\u0259m d\u0259 monetar siyas\u0259td\u0259 probleml\u0259rin oldu\u011fu ayd\u0131nla\u015fd\u0131. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, 8,1 faizlik inflyasiya, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n 6,2 faizlik i\u015fsizlik s\u0259viyy\u0259si var. Faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rinin art\u0131m\u0131 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n daralmas\u0131na v\u0259 i\u015fsizliyin artmas\u0131na, art\u0131rmamaq is\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq. AB\u015e-da i\u015fsizlik s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 faiz art\u0131m\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn daha yax\u015f\u0131 imkanlar yarad\u0131r, Avropada bu imkanlar yoxdur. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, \u00c7inl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 probleml\u0259r var. M\u0259lum olub ki, bu \u00f6lk\u0259nin son 15 ild\u0259 verdiyi borclar\u0131n 60 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259ri geri qay\u0131tmayacaq. Bu borclar kas\u0131b \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 verilib. D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131 narahat ed\u0259n m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 budur ki, h\u0259min \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin borc m\u00fcqabilind\u0259 qoyduqlar\u0131 girovlarla ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259lumatlar gizli saxlan\u0131l\u0131r. \u00c7in ad\u0259t\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 borc ver\u0259rk\u0259n girov kimi limanlar\u0131 v\u0259 sair m\u00fch\u00fcm strateji infrastrurktur obyektl\u0259rini g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcr. V\u0259 borcun qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131ndan daha \u00e7ox girovlar\u0131n \u0259l\u0259 ke\u00e7irilm\u0259sind\u0259 maraql\u0131 olur. Bu is\u0259 \u00c7inin h\u0259dsiz geni\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259r. N\u0259hay\u0259t, Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259nin tezlikl\u0259 ba\u015fa \u00e7atmayaca\u011f\u0131 art\u0131q he\u00e7 kim\u0259 sirr deyil. M\u00fcharib\u0259 uzand\u0131qca, Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 sanksiyalar da davam ed\u0259c\u0259k. Biz m\u00fcharib\u0259nin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rinin ill\u0259rl\u0259 davam etm\u0259sin\u0259 \u015fahidlik ed\u0259c\u0259yik\u201d.<\/p>\n

Uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli qlobal b\u00f6hran\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycana m\u00fcmk\u00fcn t\u0259sirl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, E.Sadiqov deyir ki, enerjida\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 ucuzla\u015fman\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259m\u0259si \u00f6lk\u0259nin \u0259ld\u0259 etdiyi y\u00fcks\u0259k g\u0259lirl\u0259rin davam etm\u0259si dem\u0259kdir:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cNeft-qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri y\u00fcks\u0259k qald\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259r d\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k olacaq. H\u0259l\u0259lik Avropa Rusiya qaz\u0131n\u0131 \u0259v\u0259z ed\u0259 bilmir. Bu, ba\u015f ver\u0259n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 azalma g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n deyil. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 potensial\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259kdir. Bu potensial\u0131n bazara \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131 t\u0259min olunduqdan sonra neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u00c7\u00fcnki staflyasiya \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131n ki\u00e7ilm\u0259si neft\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131 azaldacaq. Eyni zamanda alternativ enerjiy\u0259 ke\u00e7idin s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259si d\u0259 bu proses\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k. Y\u0259ni yax\u0131n v\u0259 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycana iqtisadiyyat\u0131n \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndirilm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u015fans yaran\u0131b. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00f6vcud v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fanslardan (\u00c7inl\u0259 Avropa aras\u0131nda tranzit \u00f6lk\u0259 rolunun art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, turizmin, emal s\u0259nayesinin, k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131n\u0131n inki\u015faf\u0131 v\u0259 sair) istifad\u0259 etm\u0259k, qeyri-neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259rini art\u0131ran potensialdan maksimum yararlanmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Elman Sadiqov: \u201c\u00d6lk\u0259mizin yax\u0131n v\u0259 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131 \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u015fans\u0131 yaran\u0131b\u201d D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 qlobal iqtisadiyyatdak\u0131 art\u0131ma dair proqnozunu yenil\u0259yib. Qurum hesab edir ki, 2022-ci ild\u0259 qlobal art\u0131m 4,1 faiz deyil, 2,9 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bank ekspertl\u0259rinin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cD\u00fcnya iqisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n perspektivl\u0259ri\u201d adl\u0131 hesabata g\u00f6r\u0259, cari ild\u0259 bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m deyil, \u0259ksin\u0259, azalma qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nacaq. Hesabat g\u00f6r\u0259, d\u00fcnya 2022-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201cz\u0259if art\u0131m v\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiyan\u0131n uzun s\u00fcr\u0259n d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259\u201d daxil olur. Beyn\u0259lxalq qurum problemi \u0259sas etibaril\u0259 COV\u0130D-19 pandemiyas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirir v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259cav\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u0259 amil oldu\u011funu bildirir.…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":483821,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799-649x365.jpg",649,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799-840x473.jpg",640,360,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/f8a6f35d071bfba519abe2f251d9f799.jpg",864,486,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Elman Sadiqov: \u201c\u00d6lk\u0259mizin yax\u0131n v\u0259 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131 \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u015fans\u0131 yaran\u0131b\u201d D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 qlobal iqtisadiyyatdak\u0131 art\u0131ma dair proqnozunu yenil\u0259yib. Qurum hesab edir ki, 2022-ci ild\u0259 qlobal art\u0131m 4,1 faiz deyil, 2,9 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bank ekspertl\u0259rinin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cD\u00fcnya iqisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n perspektivl\u0259ri\u201d adl\u0131 hesabata g\u00f6r\u0259, cari ild\u0259 bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m deyil, \u0259ksin\u0259, azalma qeyd\u0259…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/483820"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=483820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/483820\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/483821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=483820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=483820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=483820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}