N\u00fcfuzlu analitik t\u0259\u015fkilat olan Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupunun hesablamas\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qar\u015f\u0131durmaya do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n
\u201cBeyin m\u0259rk\u0259zi\u201d proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r ki, bu il m\u00fcmk\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259rbi eskalasiyas\u0131 2020-ci ild\u0259ki 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n daha q\u0131sa, lakin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, daha dramatik olacaq.<\/p>\n
Y\u0259qin ki, Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupu dramatiklik m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259sini canland\u0131rark\u0259n \u0259sas\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k h\u0259lledici strateji n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur. \u00c7\u00fcnki analizd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fckl\u0259ri qabard\u0131l\u0131b v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u0259n z\u0259if b\u0259nd kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rilib.<\/p>\n
2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar prosesin\u0259 \u00f6z faydal\u0131 i\u015f \u0259msal\u0131n\u0131 qald\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck ver\u0259n diplomatik ritorikan\u0131n davam\u0131n\u0131 g\u0259tir\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n b\u0259zi sanc\u0131lar\u0131 is\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fclh g\u00fcnd\u0259minin formas\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si il\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259n\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Bak\u0131-\u0130r\u0259van dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131 v\u0259 bu m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259rin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tsiz dalana do\u011fru gedi\u015fi Az\u0259rbaycan d\u00f6vl\u0259tinin hesablamalar\u0131nda riskl\u0259r kateqoriyas\u0131nda yer al\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bunu Bak\u0131dan s\u0259sl\u0259n\u0259n b\u0259yanatlardan v\u0259 \u0130r\u0259vandan ucalan qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n s\u0259sl\u0259rd\u0259n duymaq olur. Erm\u0259nistan Az\u0259rbaycandan f\u0259rqli olaraq prosesi s\u00fclhl\u0259 yekunla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa deyil, \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 interval g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcb revan\u015fizm\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015fmaqdan \u00f6tr\u00fc istifad\u0259 edir.<\/p>\n
Rusiyan\u0131n prosesl\u0259rd\u0259ki yeri is\u0259 Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259nin gedi\u015fatlar\u0131 il\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fir, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, Moskvan\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqaza bax\u0131\u015f\u0131nda strateji redakt\u0259l\u0259r ed\u0259c\u0259yini dem\u0259k d\u00fczg\u00fcn s\u0259sl\u0259nm\u0259z.<\/p>\n
Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupu qeyd edir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynada apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259sinin \u0259ks-s\u0259das\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259sirl\u0259ri x\u00fcsusil\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fib.<\/p>\n
Bu fikird\u0259n yola \u00e7\u0131xaraq, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda beyn\u0259lxalq oyun\u00e7ular kontekstind\u0259 m\u0259rk\u0259z Rusiya olsa da, n\u00fcfuz balans\u0131n\u0131n Kremld\u0259n s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb \u00e7\u0131xmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Q\u0259rb t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n planlar icra edildiyini dey\u0259 bil\u0259rik.<\/p>\n
Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259 n\u0259h\u0259ng maraq toqqu\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n episentrind\u0259 yer almaqdan qa\u00e7\u0131r v\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r\u0259 qalib obraz kimi tan\u0131tmaq, bundan sonra da h\u0259lledici n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r qazanmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00fcc n\u00fcmayi\u015fi g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k z\u0259rur\u0259tini hiss edir.<\/p>\n
Rusiya Ukraynada \u0259zablara d\u00fc\u00e7ar olsa da, dig\u0259r regionlar \u00fczr\u0259 aqressiv niyy\u0259tl\u0259rini Bak\u0131ya qar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7evirm\u0259k x\u0259ttin\u0259 getmir .<\/p>\n
Bunun s\u0259b\u0259bi h\u0259m Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 strateji m\u00fctt\u0259fiqliyi, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 yax\u015f\u0131la\u015fan \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ridir. Bunlar Az\u0259rbaycan-Rusiya \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q format\u0131na yeni x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259r g\u0259tirir.<\/p>\n
Rusiya q\u0259z\u0259bli tonunu Erm\u0259nistana hiss etdirir, \u00e7\u00fcnki \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n Kremlin quca\u011f\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb Q\u0259rbin a\u011fu\u015funa at\u0131lmas\u0131 c\u0259hdl\u0259ri Moskva \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 cizgil\u0259rin tapdalanmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Az\u0259rbaycan Rusiya il\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n g\u0259rginliyind\u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck ustal\u0131qla istifad\u0259 edir v\u0259 Moskvan\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yici formullar\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Az\u0259rbaycan Q\u0259rbd\u0259n d\u0259 eyni m\u00fcnasib\u0259t g\u00f6r\u00fcr, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, Fransa \u0259ks-c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259 q\u0259rarla\u015f\u0131b.<\/p>\n
