{"id":501067,"date":"2022-08-02T08:04:26","date_gmt":"2022-08-02T05:04:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=501067"},"modified":"2022-08-02T08:04:26","modified_gmt":"2022-08-02T05:04:26","slug":"qlobal-bazarlarda-ziddiyy%c9%99tli-prosesl%c9%99r-bohran-proqnozu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=501067","title":{"rendered":"Qlobal bazarlarda ziddiyy\u0259tli prosesl\u0259r – b\u00f6hran proqnozu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Az\u0259rbaycan ili nec\u0259 ba\u015fa vuracaq?; \u201cKarbohidrogen qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rs\u0259…\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131, Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyatda resessiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirib. \u0130yun ay\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131na malik AB\u015e v\u0259 \u00c7ind\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyata m\u0259nfi t\u0259siri qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz olacaq n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. AB\u015e-da g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin tam ziddin\u0259 olaraq \u00fcmumi daxil m\u0259hsul 0,9 faiz azal\u0131b ki, bunu analitikl\u0259r resessiyan\u0131n ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131 kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirirl\u0259r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7ind\u0259 is\u0259 s\u0259naye aktivliyi indeksi iyulda 50 b\u0259ndd\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Bu, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 iqtisadi aktivliyin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir. Son aylarda koronavirusun m\u00fcxt\u0259lif \u0259yal\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 yenid\u0259n alovlanmas\u0131 \u00c7in h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin k\u0259skin m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259sin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olub. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 \u00c7ind\u0259 \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m tempi d\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259yib, m\u00fcxt\u0259lif m\u0259hsullar\u0131n istehlak\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Bura ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 neft v\u0259 neft m\u0259hsullar\u0131 aiddir. Bel\u0259 ki, bu ilin iyununda \u00c7ind\u0259 neft m\u0259hsullar\u0131 istehlak\u0131 illik ifad\u0259d\u0259 7 faiz azalaraq 32,45 milyon ton t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u00c7in \u0130nki\u015faf v\u0259 \u0130slahat D\u00f6vl\u0259t Komit\u0259sinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, azalma aviasiya kerosini v\u0259 benzin \u00fczr\u0259 daha y\u00fcks\u0259k olub: birincinin istehlak\u0131 32,8 faiz, ikincininki is\u025911,5 faiz azal\u0131b. Bu da \u00c7ind\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131n ciddi probleml\u0259rl\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sinin m\u00fch\u00fcm g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rind\u0259n biri say\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Avropa Birliyind\u0259 d\u0259 iqtisadi aktivliyin, iqtisadi art\u0131m tempinin azalmas\u0131, inflyasiyan\u0131n g\u00fccl\u0259nm\u0259si m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. B\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fckd\u0259 d\u00fcnyada s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259n\u0259n inflyasiya m\u0259rk\u0259z banklar\u0131 u\u00e7ot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rini art\u0131rma\u011fa, s\u0259rt monetar siyas\u0259t\u0259 ke\u00e7m\u0259y\u0259 vadar etm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Art\u0131q d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir sayl\u0131 iqtisadiyyat\u0131nda monetar siyas\u0259ti t\u0259nziml\u0259y\u0259n AB\u015e Federal Ehtiyatlar Sistemi (FED) u\u00e7ot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini yenid\u0259n 0,75 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131rmaqla 2,25-2,50 faiz\u0259 \u00e7atd\u0131r\u0131b. FED r\u0259hb\u0259ri \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 9 faizi ke\u00e7\u0259n illik inflyasiyan\u0131 cilovlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yenid\u0259n v\u0259 daha s\u0259rt art\u0131mlara gedil\u0259c\u0259yinin anonsunu verib. Bu, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 resessiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sinin realla\u015fmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 daha da art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u0130nflyasiya v\u0259 iqtisadi probleml\u0259r Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n yax\u0131n qon\u015fular\u0131 v\u0259 ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 d\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc qabar\u0131q b\u00fcruz\u0259 verir: Rusiya birinci yar\u0131mili 5 faiz\u0259 yax\u0131n iqtisadi ki\u00e7ilm\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u015fa vurub. T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 illik inflyasiya 80 faiz\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fmaqdad\u0131r. Bel\u0259 bir g\u0259rgin d\u00f6vrd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 birinci yar\u0131mili 6,2 faiz iqtisadi art\u0131mla ba\u015fa vurub. D\u00f6vl\u0259t Statistika Komit\u0259si iyun ay\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycanda 0,1 faizlik deflyasiya qeyd\u0259 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. Komit\u0259nin yayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, 2022-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131nda istehlak qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri indeksi 2021-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 12,9 faiz art\u0131b. Bu zaman \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131, i\u00e7kil\u0259r v\u0259 t\u00fct\u00fcn m\u0259mulatlar\u0131 18,4 faiz, qeyri-\u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 6,7 faiz, \u0259haliy\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rilmi\u015f \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259r 10,3 faiz y\u00fcks\u0259lib. M\u0259lumatda qeyd olunur ki, cari ilin iyun ay\u0131nda istehlak qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri indeksi \u0259vv\u0259lki aya nisb\u0259t\u0259n 99,9 faiz, \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin iyun ay\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 14,2 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u0130yun ay\u0131nda \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni ay\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 21,3 faiz, qeyri-\u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 7,4 faiz, \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259r 10,9 faiz bahala\u015f\u0131b.<\/p>\n

