\u0130ran Q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 d\u0259nizd\u0259 husi h\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131 vasit\u0259sil\u0259 AB\u015e-nin iqtisadi v\u0259 strateji maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131x\u0131\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131qdan sonra n\u00f6vb\u0259ti g\u00fcll\u0259ni \u0130ordaniyada atd\u0131. \u0130ordaniyan\u0131n \u015fimal-\u015f\u0259rqind\u0259 AB\u015e-nin bazas\u0131na pilotsuz t\u0259yyar\u0259 il\u0259 edil\u0259n h\u00fccum \u00fc\u00e7 amerikal\u0131 h\u0259rb\u00e7inin h\u0259yat\u0131na son qoydu ki, bu da Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 durulmayan sular fonunda iki r\u0259qibin m\u00fcharib\u0259 meydan\u0131n\u0131 nec\u0259 idar\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair fikirl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259tirir.<\/p>\n
Hadis\u0259nin cari v\u0259 perspektiv regional situasiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn r\u0259ngl\u0259ri qaraltd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259sizdir, lakin AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131ndak\u0131 nisbi eskalasiya hekay\u0259sinin Va\u015finqton \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn hans\u0131 \u00e7\u0259tinlik yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259svir etm\u0259kd\u0259 fayda var.<\/p>\n
AB\u015e Ukraynada m\u00fcharib\u0259 ba\u015flayana q\u0259d\u0259r hesab edirdi ki, \u0130ran\u0131 v\u0259 onu m\u00fcdafi\u0259 ed\u0259n qrupla\u015fmalar\u0131n ideyalar\u0131n\u0131, h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t trayektoriyalar\u0131n\u0131 idar\u0259 ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u0130ll\u0259r boyu AB\u015e-d\u0259 \u0130randan, onun t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131ndan g\u0259l\u0259n t\u0259hdidl\u0259rin, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259 Tehran\u0131n regionda formala\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259l\u0259rin u\u011furla idar\u0259 olundu\u011funa inan\u0131rd\u0131lar. \u00c7\u00fcnki el\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnc\u0259 hakim idi ki, AB\u015e \u0130rana d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015f meydanlar\u0131nda v\u0259killik ed\u0259n q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin z\u0259iflikl\u0259rini m\u00fct\u0259madi olaraq ara\u015fd\u0131racaq v\u0259 bel\u0259c\u0259, m\u00fcmk\u00fcn eskalasiya n\u0259rdivan\u0131na n\u0259zar\u0259ti h\u0259yata ke\u00e7ir\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n
Lakin Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259nin geosiyasi v\u0259 strateji z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259rinin m\u00fc\u015fayi\u0259tind\u0259 AB\u015e-nin Rusiya il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, \u00c7in v\u0259 \u0130ranla da g\u0259rgin m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri daha h\u0259ssas m\u00fcst\u0259viy\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131. \u0130ndi Va\u015finqton \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn q\u0131r\u0131lma\u011fa haz\u0131r olan ipin \u00fcst\u00fcnd\u0259 k\u0259ndirbazl\u0131q etm\u0259k \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015fir, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, AB\u015e h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 qlobal hegemoniyas\u0131ndak\u0131 pay\u0131n\u0131 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 kim\u0259s\u0259 \u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259yib.<\/p>\n
M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259d\u0259n do\u011fan suallara AB\u015e-nin m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259ri, x\u00fcsus\u0259n, \u0130sraill\u0259 fikir ayr\u0131l\u0131qlar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sinin i\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda cavablar axtarmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bel\u0259 ki, AB\u015e-nin r\u0259qibi \u0130rana alternativ hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259 taktikas\u0131na uy\u011fun b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259 cavab verm\u0259m\u0259si onun \u0130sraill\u0259 regional t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlikl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar yaranan m\u00f6vqe ha\u00e7alanmas\u0131 il\u0259 d\u00fcz m\u00fct\u0259nasibliy\u0259 malikdir.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6y\u00fck bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u0259 ehtimal \u00e7\u0131xarmaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, \u0130srail AB\u015e-ni \u0259vv\u0259lkit\u0259k k\u0259\u015ffiyyat m\u0259lumatlar\u0131 il\u0259 t\u0259min etmir.<\/p>\n
