C\u0259nubi Qafqaz qlobal siyasi qar\u015f\u0131durmalar\u0131n qaynar n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259dir – \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 bel\u0259 bar\u0131t \u00e7\u0259ll\u0259yini odlamaq missiyas\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n piyada kimi t\u0259msil\u00e7iliyi art\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan Kollektiv T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik M\u00fcqavil\u0259si T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n (KTMT) Minskd\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k sessiyas\u0131nda i\u015ftirakdan imtina edir, paralel olaraq Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259sind\u0259ki h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131ndan tutmu\u015f dig\u0259r siyasi vektorlar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 kampaniyaya start verir.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 des\u0259k, Pa\u015finyan\u0131n bu q\u0259d\u0259r a\u015fkar ritorika il\u0259 Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u00f6vrl\u0259ri bir sual yarad\u0131r – g\u00f6r\u0259s\u0259n, Pa\u015finyan \u00f6z\u00fc bil\u0259r\u0259kd\u0259n Moskvan\u0131n regiondak\u0131 i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q s\u0259viyy\u0259sini qoruyub-saxlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn gizli missiyan\u0131 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irir?<\/p>\n
Bu tezisi s\u00fcbut ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k a\u015fkar d\u0259lill\u0259r tapmaq \u00e7\u0259tindir, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiya il\u0259 m\u00fcbariz\u0259d\u0259 qalib \u00e7\u0131xa bilm\u0259m\u0259k h\u0259qiq\u0259ti Pa\u015finyan\u0131n h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t trayektoriyas\u0131ndak\u0131 hiyl\u0259g\u0259rlikl\u0259ri a\u00e7a bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Amma h\u0259l\u0259lik \u00fczd\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n \u0259n dol\u011fun informasiyalar v\u0259 Moskva-\u0130r\u0259van x\u0259ttind\u0259ki q\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131 \u0259ks etdir\u0259n qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 ittihamlar Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Q\u0259rb vektoruna s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ox g\u00f6z\u0259l \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 canland\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n siyas\u0259tind\u0259ki Q\u0259rbl\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131ndak\u0131 m\u00fcvazin\u0259tini itirib b\u00fct\u00fcn resurslar\u0131n\u0131 birincinin xeyrin\u0259 \u0259ym\u0259si regionu geosiyasi qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n cinah\u0131na \u00e7evirir.<\/p>\n
Erm\u0259nistan \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcqavim\u0259t tablosu yaradan \u0259sas g\u00fcc AB\u015e-dir, Fransa is\u0259 Moskva \u0259leyhin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcns\u0259 d\u0259, onun \u0259sas m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259ri f\u0259rqli m\u0259cralara do\u011fru y\u00f6n al\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan \u0259razisind\u0259 geni\u015fl\u0259n\u0259n f\u0259aliyy\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, bu, h\u0259m Fransan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 AB\u015e-nin \u015f\u0259rikli i\u015fi kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Qal\u0131r ki, AB\u015e il\u0259 Fransa \u015f\u0259rikli i\u015fd\u0259n n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r pay alma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar v\u0259 Paris, m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, ala bil\u0259c\u0259yi s\u0259hml\u0259ri Rusiya il\u0259 b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 d\u0259 haz\u0131rd\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki Paris yekunda bilir ki, o, Q\u0259rb sistemind\u0259 o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 etibarl\u0131 deyil, \u00fcst\u0259g\u0259l Fransa, bu azm\u0131\u015f kimi, AB\u015e il\u0259 gizli r\u0259qab\u0259ti d\u0259 inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259kd\u0259n \u00e7\u0259kinmir.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran\u0131n Erm\u0259nistanla \u0259laq\u0259dar siyas\u0259tind\u0259ki redakt\u0259l\u0259r etm\u0259si m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si bu m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259blik daxilind\u0259 diqq\u0259td\u0259n k\u0259narda qala bilm\u0259z. Son zamanlar Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Tehran aras\u0131ndak\u0131 g\u0259rginliyin yum\u015fald\u0131lmas\u0131 istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 at\u0131lan add\u0131mlar\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 geosiyasi n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 haz\u0131rl\u0131q kimi d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
