M\u00f6vzu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0q\u0259zetinin yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259qdim edirik.<\/p>\n \u0130ran\u0131n Yuqoslaviya, SSR\u0130 kimi par\u00e7alanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ehtimal ed\u0259nl\u0259rin say\u0131 da art\u0131r. H\u0259l\u0259 ill\u0259r \u0259vv\u0259l n\u00fcfuzlu beyn\u0259lxalq ara\u015fd\u0131rma m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259rind\u0259n biri \u0130ran\u0131n par\u00e7alanmas\u0131 plan\u0131n\u0131n m\u00f6vcud oldu\u011funu v\u0259 onun 2025-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r h\u0259yata ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259yini proqnoz etmi\u015fdi.<\/p>\n Rejim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yolu da var. \u00d6lk\u0259nin Suriyan\u0131n, \u0130raq\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sini ist\u0259mirl\u0259rs\u0259, siyas\u0259tl\u0259rini k\u00f6k\u00fcnd\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259li, ciddi islahatlara getm\u0259lidirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n Ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259r fonunda \u00f6lk\u0259nin m\u00fcxt\u0259lif \u0259yal\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 par\u00e7alanaca\u011f\u0131 da istisna edilmir. \u0130ddialara g\u00f6r\u0259, hakimiyy\u0259t d\u0259yi\u015fikliyi xalqlar aras\u0131nda m\u00fcst\u0259qillik ideyalar\u0131n\u0131 daha da g\u00fccl\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259r. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 indiki \u0130ran \u0259razisind\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 C\u0259nubi Az\u0259rbaycan, K\u00fcrd\u00fcstan, B\u0259lucistan kimi d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin yaranaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal edilir. Bunlar\u0131n i\u00e7\u0259risind\u0259 \u0259n real\u0131 is\u0259 K\u00fcrd\u00fcstan ola bil\u0259r. \u0130ran\u0131n par\u00e7alanmas\u0131nda mara\u011f\u0131 olan AB\u015e \u00e7ox g\u00fcman ki, bununla ill\u0259r \u0259vv\u0259l haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 plan\u0131 – m\u00fcst\u0259qil k\u00fcrd d\u00f6vl\u0259ti yarad\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 realla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq.<\/p>\n \u018fxlaq polisinin l\u0259\u011fvi he\u00e7 n\u0259yi d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k<\/strong><\/p>\n Bu h\u0259ft\u0259 ba\u015f prokuror M\u0259h\u0259mm\u0259d C\u0259f\u0259r Montazerinin \u0259xlaq polisi adlanan qurumun l\u0259\u011fv edil\u0259c\u0259yini a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131ndan sonra g\u0259rginlik daha da art\u0131b. \u0130nsanlar hesab edirl\u0259r ki, art\u0131q hicab azadl\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259bi arxada qal\u0131b, indi onlar\u0131 \u201crejim d\u0259yi\u015fikliyi\u201d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcrm\u0259lidir. \u018fxlaq polisinin l\u0259\u011fvi x\u0259b\u0259ri t\u0259sdiqini taparsa, bu, g\u00fcz\u0259\u015ft ola bil\u0259r, amma bunun hicablar\u0131n\u0131 yand\u0131ran n\u00fcmayi\u015f\u00e7il\u0259rin etirazlar\u0131n\u0131 dayand\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rli olaca\u011f\u0131na he\u00e7 bir z\u0259man\u0259t yoxdur.<\/p>\n H\u0259tta h\u00f6kum\u0259tin hicab\u0131n \u015f\u0259xsi se\u00e7im oldu\u011funu bildirm\u0259si d\u0259 kifay\u0259t deyil. Son 70 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, qad\u0131nlar\u0131n \u00e7oxu etirazlara onsuz da art\u0131q hicabs\u0131z \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r. \u201cBizi xilas ed\u0259c\u0259k yegan\u0259 \u015fey inqilabd\u0131r. Hicab onun ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131 idi v\u0259 indi biz diktatora \u00f6l\u00fcmd\u0259n v\u0259 rejim d\u0259yi\u015fikliyind\u0259n ba\u015fqa he\u00e7 n\u0259 ist\u0259mirik\u201d, – dey\u0259 etiraz\u00e7\u0131lardan biri q\u0259rb medias\u0131na bildirib.<\/p>\n \u0130ran\u0131 SSR\u0130-nin taleyi g\u00f6zl\u0259y\u0259 bil\u0259rmi?<\/strong><\/p>\n Etiraf edilm\u0259lidir ki, \u0130ran bir \u00e7ox c\u0259h\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 ke\u00e7mi\u015f SSR\u0130-ni xat\u0131rlad\u0131r. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, qapal\u0131l\u0131q, \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fct\u0259crid, imperiya siyas\u0259ti, bir xalq\u0131n dig\u0259rl\u0259ri \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 a\u011fal\u0131\u011f\u0131, h\u00fcquqlar\u0131n tapdanmas\u0131 v\u0259 s. Bu bax\u0131mdan \u0130ran\u0131n da SSR\u0130 kimi par\u00e7alanaca\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259ndir. \u00d6lk\u0259nin Suriya, Livan v\u0259 \u0130raq kimi b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u0259c\u0259yi ehtimal\u0131 da var. Vahid m\u00fcxalif\u0259tin olmamas\u0131 v\u0259 aksiyalar\u0131n spontan xarakter almas\u0131 siyasi xaosu d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k \u0259sas amill\u0259rd\u0259n say\u0131l\u0131r. \u00dcst\u0259lik, bu prosesin silahl\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131durma m\u0259cras\u0131na daxil olmas\u0131 i\u00e7d\u0259n par\u00e7alanman\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n \u0130ran art\u0131q Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 probleml\u0259r yarad\u0131r<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130\u015f o yer\u0259 \u00e7at\u0131b ki, h\u0259tta Rusiya da \u0130randan \u00fcz d\u00f6nd\u0259rir. Rusiya\u00a0 medias\u0131 yaz\u0131r ki, \u0130ran\u0131n Qafqazda v\u0259 X\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 ya yarada bil\u0259c\u0259yi probleml\u0259r Kremlin d\u0259 narahatl\u0131\u011f\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olmaqdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n \u201cK\u0130V-in m\u0259lumatlar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, \u0130ran\u0131n bu g\u00fcn \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck riski sosial etirazlar\u0131n v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f m\u00fcharib\u0259sin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131d\u0131r. Amma \u0259slind\u0259 bu, m\u00fcasir Tehran\u0131n daxili v\u0259 xarici siyas\u0259tind\u0259 aktualla\u015fan probleml\u0259rin zahiri t\u0259zah\u00fcrl\u0259rind\u0259n yaln\u0131z biridir. \u0130ran\u0131n daxili siyas\u0259tind\u0259ki \u0259sas problem fars mill\u0259t\u00e7iliyidir. 1979-cu ild\u0259 hakim rejimin d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si onun ideoloji bazas\u0131na he\u00e7 bir t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259yib. \u0130slam \u0130nqilab\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259n fundamentalistl\u0259r formal olaraq ari sivilizasiyas\u0131n\u0131n (y\u0259ni farslar\u0131n) \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc elan ed\u0259n \u015fovinist p\u0259hl\u0259viliyi siyasi \u0130slam\u0131n yerli formas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259v\u0259z etdil\u0259r.<\/p>\n Lakin ay\u0259tullah Xomeyni v\u0259 \u018fli Xameneinin hakimiyy\u0259ti ill\u0259rind\u0259 mill\u0259t\u00e7i siyas\u0259t aradan qalxmad\u0131. \u0130ran\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn xalqlar\u0131, x\u00fcsus\u0259n d\u0259 az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar ay\u0259tullah M\u0259h\u0259mm\u0259d Kaz\u0131m \u015e\u0259ri\u0259tm\u0259darinin ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 P\u0259hl\u0259vinin devrilm\u0259sind\u0259 i\u015ftirak ets\u0259l\u0259r d\u0259, bu, onlar\u0131n taleyin\u0259 he\u00e7 bir t\u0259sir etm\u0259di\u201d, – dey\u0259 \u201cVestnik Kavkaza\u201d yaz\u0131r. M\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7il\u0259r bir a\u011f\u0131zdan bildirirl\u0259r ki, \u0259g\u0259r az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar, k\u00fcrdl\u0259r, b\u0259luclar, \u0259r\u0259bl\u0259r birl\u0259\u015fib rejim\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 koordinasiyal\u0131 m\u00fcbariz\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flasalar, o zaman \u0130ran Yuqoslaviyan\u0131n taleyini t\u0259krarlayacaq.<\/p>\n He\u00e7 bir kompromis m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil<\/strong><\/p>\n X\u00fcsusi lideri olmasa da, indiki etiraz h\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131 \u00f6z m\u00f6hk\u0259mliyi il\u0259 se\u00e7ilir. H\u00f6kum\u0259t h\u0259d\u0259-qorxu il\u0259 etirazlar\u0131 yat\u0131rmaq c\u0259hdl\u0259rini davam etdirir. Lakin bel\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr ki, n\u00fcmayi\u015f\u00e7il\u0259rl\u0259 teokratik rejim aras\u0131nda he\u00e7 bir kompromis m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil. T\u0259l\u0259bl\u0259r getdikc\u0259 daha da radikalla\u015f\u0131r. Amma rejim d\u0259 \u0259mindir ki, ed\u0259c\u0259yi ist\u0259nil\u0259n g\u00fcz\u0259\u015ft z\u0259iflik \u0259lam\u0259ti kimi q\u0259bul edil\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 n\u00fcmayi\u015fl\u0259rin radikalla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racaq.