\u018fn az\u0131ndan, ona g\u00f6r\u0259 bel\u0259 q\u0259na\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki, \u0259g\u0259r \u0130ran AB\u015e-nin Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 m\u0259nzill\u0259nmi\u015f q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rini p\u0259r\u0259n-p\u0259r\u0259n etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn nisbi effektivliy\u0259 yiy\u0259l\u0259nirs\u0259, dem\u0259li, Va\u015finqton k\u0259\u015ffiyyat m\u0259lumatlar\u0131nda q\u0131tl\u0131qla \u00fczl\u0259\u015fib.<\/p>\n
H\u0259r halda, s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olmayaraq, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n budur ki, Tehran AB\u015e q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin regiondan \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcmumi m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259ri kontekstind\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirir v\u0259 2024-c\u00fc ili kritik f\u00fcrs\u0259tl\u0259r ili kimi n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n ke\u00e7irir.<\/p>\n
Bunun qlobal m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259ri \u00e7ox da ehtiva etm\u0259y\u0259n iki izah\u0131 var.<\/p>\n
Birincisi, 2024-c\u00fc ilin mart\u0131nda \u0130randa ali r\u0259hb\u0259ri m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n ed\u0259n Ekspert M\u0259clisin\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k se\u00e7kid\u0259n \u00f6nc\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin h\u0259rbi-siyasi v\u0259 ruhani elitas\u0131nda q\u0131z\u011f\u0131n r\u0259qab\u0259t gedir. Bel\u0259 r\u0259qab\u0259ti idar\u0259 etm\u0259k v\u0259 sonda \u00fcst\u00fcn imtiyazlar\u0131n\u0131 davam etdirm\u0259k SEPAH \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn daxili-siyasi m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259r kateqoriyas\u0131nda yer almaqdad\u0131r. SEPAH bu zaman Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259n anti-AB\u015e \u0259hvali-ruhiyy\u0259sini emosionalla\u015fd\u0131rmaqdan \u00f6tr\u00fc Va\u015finqtonun strateji maraqlar\u0131na z\u0259rb\u0259 vuran ox \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini davam etdirir v\u0259 daxili auditoriyaya \u201cqisas hekay\u0259l\u0259ri\u201dni t\u0259lqin edir.<\/p>\n
\u0130kincisi, bu il AB\u015e-d\u0259 prezident se\u00e7kisi ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da \u0130rana r\u0259qibinin i\u015fin\u0259 m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bo\u015fluqlar\u0131 t\u0259qdim edir.<\/p>\n
\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc hekay\u0259 is\u0259 AB\u015e-nin Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259kd\u0259 olan maraqlar\u0131 fonunda regionda \u0130ran \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n yeni eskalasiya yaratmaq planlar\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259 bil\u0259r. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u0130randak\u0131 se\u00e7ki d\u0259 AB\u015e-nin \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 siyasi prosesl\u0259ri y\u00f6nl\u0259ndirm\u0259sin\u0259 \u015f\u0259rait yarad\u0131r v\u0259 regional \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc verir. Dem\u0259li, AB\u015e yax\u0131nm\u00fcdd\u0259tli h\u0259d\u0259f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0130ran\u0131n daxili orqanlar\u0131na f\u0259sad verm\u0259k c\u0259hdl\u0259rini regional m\u0259qs\u0259dinin auras\u0131nda tutur.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zs\u00fcz ki, \u0130ran prosesl\u0259rin qlobal t\u0259sirl\u0259rini AB\u015e-nin \u201cq\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 x\u0259tl\u0259ri\u201dn\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fd\u0131rmaq h\u0259ddin\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r inki\u015faf etdirs\u0259, Va\u015finqton adekvat cavab t\u0259dbirl\u0259rini strateji g\u00fcnd\u0259liyinin prioritetl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259tir\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n
Burada AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131nda real m\u00fcharib\u0259 ehtimal\u0131 o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 g\u00fccl\u00fc versiya kimi s\u0259sl\u0259nmir, lakin regional m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259l\u0259ri \u015fi\u015fird\u0259n add\u0131m s\u0259sl\u0259rini e\u015fitm\u0259k olar.<\/p>\n
Y\u0259qin ki, AB\u015e:<\/p>\n
– \u0130ran\u0131n h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259nmi\u015f regional h\u0259rbi t\u0259dbirl\u0259rin\u0259 cavab olaraq Tehran\u0131n regiondak\u0131 donanmalar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 aviaz\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r h\u0259yata ke\u00e7ir\u0259 bil\u0259r,<\/p>\n