\"Mikay\u0131l<\/p>\n

Mikay\u0131l Cabbarov<\/strong><\/p>\n

2022-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131 \u0259rzind\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fcmumi ixrac\u0131 18,5 milyard dollar t\u0259\u015fkil edib ki, bunun 1,5 milyard dollar\u0131 qeyri-neft sektoruna aid m\u0259hsullar olub. Qeyri-neft sektoru \u00fczr\u0259 ixrac 2021-ci ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 295,4 milyon dollar v\u0259 ya 25,4 faiz art\u0131b. Buna baxmayaraq, \u00f6lk\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259 neft-qaz sektorunun pay\u0131 \u00e7ox y\u00fcks\u0259k olaraq qal\u0131r. Bu \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 qlobal resessiya g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri neft bazar\u0131na m\u0259nfi t\u0259sirl\u0259ri bax\u0131m\u0131ndan Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 m\u00fch\u00fcm \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadiyyat naziri Mikay\u0131l Cabbarovun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, y\u00fcks\u0259k neft-qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n sonra b\u00f6hranl\u0131 d\u00f6vr\u00fcn g\u0259lm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259kdir:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cG\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k qiym\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n sonra b\u00f6hranlar da ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 bu qa\u00e7\u0131lmazd\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n

Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, n\u0259 vaxt ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259yini bilm\u0259s\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259, buna haz\u0131r olma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 \u00f6z planlamalar\u0131n\u0131 da buna g\u00f6r\u0259 haz\u0131rlay\u0131rlar: \u201cA\u015fa\u011f\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r d\u0259 olacaq. Bu v\u0259 ya dig\u0259r m\u0259hsulun, mal\u0131n qiym\u0259tinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si d\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunacaq. Vacib olan odur ki, biz ist\u0259r m\u00fcsb\u0259t konyukturada, ist\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259 m\u0259nfi konyukturada \u00f6z sabitliyimizi, dayan\u0131ql\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 saxlayaq\u201d.<\/p>\n

Xat\u0131rladaq ki, S&P beyn\u0259lxalq agentliyi Az\u0259rbaycanda bu il g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n inflyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259sini ikiqat art\u0131r\u0131b. Agentlik ekspertl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, 2022-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda 13 faizlik\u00a0 (yanvar proqnozunda – 6,5 faiz) olaca\u011f\u0131, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 9 faiz\u0259 (4,5 faiz), 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 6 faiz\u0259 (3 faiz), 2025-ci ild\u0259 is\u0259 5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r (3 faiz) azalacaq.<\/p>\n

S&P ekspertl\u0259rinin fikrinc\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n (AMB) valyuta bazar\u0131na m\u00fcnt\u0259z\u0259m m\u00fcdaxil\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 manat\u0131n AB\u015e dollar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si bir dollar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 1,7 manat s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 sabit qalacaq: \u201cLakin karbohidrogen qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rs\u0259 v\u0259 uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 qalsa, h\u00f6kum\u0259t m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259y\u0259 d\u00fcz\u0259li\u015fl\u0259r etm\u0259yi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bu, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n 2015-ci ild\u0259 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131na b\u0259nz\u0259r valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 itirilm\u0259sinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 alma\u011fa k\u00f6m\u0259k ed\u0259c\u0259k\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Agentlik \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bu il orta hesabla 102 dollar, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 85 dollar, 2024-2025-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 orta hesabla 55 dollar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir.<\/p>\n