Q\u0259rbin dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n v\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131ndan veril\u0259n b\u0259yanatlarda ikitir\u0259li fikirl\u0259r olsa da, bu, Bak\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin xarakterini z\u0259d\u0259l\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 \u00e7atm\u0131r. Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259nin \u015fidd\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259si il\u0259 enerji bazarlar\u0131n\u0131n laxlamas\u0131 fonunda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Avropan\u0131n enerji bazarlar\u0131nda ba\u015f rola yiy\u0259l\u0259nir, buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, Q\u0259rb Bak\u0131ya qar\u015f\u0131 h\u0259dsiz aqressiv t\u0259rz n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdir\u0259n deyil.<\/p>\n
Dem\u0259li, Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rinin qurulmas\u0131 prosesind\u0259 Rusiya da, Q\u0259rb d\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131ndad\u0131r, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, h\u0259r\u0259sinin \u00f6z f\u0259rqli strateji m\u0259ntiql\u0259ri m\u00f6vcuddur.<\/p>\n
Bak\u0131 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n qeyri-adekvat davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 fonunda regional v\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq konyunkturan\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin g\u00fcc yolu il\u0259 nizamlanmas\u0131n\u0131 r\u0259hb\u0259r tuta bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Buna t\u0259kan ver\u0259n 4 \u0259sas amil:<\/p>\n
1. Erm\u0259nistan Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n delimitasiyaya dair t\u0259l\u0259bl\u0259rini qar\u015f\u0131lam\u0131r,<\/p>\n
2. Erm\u0259nistan biclik ed\u0259r\u0259k silahlanmaq m\u0259cras\u0131na girm\u0259y\u0259 c\u0259hd edir,<\/p>\n
3. Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259ntiqi il\u0259 raz\u0131la\u015fm\u0131r,<\/p>\n
4. Qaraba\u011fda a\u00e7\u0131q qalan m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rin h\u0259llind\u0259 Erm\u0259nistandan kart kimi istifad\u0259 edilm\u0259y\u0259 c\u0259hdl\u0259r olunur.<\/p>\n
Bak\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn kartlar\u0131 – h\u0259m diplomatik-siyasi t\u0259zyiq, h\u0259m d\u0259 h\u0259rbi-siyasi t\u0259zyiql\u0259r \u2013 var ki, bu da ona xeyli \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck qazand\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Rusiya il\u0259 Q\u0259rb aras\u0131ndak\u0131 k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015f\u0259n maraq \u00e7arp\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, strateji yana\u015fmalar\u0131ndak\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 bir-birind\u0259n uzaqla\u015fan tezisl\u0259r Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131n dalana dir\u0259nm\u0259sind\u0259 rol oynay\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Rusiya il\u0259 Q\u0259rbin ortaq m\u0259xr\u0259c\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259 bilm\u0259m\u0259si Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rinin t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259si yolunu bat\u0131r\u0131r, Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259 g\u00fcc yolu il\u0259 ist\u0259diyini alma\u011f\u0131 prioritet kimi ortal\u0131\u011fa qoyur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
N\u00fcfuzlu analitik t\u0259\u015fkilat olan Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupunun hesablamas\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qar\u015f\u0131durmaya do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k. \u201cBeyin m\u0259rk\u0259zi\u201d proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r ki, bu il m\u00fcmk\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259rbi eskalasiyas\u0131 2020-ci ild\u0259ki 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n daha q\u0131sa, lakin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, daha dramatik olacaq. Y\u0259qin ki, Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupu dramatiklik m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259sini canland\u0131rark\u0259n \u0259sas\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k h\u0259lledici strateji n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur. \u00c7\u00fcnki analizd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fckl\u0259ri qabard\u0131l\u0131b v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u0259n z\u0259if b\u0259nd kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rilib. 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar prosesin\u0259 \u00f6z faydal\u0131 i\u015f \u0259msal\u0131n\u0131 qald\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck ver\u0259n diplomatik ritorikan\u0131n davam\u0131n\u0131 g\u0259tir\u0259 bil\u0259r. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":551612,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/DSC_0470.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"N\u00fcfuzlu analitik t\u0259\u015fkilat olan Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupunun hesablamas\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qar\u015f\u0131durmaya do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k. \u201cBeyin m\u0259rk\u0259zi\u201d proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r ki, bu il m\u00fcmk\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259rbi eskalasiyas\u0131 2020-ci ild\u0259ki 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n daha q\u0131sa, lakin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, daha dramatik olacaq. Y\u0259qin ki, Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupu dramatiklik m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259sini canland\u0131rark\u0259n \u0259sas\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k h\u0259lledici…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/551611"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=551611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/551611\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/551612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=551611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=551611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=551611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}