– \u0130ran\u0131n strateji obyektl\u0259rin\u0259, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n neft emal\u0131 zavodlar\u0131na, h\u0259rbi zavodlar\u0131na, n\u00fcv\u0259 t\u0259sisatlar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259 taktikas\u0131nda h\u00fccumlar ed\u0259 bil\u0259r,<\/p>\n
– \u0130ran\u0131n Suriyadak\u0131 imkanlar\u0131na strateji z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r vurma\u011f\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131ra bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u0130rana AB\u015e il\u0259 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 konflikt\u0259 girm\u0259k s\u0259rf etmir, buna g\u00f6r\u0259dir ki, Tehran Va\u015finqtonun g\u00fccl\u00fc z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r endir\u0259c\u0259yind\u0259n ehtiyatlan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
SEPAH-\u0131n Q\u00fcds Q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin komandan\u0131 \u0130smay\u0131l Qaninin \u0130raqa ged\u0259r\u0259k proksi qruplara AB\u015e q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 h\u0259rbi eskalasiyas\u0131n\u0131 dayand\u0131rmaq t\u0259limat\u0131n\u0131 verm\u0259si bar\u0259d\u0259 informasiyalar bu versiyan\u0131 t\u0259sdiq ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u00dcmumilikd\u0259 is\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n budur ki, AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran strateji maraqlar sistemind\u0259 imkan tapan kimi bir-birinin h\u0259ssas n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n vurma\u011fa davam ed\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130ran Q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 d\u0259nizd\u0259 husi h\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131 vasit\u0259sil\u0259 AB\u015e-nin iqtisadi v\u0259 strateji maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131x\u0131\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131qdan sonra n\u00f6vb\u0259ti g\u00fcll\u0259ni \u0130ordaniyada atd\u0131. \u0130ordaniyan\u0131n \u015fimal-\u015f\u0259rqind\u0259 AB\u015e-nin bazas\u0131na pilotsuz t\u0259yyar\u0259 il\u0259 edil\u0259n h\u00fccum \u00fc\u00e7 amerikal\u0131 h\u0259rb\u00e7inin h\u0259yat\u0131na son qoydu ki, bu da Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 durulmayan sular fonunda iki r\u0259qibin m\u00fcharib\u0259 meydan\u0131n\u0131 nec\u0259 idar\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair fikirl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259tirir. Hadis\u0259nin cari v\u0259 perspektiv regional situasiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn r\u0259ngl\u0259ri qaraltd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259sizdir, lakin AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131ndak\u0131 nisbi eskalasiya hekay\u0259sinin Va\u015finqton \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn hans\u0131 \u00e7\u0259tinlik yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259svir etm\u0259kd\u0259 fayda var. AB\u015e Ukraynada m\u00fcharib\u0259 ba\u015flayana q\u0259d\u0259r hesab edirdi ki, \u0130ran\u0131 v\u0259 onu m\u00fcdafi\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":686203,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/FotoJet-2.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Siyas\u0259t<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u0130ran Q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 d\u0259nizd\u0259 husi h\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131 vasit\u0259sil\u0259 AB\u015e-nin iqtisadi v\u0259 strateji maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131x\u0131\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131qdan sonra n\u00f6vb\u0259ti g\u00fcll\u0259ni \u0130ordaniyada atd\u0131. \u0130ordaniyan\u0131n \u015fimal-\u015f\u0259rqind\u0259 AB\u015e-nin bazas\u0131na pilotsuz t\u0259yyar\u0259 il\u0259 edil\u0259n h\u00fccum \u00fc\u00e7 amerikal\u0131 h\u0259rb\u00e7inin h\u0259yat\u0131na son qoydu ki, bu da Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 durulmayan sular fonunda iki r\u0259qibin m\u00fcharib\u0259 meydan\u0131n\u0131 nec\u0259 idar\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair fikirl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259tirir. Hadis\u0259nin cari v\u0259 perspektiv…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/686202"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=686202"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/686202\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/686203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=686202"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=686202"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=686202"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}