M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bankda is\u0259 hesab edirl\u0259r ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi f\u0259all\u0131q y\u00fcks\u0259k olaraq qal\u0131r v\u0259 onun perspektivl\u0259ri il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r nikbindir: \u201c2022-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131nda \u00fcmumi daxili m\u0259hsul real ifad\u0259d\u0259 6.2 faiz, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n qeyri-neft sektoru \u00fczr\u0259 9.6 faiz art\u0131b. \u0130qtisadi aktivliyin y\u00fcks\u0259k qald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n apar\u0131lan real sektorun monitorinqinin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259 t\u0259sdiql\u0259yir. Bel\u0259 ki, iyunda \u0259vv\u0259lki aya n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n biznes inam indeksi qeyri-neft s\u0259nayesi, tikinti, ticar\u0259t v\u0259 xidm\u0259t sektorlar\u0131nda y\u00fcks\u0259lib. M\u0259cmu t\u0259l\u0259bin geni\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259si m\u00fcxt\u0259lif sektorlarda \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc f\u0259rqli g\u00f6st\u0259rir. 2022-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131nda \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n p\u0259rak\u0259nd\u0259 ticar\u0259t d\u00f6vriyy\u0259si 2.9 faiz, qeyri-neft investisiyalar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cmi is\u0259 18.5 faiz art\u0131b. Qeyri-neft ixrac\u0131 is\u0259 6 ayda \u00f6t\u0259n ilin m\u00fcvafiq d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n 25.4 faiz art\u0131b. 2022-ci ilin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259rin t\u0259sdiql\u0259nm\u0259si il\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin investisiya x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 II yar\u0131millikd\u0259 iqtisadi aktivliy\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259k ver\u0259c\u0259k\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"M\u0259rk\u0259zi<\/p>\n

AMB etiraf edir ki, iyunda m\u00f6vs\u00fcmi amill\u0259rin t\u0259siri il\u0259 istehlak bazar\u0131nda deflyasiya ba\u015f vers\u0259 d\u0259, baza effektin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 illik inflyasiyan\u0131n y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259si davam edib: \u201c\u0130yunda 0.1 faizlik deflyasiya \u0259rzaq qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 1 faiz ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. T\u0259hlill\u0259r g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, cari ilin iyununda son 10 ilin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 templi deflyasiyas\u0131 ba\u015f verib. \u0130llik inflyasiya 2022-ci ilin iyununda 14.2 faiz (2022-ci ilin iyun ay\u0131 2021-ci ilin iyun ay\u0131na n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n) t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Orta illik inflyasiya is\u0259 12.9 faiz olub. Baza inflyasiya iyun ay\u0131nda illik 10.7 faiz, orta illik g\u00f6st\u0259rici is\u0259 9.7 faiz olub. \u00dcmumi inflyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259sin\u0259 \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 daha \u00e7ox t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rib. \u0130yunda illik \u0259rzaq inflyasiyas\u0131 20.6 faiz, orta illik \u0259rzaq inflyasiyas\u0131 is\u0259 18.4 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Qeyri-\u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r iyunda illik 7.4 faiz, orta illik 6.7 faiz art\u0131b. Xidm\u0259tl\u0259r son 1 ild\u0259 10.9 faiz bahala\u015f\u0131b. Orta illik xidm\u0259t inflyasiyas\u0131 10.3 faiz olub. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259, iyunda illik inflyasiyaya 9 faiz b\u0259ndi \u0259rzaq, 1.7 faiz b\u0259ndi qeyri-\u0259rzaq, 3.5 faiz b\u0259ndi is\u0259 xidm\u0259tl\u0259rin qiym\u0259t v\u0259 tarifl\u0259rinin d\u0259yi\u015fimi t\u00f6hf\u0259 verib\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n

