\u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi bu il Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiyan\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b. Bildirilib ki, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 inflyasiya 4,5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. Uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ikir\u0259q\u0259mli inflyasiya fonunda bu il birr\u0259q\u0259mli proqnozlar \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011fruldacaqm\u0131?<\/p>\n
\u018fhalinin v\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259nin pulunu \u201cyey\u0259n\u201d t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 ekspert Elman Sad\u0131qov \u201cKaspi\u201d q\u0259zetin\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda dedi ki, y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn z\u0259r\u0259rlidir: \u201c\u0130nflyasiya \u0259halinin pulunu yeyir, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin v\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 z\u0259ruri edir. H\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259nin iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn optimal inflyasiya h\u0259dl\u0259ri var. 4-6 faiz \u0259traf\u0131nda inflyasiyan\u0131n olmas\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn normald\u0131r. Amma inflyasiyan\u0131n 10 faiz v\u0259 yuxar\u0131 olmas\u0131, iqtisadiyyat, b\u00fcdc\u0259, \u0259halinin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri, rifah\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ciddi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259dir\u201d.<\/p>\n E.Sad\u0131qovun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, inflyasiyan\u0131n s\u0259ngim\u0259si bir \u00e7ox amill\u0259rd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r: \u201c4,5 faizlik proqnoz M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n verdiyi proqnozu t\u0259sdiq edir. \u0130nflyasiyan\u0131n s\u0259ngim\u0259si o \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r daxilind\u0259 ger\u00e7\u0259kl\u0259\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259t Tarif \u015euras\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259nziml\u0259n\u0259n z\u0259ruri x\u0259rcl\u0259ri art\u0131rmayacaq, \u00e7\u00fcnki onlar t\u0259siredici amill\u0259rdir. Dig\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rd\u0259n biri idxal inflyasiyas\u0131d\u0131r. Haz\u0131rda b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada qiym\u0259tl\u0259r a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. H\u0259tta bir \u00e7ox \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri Rusiya-Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n \u00f6nc\u0259ki h\u0259dd\u0259 qay\u0131d\u0131b. Y\u0259ni inflyasiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada cilovlanma gedir. Amma Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn idxal inflyasiyas\u0131 yen\u0259 d\u0259 aktual olaraq qal\u0131r. Bunun aradan qald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda tarifl\u0259r, g\u00f6mr\u00fck r\u00fcsumlar\u0131 rol oynay\u0131r. \u018fg\u0259r m\u00f6vcud \u015f\u0259rait davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, h\u0259r hans\u0131 b\u00f6hran, pandemiya, ciddi m\u00fcharib\u0259l\u0259r v\u0259 yaxud g\u0259rginlikl\u0259r ba\u015f verm\u0259zs\u0259, d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda \u0259mt\u0259\u0259l\u0259rin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri artmazsa v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 d\u0259 Tarif \u015euras\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259nziml\u0259n\u0259n m\u0259hsullarda qiym\u0259t art\u0131mlar\u0131 olmazsa, bu proqnoz reald\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n Artan maa\u015flar inflyasiya riski yaratm\u0131r<\/strong><\/p>\n M\u00fcsahibimizin fikrinc\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259ki pul d\u00f6vriyy\u0259si fonunda artan maa\u015flar ciddi inflyasiya riski yaratm\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 doymu\u015f pul k\u00fctl\u0259si yoxdur:\u00a0\u201cProqnozlar\u0131n do\u011frulmas\u0131, inflyasiya r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rinin enm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn r\u0259qab\u0259t m\u00fchiti daha da t\u0259kmill\u0259\u015fm\u0259lidir. Art\u0131q R\u0259qab\u0259t M\u0259c\u0259ll\u0259si d\u0259 q\u0259bul edildi. Bu da m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n \u00fcmid verir. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, istehsal\u0131n, emal\u0131n artmas\u0131 \u00e7ox \u00f6n\u0259mlidir. R\u0259qab\u0259t n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r \u00e7ox olarsa, daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 qiym\u0259td\u0259 daha keyfiyy\u0259tli m\u0259hsul alm\u0131\u015f olar\u0131q\u201d.<\/p>\n E.Sad\u0131qov bildirdi ki, h\u0259r il yanvar, fevral aylar\u0131nda idxal art\u0131r. Buna m\u00fcvafiq dollara t\u0259l\u0259b d\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k olur: \u201cDollara t\u0259l\u0259bin artmas\u0131 ciddi psixoloji v\u0259ziyy\u0259t yarad\u0131r. \u018fhali aras\u0131nda maarifl\u0259nm\u0259nin d\u00fczg\u00fcn qurulmas\u0131na ehtiyac var. \u0130nsanlar inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259rs\u0259, qiym\u0259tl\u0259r daha s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 artma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki insanlar daha \u00e7ox istehlaka ba\u015f vurur. \u018fslind\u0259 devalvasiya getmir. \u00c7\u00fcnki haz\u0131rda neftin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri, t\u0259diyy\u0259 balans\u0131ndak\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259t v\u0259 s. devalvasiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n z\u0259min yaratm\u0131r. Amma \u201c\u00fcz\u0259n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259\u201d \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n iqtisadi \u015f\u0259rait v\u0259 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rin yerin\u0259 yetirilm\u0259si vacibdir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m ki, h\u0259l\u0259lik bu da tezdir\u201d.