<\/p>\n Suriya ssenarisi d\u0259 rejimin diqq\u0259tind\u0259dir – radikal islam\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 silahland\u0131rmaq, onlar\u0131 c\u0259miyy\u0259t \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 kimi t\u0259qdim etm\u0259k v\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259rini s\u00fcni \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 \u015fi\u015firtm\u0259k. Kommunikasiya doktrinas\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 qoyulan d\u00f6vl\u0259t yalanlar\u0131 \u0130ran\u0131n r\u0259smi televiziya v\u0259 m\u0259tbuat\u0131nda hakim element\u0259 \u00e7evrilib.<\/p>\n \u0130nternetin k\u0259silm\u0259si, r\u0259smi m\u0259tbuatda tam senzura, h\u0259bs edilmi\u015f v\u0259 guya \u201ct\u00f6vb\u0259 ed\u0259n\u201d \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rd\u0259n i\u015fg\u0259nc\u0259 alt\u0131nda g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcl\u0259n \u201cetiraf \u015foular\u0131\u201d, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 n\u00fcmayi\u015fl\u0259rin AB\u015e, \u0130srail v\u0259 daha \u00e7ox qlobal miqyasda \u0259cn\u0259bil\u0259rin hiyl\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirilm\u0259si indi adi hald\u0131r. Bir s\u00f6zl\u0259, art\u0131q dialoq v\u0259 bar\u0131\u015f\u0131q yollar\u0131 ba\u011flan\u0131b v\u0259 rejimin t\u0259zyiqi quyru\u011funu di\u015fl\u0259y\u0259n ilan kimi \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7evrilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yax\u0131n, yax\u0131n oldu\u011fu q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 uzaq olan qon\u015fu \u0130randa fars molla rejimin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 k\u0259skin etirazlar repressiya v\u0259 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r\u0259 baxmayaraq davam edir. \u00d6z\u00fcn\u00fc \u0259traf al\u0259md\u0259n t\u0259crid ed\u0259n \u0130ran rejimi kritik durumdad\u0131r. Rejim\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 nifr\u0259t g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259mi\u015f s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259lib v\u0259 prosesl\u0259rin gedi\u015fi g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, \u00f6lk\u0259ni \u0259vv\u0259lki qaydada idar\u0259 etm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil, insanlar da k\u00f6hn\u0259 qaydalarla ya\u015famaq ist\u0259mirl\u0259r. M\u00f6vcud durum \u0130ran\u0131 daha f\u0259lak\u0259tli ssenaril\u0259r\u0259 s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u0259yir. Ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 ill\u0259r uzunu milli, etnik ayr\u0131-se\u00e7kiliy\u0259 m\u0259ruz qalm\u0131\u015f xalqlar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fcmid yeridir. El\u0259 bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259ndir ki, onlar bu etirazlar\u0131n \u0259sas h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tverici q\u00fcvv\u0259si rolunda \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edirl\u0259r. Molla rejiminin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":543970,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/FotoJet-41.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Yax\u0131n, yax\u0131n oldu\u011fu q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 uzaq olan qon\u015fu \u0130randa fars molla rejimin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 k\u0259skin etirazlar repressiya v\u0259 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r\u0259 baxmayaraq davam edir. \u00d6z\u00fcn\u00fc \u0259traf al\u0259md\u0259n t\u0259crid ed\u0259n \u0130ran rejimi kritik durumdad\u0131r. Rejim\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 nifr\u0259t g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259mi\u015f s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259lib v\u0259 prosesl\u0259rin gedi\u015fi g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, \u00f6lk\u0259ni \u0259vv\u0259lki qaydada idar\u0259 etm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil, insanlar da k\u00f6hn\u0259 qaydalarla ya\u015famaq ist\u0259mirl\u0259r. M\u00f6vcud…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543969"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=543969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543969\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/543970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=543969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=543969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=543969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/p>\n
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