\u201cKaspi\u201d<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0q\u0259zeti m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ekspert v\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na yer verib:<\/p>\n \u0130lin \u0259n d\u0259bd\u0259 olan s\u00f6z\u00fc hans\u0131 olacaq?<\/strong><\/p>\n Q\u0259rb m\u0259tbuat\u0131na inansaq, yeni il d\u0259 biz\u0259 he\u00e7 d\u0259 rahatl\u0131q v\u0259d etmir. \u018fksin\u0259, ilin \u0259n d\u0259bd\u0259 olan s\u00f6z\u00fc \u201cresessiya\u201d olacaq. Bel\u0259 ki, ard\u0131c\u0131l iki r\u00fcb \u0259rzind\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m tempinin m\u0259nfi olmas\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu da \u00f6z n\u00f6vb\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn iqtisadi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin pisl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 daha d\u0259rin probleml\u0259rin yaranmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r.<\/p>\n Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun (BVF) icra\u00e7\u0131 direktoru Kristalina Georgievan\u0131n da 2023-l\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u0259sl\u0259ndirdiyi b\u0259dbin proqnoz ilin \u00e7\u0259tin ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259yind\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir. BVF r\u0259hb\u0259ri bildirib ki, t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 qlobal iqtisadiyyat\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7d\u0259 birin\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k. O x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131q edib ki, bu il qlobal iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn gerid\u0259 qoydu\u011fumuz ild\u0259n daha \u00e7\u0259tin olacaq. “Niy\u0259? \u00c7\u00fcnki \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadiyyat – AB\u015e, A\u0130 v\u0259 \u00c7in – eyni anda yava\u015flay\u0131r”, – dey\u0259 BVF r\u0259hb\u0259ri vur\u011fulay\u0131b. O \u0259lav\u0259 edib ki, y\u00fcz milyonlarla insan \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl durumunda hiss ed\u0259c\u0259k. AB\u015e t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcld\u0259n qa\u00e7a bils\u0259 d\u0259, Ukrayna m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sind\u0259n a\u011f\u0131r z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r alan Avropan\u0131n v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti daha ac\u0131nacaql\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. “Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131nda iqtisadiyyatlar t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl\u0259 u\u011frayacaq”, – dey\u0259 o bildirib. BVF r\u0259hb\u0259ri \u0259lav\u0259 edib ki, son 40 ild\u0259 ilk d\u0259f\u0259 \u00c7inin iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n qlobal art\u0131m s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 v\u0259 ya ondan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal edilir. Bu is\u0259 \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 Asiya iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201ckifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r g\u0259rginlik\u201d v\u0259di dem\u0259kdir: “M\u0259n Asiya liderl\u0259ri il\u0259 dan\u0131\u015fanda ham\u0131s\u0131 sualla ba\u015flay\u0131r: \u00c7in\u0259 n\u0259 olacaq? \u00c7in daha y\u00fcks\u0259k art\u0131m templ\u0259rin\u0259 qay\u0131dacaqm\u0131?”.<\/p>\n Beyn\u0259lxalq qurumlar\u0131n 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259ki b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 salmas\u0131 h\u0259m d\u0259 inki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin s\u0259rt pul-kredit siyas\u0259ti aparacaqlar\u0131na dair g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Proqnozlardan ayd\u0131n olur ki, inflyasiya g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri il \u0259rzind\u0259 yen\u0259 d\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k olacaq. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, b\u0259zi qurumlar\u0131n fikrinc\u0259 qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259viyy\u0259si 2022-ci ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259 daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olacaq. Ancaq bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 inflyasiya g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri yen\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131 a\u015facaq.<\/p>\n Qlobal iqtisadi t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl qa\u00e7\u0131lmazd\u0131r<\/strong><\/p>\n Dan\u0131lmaz faktd\u0131r ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynaya qar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259si n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 yaranan b\u00f6hran inki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259 b\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fcb v\u0259 h\u0259min \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 rekord inflyasiyaya s\u0259b\u0259b olub. M\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 b\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259n uzaq \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 \u0259rzaq v\u0259 g\u00fcbr\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri bahala\u015f\u0131b. Enerji da\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131 is\u0259 \u00f6z n\u00f6vb\u0259sind\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u015foku \u2013 makroiqtisadi sabitliyin itirilm\u0259si t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sini daha da g\u00fccl\u0259ndirib. Haz\u0131rda h\u0259r \u015fey bu \u00fc\u00e7 amilin – geosiyasi, enerji v\u0259 iqtisadi v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin nec\u0259 inki\u015faf etm\u0259sind\u0259n v\u0259 bir-birin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir etm\u0259sind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Avropan\u0131n bir \u00e7ox iqtisadiyyatlar\u0131 art\u0131q t\u0259n\u0259zz\u00fcl \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259dir. \u0130nflyasiyan\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259l\u0259b olunan y\u00fcks\u0259k faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259ri istehlak x\u0259rcl\u0259rini daha da azaldacaq v\u0259 i\u015fsizliyi art\u0131racaq. \u0130ndiy\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Avropa