Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 v\u0259 onun h\u00fcdudlar\u0131ndan k\u0259narda geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin, h\u0259rbi eskalasiyalar\u0131n artd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda Pakistan v\u0259 \u0130ran bir-birl\u0259rinin \u0259razil\u0259rin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endiribl\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Pakistan\u0131n B\u0259lucistan \u0259yal\u0259ti il\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n Sistan v\u0259 B\u0259lucistan vilay\u0259ti aras\u0131nda t\u0259xmin\u0259n 900 kilometr uzanan qeyri-stabil bir s\u0259rh\u0259d var.<\/p>\n
H\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259 B\u0259luc b\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259 silahl\u0131larla d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr v\u0259 onlar\u0131n ortaq separat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259ni olsa da, bir-birl\u0259rinin \u0259razil\u0259rin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endirm\u0259l\u0259ri qeyri-adi bir hald\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran v\u0259 Pakistan silahl\u0131 qeyri-d\u00f6vl\u0259t aktorlar\u0131n\u0131n – Pakistanda \u201cCey\u015f \u0259l-\u018fdl\u201d, \u0130randa B\u0259lucistan Azadl\u0131q Ordusu v\u0259 B\u0259lucistan Azadl\u0131q C\u0259bh\u0259sinin – s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaqlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259f\u0259 al\u0131blar. H\u0259r bir \u00f6lk\u0259 dig\u0259rini silahl\u0131lara s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaq verm\u0259kd\u0259 ittiham edir.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Bununla bel\u0259, \u0130ranla Pakistan\u0131n bir-birinin hava m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131 n\u00fcmayi\u015fkaran\u0259 \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 pozmas\u0131 iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda h\u0259rbi-siyasi v\u0259 diplomatik g\u0259rginliy\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olsa da, onlar\u0131n ritorikas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcharib\u0259 h\u0259ddin\u0259 \u00e7ataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmaq olmur.<\/p>\n
\u00c7\u00fcnki \u0130ranla Pakistan\u0131n m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri el\u0259 d\u0259 k\u0259skin bir tonda deyil, daha do\u011frusu, \u00e7\u0259tin v\u0259 m\u0259hsuldar \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r m\u00f6vcuddur. \u018fn maraql\u0131s\u0131 is\u0259 budur ki, hava h\u00fccumundan bir ne\u00e7\u0259 saat \u0259vv\u0259l \u0130ran v\u0259 Pakistan Fars k\u00f6rf\u0259zind\u0259 ortaq h\u0259rbi t\u0259lim ke\u00e7iribl\u0259r v\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri H\u00fcseyn \u018fmir-Abdullahian Davosda D\u00fcnya \u0130qtisadi Forumu \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 Pakistan\u0131n m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti ba\u015f naziri \u018fnvar-ul-Haq Kakar il\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb.<\/p>\n
El\u0259 is\u0259 sual olunur, n\u0259 ba\u015f verdi ki, Tehranla \u0130slamabad yax\u015f\u0131 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri unudub qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 pis ssenari il\u0259 oynama\u011fa ba\u015flad\u0131lar?<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u0130lk olaraq \u0130ran Pakistan \u0259razisind\u0259 \u201cCey\u015f \u0259l-\u018fdl\u201d qrupla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cqala\u201dlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259f\u0259 alaraq onlar\u0131n m\u00f6vqel\u0259rin\u0259 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif n\u00f6v silahlardan aviaz\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endirdi.<\/p>\n
\u201cCey\u015f \u0259l-\u018fdl\u201d \u0130ran \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn problematikdir v\u0259 bu qrupla\u015fma \u0130ran \u0259razisind\u0259 xeyli terrorun m\u00fc\u0259llifin\u0259 v\u0259 ya icra\u00e7\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7evrilib.<\/p>\n
Lakin \u0130ran\u0131n Pakistan \u0259razisind\u0259ki \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259rzi Tehran\u0131n Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 \u0259z\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rini \u015fi\u015firtm\u0259sinin i\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha \u00e7ox ayd\u0131nla\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n
D\u00fczd\u00fcr, Pakistana h\u00fccumlar v\u0259 Pakistan\u0131n da qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 cavablar verm\u0259si birba\u015fa \u0130sraill\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259li deyil.<\/p>\n
Tehran z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259rini anti-\u0130ran terror qrupla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259f ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etm\u0259si il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirir. Bu, Livanda \u201cHizbullah\u201d, F\u0259l\u0259stind\u0259 H\u018fMAS kimi \u0130srail\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 olan q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n v\u0259 t\u0259chiz ed\u0259n \u0130ran\u0131n ba\u015fqa regionda da daha c\u0259sar\u0259tli birba\u015fa h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259r ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 i\u015far\u0259dir.<\/p>\n
Ancaq \u0130ranla Pakistan aras\u0131nda qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259rin geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 h\u0259rbi eskalasiya yaratmas\u0131 z\u0259if versiyad\u0131r, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla bir-birl\u0259rini terror\u00e7ulara s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaq verm\u0259kd\u0259 ittiham ed\u0259n bu iki \u00f6lk\u0259 diplomatik-siyasi yollarla v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti yoluna qoymaq s\u0259yl\u0259rini \u00fcst\u00fcn tutacaqlar.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran elitas\u0131ndak\u0131 sava\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130randa mart ay\u0131nda Ekspert Assambleyas\u0131na se\u00e7ki g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir v\u0259 SEPAH var g\u00fcc\u00fc il\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u00fcst\u00fc bir quruma \u00e7evrildiyini r\u0259smil\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259kd\u0259n \u00f6tr\u00fc prosesi \u0259l\u0259 alma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \u0130randa daxili siyasi istebli\u015fment qaynayanda SEPAH h\u0259m Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin, h\u0259m d\u0259 prezidentlik institutunun xarici \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259k t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259rini bloklamaqdan \u00f6tr\u00fc sinov gedir.