M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank bildirir ki, xarici m\u0259n\u015f\u0259li x\u0259rc amill\u0259ri inflyasiyan\u0131n dinamikas\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n ba\u015fl\u0131ca amil olaraq qal\u0131r: \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0259rzaq qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin iyunda 2.3 faiz azalmas\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131dak\u0131 aylarda inflyasiyaya azald\u0131c\u0131 t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k amildir. Faktiki inflyasiyan\u0131n dinamikas\u0131 inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259sir edir. \u0130yunda apar\u0131lan sor\u011fulara g\u00f6r\u0259, ev t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfatlar\u0131n\u0131n 81.9 faizi qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir. Real sektor m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259ri aras\u0131nda apar\u0131lan monitorinqin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 is\u0259 iyunda inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri \u0259vv\u0259lki ayla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 tikinti, ticar\u0259t v\u0259 xidm\u0259t sektorlar\u0131nda y\u00fcks\u0259lib, qeyri-neft s\u0259nayesind\u0259 azal\u0131b. M\u00f6vs\u00fcmi amill\u0259rin iyul v\u0259 avqustda inflyasiyaya azald\u0131c\u0131 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. \u0130lin sonuna baza amilin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 illik inflyasiyan\u0131n cari tempd\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozu d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259z qal\u0131r. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ild\u0259 is\u0259 xarici amill\u0259rin \u0259lveri\u015fli d\u0259yi\u015fimi hal\u0131nda inflyasiyan\u0131n t\u0259dric\u0259n birr\u0259q\u0259mli s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 en\u0259c\u0259yi proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130nflyasiyan\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca azald\u0131c\u0131 monetar amili olan manat\u0131n nominal effektiv m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si 6 ayda 1.9 faiz m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259nib. \u0130yulda b\u0259zi t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flarda milli valyutalar\u0131n ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 nominal effektiv m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259y\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k”.<\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiya riskl\u0259ri \u0259sas\u0259n qlobal bazardan qaynaqlan\u0131r:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201c\u0130nflyasiya riskl\u0259ri q\u0131sa v\u0259 orta m\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrl\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 f\u0259rqlidir. Q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fczr\u0259 ba\u015fl\u0131ca riskl\u0259r\u0259 d\u00fcnya \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin v\u0259 da\u015f\u0131nma-logistika x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin yenid\u0259n artmas\u0131, t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n artmaqda davam etm\u0259si aiddir. Geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin daha da y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259si v\u0259 COV\u0130D-19-a yoluxma hallar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131nca d\u00fcnyada sosial t\u0259crid m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259rinin t\u0259tbiqi da\u015f\u0131nma-logistika prosesl\u0259rini yenid\u0259n \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259 bil\u0259r. Apar\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 pul siyas\u0259tinin s\u0259rtl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si v\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyatda f\u0259all\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalmas\u0131 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 v\u0259 maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fk\u0259nliyi y\u00fcks\u0259ld\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Orta v\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 is\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n dinamikas\u0131 m\u0259cmu t\u0259l\u0259bin effektiv idar\u0259 edilm\u0259sind\u0259n v\u0259 valyuta bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 tarazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n qorunmas\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. \u201cAz\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n 2022-2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 sosial-iqtisadi inki\u015faf Strategiyas\u0131\u201dna uy\u011fun olaraq t\u0259tbiq olunacaq qayda \u0259sasl\u0131 fiskal siyas\u0259t v\u0259 pul siyas\u0259ti \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sinin t\u0259kmill\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 inflyasiya riskl\u0259rini idar\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 imkan ver\u0259c\u0259k”.<\/p>\n

Qlobal \u0259rzaq bazar\u0131nda son aylarda m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan ucuzla\u015fman\u0131n Ukraynadan k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131 m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fctl\u0259vi ixrac\u0131n\u0131n b\u0259rpas\u0131 il\u0259 davam ed\u0259j\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Bu is\u0259 \u0259n az\u0131 2022-ci ilin sonunad\u0259k Az\u0259rbaycana inflyasiya idxal\u0131nda azalman\u0131n ba\u015f verm\u0259sini \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndir\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az\u0259rbaycan ili nec\u0259 ba\u015fa vuracaq?; \u201cKarbohidrogen qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rs\u0259…\u201d Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131, Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyatda resessiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirib. \u0130yun ay\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131na malik AB\u015e v\u0259 \u00c7ind\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyata m\u0259nfi t\u0259siri qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz olacaq n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. AB\u015e-da g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin tam ziddin\u0259 olaraq \u00fcmumi daxil m\u0259hsul 0,9 faiz azal\u0131b ki, bunu analitikl\u0259r resessiyan\u0131n ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131 kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirirl\u0259r. \u00c7ind\u0259 is\u0259 s\u0259naye aktivliyi indeksi iyulda 50 b\u0259ndd\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Bu, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 iqtisadi aktivliyin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir. Son aylarda koronavirusun m\u00fcxt\u0259lif \u0259yal\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 yenid\u0259n alovlanmas\u0131 \u00c7in h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin k\u0259skin m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259sin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olub. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":501068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40-621x365.jpg",621,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40-840x494.jpg",640,376,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/2c02dffa4ca876386a8790c4d678fe40.jpg",850,500,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Az\u0259rbaycan ili nec\u0259 ba\u015fa vuracaq?; \u201cKarbohidrogen qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rs\u0259…\u201d Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131, Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyatda resessiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirib. \u0130yun ay\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131na malik AB\u015e v\u0259 \u00c7ind\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyata m\u0259nfi t\u0259siri qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz olacaq n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. AB\u015e-da g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin tam ziddin\u0259 olaraq \u00fcmumi daxil m\u0259hsul 0,9 faiz azal\u0131b ki, bunu analitikl\u0259r resessiyan\u0131n…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/501067"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=501067"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/501067\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/501068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=501067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=501067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=501067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}