h\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259ri k\u00fctl\u0259vi subsidiyalar v\u0259 qiym\u0259t m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259ri il\u0259 istehlak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 enerji qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin \u0259n pis \u015fokundan qoruyub. Lakin bu, sonsuza q\u0259d\u0259r davam ed\u0259 bilm\u0259z. D\u00fcnyaca m\u0259\u015fhur \u201cBloomberg\u201d d\u0259 yaz\u0131r ki, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 investorlar qlobal iqtisadiyyat\u0131 xaosa s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u0259y\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k riskl\u0259rd\u0259n qa\u00e7ma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaqlar. Proqnozlar is\u0259 bel\u0259dir ki, s\u0259hml\u0259r v\u0259 istiqrazlar d\u0259y\u0259r itirm\u0259kd\u0259 davam ed\u0259c\u0259k, dollar g\u00fccl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 inki\u015faf etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan bazarlar yeni s\u0131naqlardan \u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n 2023-c\u00fc il Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 yax\u015f\u0131 n\u0259s\u0259 v\u0259d etmir\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n 2023-c\u00fc il Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 yax\u015f\u0131 n\u0259s\u0259 v\u0259d etmir. \u018fn optimist rusiyal\u0131 iqtisad\u00e7\u0131lar bel\u0259 etiraf edirl\u0259r ki, bu il ruslar\u0131n al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131q qabiliyy\u0259tl\u0259ri xeyli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si v\u0259 buna g\u00f6r\u0259 t\u0259tbiq edil\u0259n sanksiyalar 2022-ci ild\u0259 Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ciddi s\u0131naq olub. \u00d6t\u0259n il daxili resurslar sanksiyalar\u0131n t\u0259sirini bir q\u0259d\u0259r yum\u015faltd\u0131. Amma zaman ke\u00e7dikc\u0259 t\u0259sirl\u0259r artacaq. G\u0259l\u0259n il Rusiyada rublun n\u00f6vb\u0259ti k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131, daha y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu da \u00f6lk\u0259ni defolt v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n Yeni il he\u00e7 d\u0259 rahatl\u0131q v\u0259d etmir. \u018fksin\u0259, ilin \u0259n d\u0259bd\u0259 olan s\u00f6z\u00fc \u201cresessiya\u201d olacaq. Bel\u0259 ki, bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ard\u0131c\u0131l iki r\u00fcb \u0259rzind\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m tempinin m\u0259nfi olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu da \u00f6z n\u00f6vb\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn iqtisadi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin pisl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 daha d\u0259rin probleml\u0259rin yaranmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq. 2022-ci il d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rinc\u0259 a\u011f\u0131r ke\u00e7di. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 iqtisadi z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259 qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz oldu, bu da onlar\u0131n ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131na da m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir etdi. Bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 son onillikl\u0259rin \u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nd\u0131. \u0130lboyu enerji bazarlar\u0131 il\u0259 d\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ciddi \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar ortaya \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131.…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":552812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FotoJet-1-7.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Yeni il he\u00e7 d\u0259 rahatl\u0131q v\u0259d etmir. \u018fksin\u0259, ilin \u0259n d\u0259bd\u0259 olan s\u00f6z\u00fc \u201cresessiya\u201d olacaq. Bel\u0259 ki, bir \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ard\u0131c\u0131l iki r\u00fcb \u0259rzind\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m tempinin m\u0259nfi olaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu da \u00f6z n\u00f6vb\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn iqtisadi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin pisl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 daha d\u0259rin probleml\u0259rin yaranmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq. 2022-ci il d\u00fcnya iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yet\u0259rinc\u0259 a\u011f\u0131r ke\u00e7di. \u0130nki\u015faf etmi\u015f…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552811"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=552811"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552811\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/552812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=552811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=552811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=552811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/p>\n
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Bir \u00e7ox ekspertl\u0259r is\u0259 haz\u0131rk\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 Rusiya iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n taleyi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcmumi proqnozlar verm\u0259yin m\u0259nas\u0131z oldu\u011fu q\u0259na\u0259tind\u0259dirl\u0259r. Moskva D\u00f6vl\u0259t Universitetinin \u0130qtisadiyyat fak\u00fclt\u0259sinin \u0130qtisadi Siyas\u0259t T\u0259dqiqatlar\u0131 M\u0259rk\u0259zinin direktoru Oleq Buklemi\u015fev qeyd edib ki, indiki vaxtda h\u0259tta pe\u015f\u0259kar makroiqtisad\u00e7\u0131lar bel\u0259 n\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131ra bilmirl\u0259r. O hesab edir ki, \u201cbuna s\u0259b\u0259b proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131la bilm\u0259y\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259r silsil\u0259sidir. M\u00f6vcud v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 f\u0259rziyy\u0259l\u0259r ir\u0259li s\u00fcrm\u0259k \u00e7ox m\u0259nas\u0131zd\u0131r. 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 d\u0259qiq n\u0259 olacaq, biz d\u0259 bilmirik v\u0259 h\u0259r hans\u0131 variant\u0131 t\u0259hlil etm\u0259yin d\u0259 m\u0259nas\u0131 yoxdur”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"