<\/p>\n SEPAH h\u0259rbi-siyasi v\u0259 ruhani elitadak\u0131 m\u00fcbariz\u0259ni q\u0131z\u0131\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b ona y\u00f6n verm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn xarici c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259ki silahlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015f\u0259 salmaq t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259sin\u0259 malikdir, dem\u0259li, \u0130ran\u0131n Pakistana z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 bir d\u0259 bu aspektd\u0259n qiym\u0259t verm\u0259k olar.<\/p>\n Bu m\u0259ntiql\u0259, h\u0259rbi g\u0259rginlik \u0130rana t\u0259kc\u0259 xarici t\u0259hdidl\u0259r qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 daxili arena qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirm\u0259y\u0259 imkan verib.<\/p>\n Bununla bel\u0259, bu raket h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran\u0131n \u0259ziyy\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kdiyi fundamental t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik probleml\u0259rinin h\u0259lli olub-olmayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ox \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259lidir. Bunu h\u0259tta bu h\u00fccumlardan sonra Pakistan s\u0259rh\u0259dind\u0259 \u0130ran t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin \u0259m\u0259kda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259si d\u0259 s\u00fcbut edir.<\/p>\n N\u018fT\u0130C\u018f<\/strong><\/p>\n Ancaq s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olmayaraq, h\u0259rbi insidentl\u0259r \u0130ran-Pakistan geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutmur. \u00c7\u00fcnki n\u0259 \u0130ran, n\u0259 d\u0259 Pakistan dig\u0259rinin r\u0259smi q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 v\u0259 ya aktivl\u0259rin\u0259 h\u00fccum edib.<\/p>\n Bunun \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, h\u0259r biri problemli hesab etdiyi cihad q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 dig\u0259rinin \u0259razisi daxilind\u0259 h\u00fccumlar h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irib.<\/p>\n Bununla bel\u0259, geosiyasi oyun\u00e7ular\u0131n \u00f6zl\u0259rinin qlobal strateji maraqlar\u0131 namin\u0259 \u0130ran-Pakistan g\u0259rginlik m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 hans\u0131 toxumlar\u0131 atacaqlar\u0131 da prosesl\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bilm\u0259k qabiliyy\u0259tini saxlay\u0131r.<\/p>\n M\u0259nfi ssenarid\u0259 ilkin m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li faktor bel\u0259dir ki, Pakistanla \u0130ran\u0131n m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri pisl\u0259\u015fs\u0259, bu, iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin ild\u0259 iki milyard dollarl\u0131q ticar\u0259t d\u00f6vriyy\u0259sin\u0259 z\u0259r\u0259r vurmaq riski da\u015f\u0131yacaq.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 v\u0259 onun h\u00fcdudlar\u0131ndan k\u0259narda geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin, h\u0259rbi eskalasiyalar\u0131n artd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda Pakistan v\u0259 \u0130ran bir-birl\u0259rinin \u0259razil\u0259rin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endiribl\u0259r. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Pakistan\u0131n B\u0259lucistan \u0259yal\u0259ti il\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n Sistan v\u0259 B\u0259lucistan vilay\u0259ti aras\u0131nda t\u0259xmin\u0259n 900 kilometr uzanan qeyri-stabil bir s\u0259rh\u0259d var. H\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259 B\u0259luc b\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259 silahl\u0131larla d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr v\u0259 onlar\u0131n ortaq separat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259ni olsa da, bir-birl\u0259rinin \u0259razil\u0259rin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endirm\u0259l\u0259ri qeyri-adi bir hald\u0131r. \u0130ran v\u0259 Pakistan silahl\u0131 qeyri-d\u00f6vl\u0259t aktorlar\u0131n\u0131n – Pakistanda \u201cCey\u015f \u0259l-\u018fdl\u201d, \u0130randa B\u0259lucistan Azadl\u0131q Ordusu v\u0259 B\u0259lucistan Azadl\u0131q C\u0259bh\u0259sinin – s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaqlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259f\u0259 al\u0131blar. H\u0259r bir \u00f6lk\u0259 dig\u0259rini silahl\u0131lara s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaq…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":681342,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/14e6d786-5ff6-485d-b4a7-c19dab8ca784.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 v\u0259 onun h\u00fcdudlar\u0131ndan k\u0259narda geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin, h\u0259rbi eskalasiyalar\u0131n artd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda Pakistan v\u0259 \u0130ran bir-birl\u0259rinin \u0259razil\u0259rin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endiribl\u0259r. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Pakistan\u0131n B\u0259lucistan \u0259yal\u0259ti il\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n Sistan v\u0259 B\u0259lucistan vilay\u0259ti aras\u0131nda t\u0259xmin\u0259n 900 kilometr uzanan qeyri-stabil bir s\u0259rh\u0259d var. H\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259 B\u0259luc b\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259 silahl\u0131larla d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr v\u0259 onlar\u0131n ortaq separat\u00e7\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259ni olsa da,…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681341"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=681341"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681341\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/681342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=681341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=681341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=681341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/p>\n