M\u0259nc\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Q\u0259rb oriyentasiyas\u0131na girm\u0259k c\u0259hdinin \u0130randa yarada bil\u0259c\u0259yi q\u0131c\u0131qlar bar\u0259d\u0259 Pa\u015finyan\u0131n x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n (bu m\u0259lumat iddia s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259dir) Tehrana qar\u015f\u0131 ciddi bir m\u0259naland\u0131rmas\u0131 var.<\/p>\n
H\u0259r halda, qeyd olunan m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rin kombinasiyas\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n manevr imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fck bir bo\u015flu\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sini vahid bir paketd\u0259 canland\u0131randa \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n taleyi haqq\u0131nda b\u0259dbin bir proqnoz yaran\u0131r.<\/p>\n
B\u0259li, Erm\u0259nistan geosiyasi qar\u015f\u0131durmalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda \u0259zilm\u0259y\u0259 h\u0259r g\u00fcn yax\u0131nla\u015f\u0131r, lakin hesablam\u0131r ki, o, n\u0259h\u0259ngl\u0259rin s\u00f6vd\u0259l\u0259\u015fm\u0259 predmetinin t\u0259rkib hiss\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n biri olur.<\/p>\n
Bu fikrin m\u0259naland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 zaman\u0131 cari v\u0259 perspektiv regional \u015f\u0259kill\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 fokuslanmaq lab\u00fcdd\u00fcr. F\u0259rz ed\u0259k ki, Erm\u0259nistan geosiyasi toqqu\u015fman\u0131n poliqonu olur. O zaman birinci m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 onunla tamamlan\u0131r ki, \u0130r\u0259van bir yer\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Rusiyan\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r – uza\u011f\u0131, siyasi s\u0259hn\u0259d\u0259.<\/p>\n
\u0130kinci m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan Q\u0259rb-Rusiya s\u00f6vd\u0259l\u0259\u015fm\u0259sinin qurban\u0131 olmaq taleyini ya\u015fay\u0131r v\u0259 bu n\u00f6qt\u0259d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n regional maraqlar\u0131ndak\u0131 \u00e7alarlar m\u00fctl\u0259q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131r.<\/p>\n
H\u0259l\u0259lik bu geosiyasi r\u0259qab\u0259tin \u201cf\u0131rt\u0131nadan \u00f6nc\u0259ki\u201d s\u0259hn\u0259sind\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q oyun\u00e7ular AB\u015e v\u0259 Rusiyad\u0131r. Va\u015finqton is\u0259 \u0130r\u0259van\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259 ssenarisin\u0259 haz\u0131rlay\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u201cCaliber\u201din etibarl\u0131 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n \u0259ld\u0259 etdiyi m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, AB\u015e v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin bir s\u0131ra m\u00fcvafiq departamentl\u0259rinin y\u00fcks\u0259kv\u0259zif\u0259li \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259ri s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 intensiv h\u00f6kum\u0259tl\u0259raras\u0131 m\u0259sl\u0259h\u0259tl\u0259\u015fm\u0259l\u0259r ba\u015f tutub.<\/p>\n
M\u0259lumata \u0259sas\u0259n, Va\u015finqtonla \u0130r\u0259van aras\u0131nda raz\u0131la\u015fma \u0259ld\u0259 edilib. Raz\u0131la\u015fmaya \u0259sas\u0259n, Rusiya Erm\u0259nistana t\u0259zyiq g\u00f6st\u0259rs\u0259 v\u0259 ya embarqo t\u0259tbiq ets\u0259, AB\u015e \u0130r\u0259van\u0131 h\u0259rbi sah\u0259d\u0259n tutmu\u015f iqtisadi al\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r geni\u015f bir yard\u0131m paketi il\u0259 t\u0259min ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n
Bu, \u0259m\u0259lli-ba\u015fl\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 ssenarisidir v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131 t\u0259hrik edir ki, Erm\u0259nistana qar\u015f\u0131 \u015fifahi h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131 praktiki fazaya sals\u0131n. Nec\u0259 dey\u0259rl\u0259r, sanki Ukrayna ssenarisi haz\u0131rlan\u0131r, bu d\u0259f\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n Moskvaya qar\u015f\u0131 tu\u015flanan \u201csilahlar\u201d\u0131n ba\u015fqatan tama\u015fa olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Amma Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n n\u0259y\u0259 g\u00fcv\u0259nm\u0259si maraql\u0131d\u0131r, \u00e7\u00fcnki \u0259n az\u0131ndan, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 Rusiya h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131 m\u00f6vcuddur v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik, iqtisadi v\u0259 d\u0259miryol sistemi Rusiyan\u0131n birba\u015fa t\u0259siri alt\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Lap bunu da k\u0259nara qoyub bu iki ritorik sual \u0259traf\u0131nda ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u0259k:<\/p>\n
1. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 Rusiya qo\u015funlar\u0131na hans\u0131 m\u00fcqavim\u0259t g\u00fcc\u00fc v\u0259 ruhu var?<\/p>\n
2. Do\u011frudanm\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan Rusiyan\u0131n asanl\u0131qla ondan \u0259l \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259yini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr?<\/p>\n
\u0130ndi proqnoz do\u011fur ki, Erm\u0259nistan q\u0259rby\u00f6n\u00fcml\u00fc oriyentasiyas\u0131na sadiq qalsa, \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 xaotik v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin yarad\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u00fcym\u0259l\u0259r b\u0259rk s\u0131x\u0131lacaq. Bu ssenari \u00fczr\u0259 ciddilik \u0259msal\u0131n\u0131 zaman g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k, lakin art\u0131q Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn d\u0259 ox yaydan \u00e7\u0131xm\u0131\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259dir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
C\u0259nubi Qafqaz qlobal siyasi qar\u015f\u0131durmalar\u0131n qaynar n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259dir – \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 bel\u0259 bar\u0131t \u00e7\u0259ll\u0259yini odlamaq missiyas\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n piyada kimi t\u0259msil\u00e7iliyi art\u0131r. Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan Kollektiv T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik M\u00fcqavil\u0259si T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n (KTMT) Minskd\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k sessiyas\u0131nda i\u015ftirakdan imtina edir, paralel olaraq Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259sind\u0259ki h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131ndan tutmu\u015f dig\u0259r siyasi vektorlar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 kampaniyaya start verir. A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 des\u0259k, Pa\u015finyan\u0131n bu q\u0259d\u0259r a\u015fkar ritorika il\u0259 Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 t\u00f6vrl\u0259ri bir sual yarad\u0131r – g\u00f6r\u0259s\u0259n, Pa\u015finyan \u00f6z\u00fc bil\u0259r\u0259kd\u0259n Moskvan\u0131n regiondak\u0131 i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q s\u0259viyy\u0259sini qoruyub-saxlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn gizli missiyan\u0131 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irir? Bu tezisi s\u00fcbut ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k a\u015fkar d\u0259lill\u0259r tapmaq…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":656709,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/2-427.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"C\u0259nubi Qafqaz qlobal siyasi qar\u015f\u0131durmalar\u0131n qaynar n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259dir – \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 bel\u0259 bar\u0131t \u00e7\u0259ll\u0259yini odlamaq missiyas\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n piyada kimi t\u0259msil\u00e7iliyi art\u0131r. Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan Kollektiv T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik M\u00fcqavil\u0259si T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n (KTMT) Minskd\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k sessiyas\u0131nda i\u015ftirakdan imtina edir, paralel olaraq Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259sind\u0259ki h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131ndan tutmu\u015f dig\u0259r siyasi vektorlar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 kampaniyaya start verir. A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 des\u0259k,…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/656705"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=656705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/656705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/656709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=656705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=656705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=656705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}