<\/p>\n Devalvasiya riski varm\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130qtisadi v\u0259 Sosial \u0130nki\u015faf M\u0259rk\u0259zinin \u00fczv\u00fc, iqtisad\u00e7\u0131 El\u00e7in R\u0259\u015fidovun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, son vaxtlar insanlar manatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00e7ox dollara \u00e7evirirl\u0259r: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n daha \u00e7ox dollar al\u0131b y\u0131\u011fmas\u0131 iqtisadiyyatda dollar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, manat art\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u0259m\u0259l\u0259 g\u0259tirir v\u0259 bu, manat\u0131 d\u0259y\u0259rd\u0259n sal\u0131r. Hesab edir\u0259m ki, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n u\u00e7ot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 salmas\u0131 bununla \u0259laq\u0259dard\u0131r. M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259r manat\u0131 m\u00fcst\u0259qil valyuta kimi g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcb, faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini art\u0131r\u0131b-azaltmaqla inflyasiyaya t\u0259sir etm\u0259yi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u0130ndi d\u0259 faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini art\u0131rmaqla inflyasiyan\u0131 azaltma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki manat art\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0259m d\u0259 devalvasiya riski yarad\u0131r. Devalvasiya riskini yaradan ba\u015fqa amil b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00f6hd\u0259likl\u0259ri v\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sidir. Artan yeni b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00f6hd\u0259likl\u0259rini qar\u015f\u0131lamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn devalvasiya m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Devalvasiya da g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259nd\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya il\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fayi\u0259t olunacaq. Bu risk\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, insanlar manatdan imtina edib, dollara ke\u00e7irl\u0259r\u201d.<\/p>\n E.R\u0259\u015fidov qeyd etdi ki, banklara t\u0259tbiq olunan s\u0259rt siyas\u0259t bu il d\u0259 davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, inflyasiyada azalma olmayacaq: \u201cDevalvasiya olarsa, d\u00f6rd faiz \u0259traf\u0131nda h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259n\u0259n inflyasiyaya nail ola bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yik. Devalvasiya ba\u015f verm\u0259zs\u0259 d\u0259, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n inflyasiya h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259rin\u0259 \u00e7atmas\u0131 \u00e7\u0259tin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. \u0130nflyasiyan\u0131 yaradan m\u00f6vcud siyas\u0259tdir\u201d.<\/p>\n Milli valyutam\u0131z m\u00fcst\u0259qil deyil<\/strong><\/p>\n Ekspertin fikrinc\u0259, manat\u0131n inflyasiyas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259yin ed\u0259n \u0259sas amil dollar\u0131n d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 qiym\u0259tidir: \u201c\u0130nflyasiya y\u00fcks\u0259k olduqca, manat xarici valyutalara nisb\u0259t\u0259n daha \u00e7ox d\u0259y\u0259rd\u0259n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si son 7-8 ild\u0259 sabitdir. Amma bu fonda manat dollara nisb\u0259t\u0259n bir ne\u00e7\u0259 faiz d\u0259y\u0259r itirir. Bel\u0259 ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda olan inflyasiya AB\u015e-d\u0259 olan inflyasiyadan h\u0259r il bir ne\u00e7\u0259 faiz y\u00fcks\u0259kdir. Bu o dem\u0259kdir ki, xarici sektor Az\u0259rbaycana nisb\u0259t\u0259n daha r\u0259qab\u0259t qabiliyy\u0259tlidir. Milli valyutam\u0131z m\u00fcst\u0259qil deyil, onun qiym\u0259tini dollar m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edir. Bel\u0259 bir fonda inflyasiyan\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259m\u0259k d\u00fczg\u00fcn deyil. Bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqtisadiyyat\u0131 b\u00f6y\u00fcd\u0259n v\u0259 daha \u00e7ox m\u0259\u015f\u011fulluq yaradan siyas\u0259t laz\u0131md\u0131r. M\u0259\u015f\u011fullu\u011fun \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131ma t\u00f6hf\u0259sini verir\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00d6lk\u0259mizd\u0259 bu il t\u0259kr\u0259q\u0259mli inflyasiya proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu h\u0259dd 4,5 faiz civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130st\u0259r beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentlikl\u0259rinin, ist\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00fcvafiq yerli qurumlar\u0131n bu sah\u0259d\u0259ki g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. M\u00f6vzu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d\u00a0q\u0259zetinin m\u0259qal\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edirik. \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi bu il Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiyan\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b. Bildirilib ki, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 inflyasiya 4,5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. Uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ikir\u0259q\u0259mli inflyasiya fonunda bu il birr\u0259q\u0259mli proqnozlar \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011fruldacaqm\u0131? \u018fhalinin v\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259nin pulunu \u201cyey\u0259n\u201d t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 ekspert Elman Sad\u0131qov \u201cKaspi\u201d q\u0259zetin\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda dedi ki, y\u00fcks\u0259k inflyasiya iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn z\u0259r\u0259rlidir: \u201c\u0130nflyasiya \u0259halinin pulunu yeyir, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin v\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":694094,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q-548x365.jpg",548,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TiBNiD8mpW46KaXbYapsm6bwfMRDhqxrDuBQaO3Q.jpg",620,413,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u00d6lk\u0259mizd\u0259 bu il t\u0259kr\u0259q\u0259mli inflyasiya proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Bu h\u0259dd 4,5 faiz civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130st\u0259r beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentlikl\u0259rinin, ist\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00fcvafiq yerli qurumlar\u0131n bu sah\u0259d\u0259ki g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. M\u00f6vzu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131\u00a0\u201cKaspi\u201d\u00a0q\u0259zetinin m\u0259qal\u0259sini t\u0259qdim edirik. \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi bu il Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiyan\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b. Bildirilib ki, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 inflyasiya 4,5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. Uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ikir\u0259q\u0259mli inflyasiya…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/694093"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=694093"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/694093\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/694094"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=694093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=694093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=694093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nHans\u0131 halda inflyasiya s\u0259ngiy\u0259 bil\u0259r?<\/strong><\/p>\n
\nT\u0259dbirl\u0259r \u0259ks-t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir<\/strong><\/p>\n