{"id":735887,"date":"2024-07-09T10:44:33","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T06:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=735887"},"modified":"2024-07-09T10:44:33","modified_gmt":"2024-07-09T06:44:33","slug":"az%c9%99rbaycan-v%c9%99-erm%c9%99nistan-arasinda-eskalasiya-proqnozu-t%c9%99xribat-yoxsa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=735887","title":{"rendered":"Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda eskalasiya proqnozu &#8211; t\u0259xribat, yoxsa&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d h\u0259r iki t\u0259r\u0259fin silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutaraq yeni h\u0259rbi toqqu\u015fmalar g\u00f6zl\u0259yir; ekspert: \u201c\u0130r\u0259van Q\u0259rbin \u0259lind\u0259 al\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259r\u0259k regionda yeni h\u0259rbi m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 yaranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaqsa, bunun c\u0259zas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fc \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259k\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin kredit reytinqini Ba 1 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259sdiql\u0259y\u0259r\u0259k, proqnozu sabitd\u0259n m\u00fcsb\u0259t\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, maliyy\u0259 \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozlar ver\u0259n agentlik siyasi \u015f\u0259rh d\u0259 verib. \u0130ddia olunub ki, s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131n davam etm\u0259sin\u0259 baxmayaraq, Erm\u0259nistanla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin \u00e7\u0259tin qalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda iqtisadi inteqrasiya v\u0259 ya ortaq geosiyasi maraqlar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259qdird\u0259 geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirib. \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201da g\u00f6r\u0259, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin yeni eskalasiyas\u0131 riskl\u0259ri qalmaqdad\u0131r. \u201cH\u0259r iki t\u0259r\u0259f \u00f6z h\u0259rbi imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma\u011fa davam edir, eyni zamanda s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 vaxta\u015f\u0131r\u0131 at\u0131\u015fmalar davam edir, bu da h\u0259rbi m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin yeni alovlanma ehtimal\u0131n\u0131n qalmas\u0131 dem\u0259kdir\u201d, &#8211; dey\u0259 agentlik qeyd edir. Agentlik n\u0259y\u0259 \u0259saslan\u0131r? Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n t\u0259xribat planlar\u0131ndan x\u0259b\u0259rdard\u0131rlarm\u0131, yoxsa ortada ba\u015fqa amill\u0259r var?\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u201cQar\u015f\u0131da h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259rimiz \u00e7oxdur. \u00d6lk\u0259mizin suverenliyin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259hdidl\u0259rin aradan qald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u0259sas prioritetdir\u201d. Bunu iyulun 8-d\u0259 xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri Ceyhun Bayramov jurnalistl\u0259r\u0259 bildirib. Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, h\u0259m ikit\u0259r\u0259fli, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00e7oxt\u0259r\u0259fli platformalarda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n milli maraqlar\u0131na cavab ver\u0259n siyas\u0259t t\u0259min edilir. X\u0130N r\u0259hb\u0259ri Erm\u0259nistanla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin normalla\u015fmas\u0131 prosesinin haz\u0131rk\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti bar\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131b: \u201cM\u00fct\u0259madi olaraq Erm\u0259nistanla s\u00fclh g\u00fcnd\u0259liyinin prioritetl\u0259ri bar\u0259d\u0259 ictimaiyy\u0259t\u0259 m\u0259lumat verilir. D\u00fcnya ictimaiyy\u0259ti bilir ki, i\u015f\u011fal fakt\u0131 aradan qald\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. 2021-ci ilin yanvar\u0131nda Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyev a\u00e7\u0131q \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f ed\u0259r\u0259k s\u00fclh g\u00fcnd\u0259liyini Erm\u0259nistana t\u0259klif etdi. S\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259sinin m\u00fczakir\u0259si \u00fczr\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q suallar\u0131n say\u0131 xeyli azal\u0131b. T\u0259\u0259ss\u00fcf ki, Erm\u0259nistan konstitusiyas\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycana \u0259razi iddias\u0131 qalmaqdad\u0131r. S\u00fclh\u0259 tam nail olunmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu amil aradan qald\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cS\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259si yoxdursa, eskalasiya riski h\u0259r zaman qal\u0131r. Ola bilsin ki, agentlik d\u0259 buna s\u00f6yk\u0259nir. Eyni zamanda silahlanma n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur. Erm\u0259nistan yeni h\u00fccum silahlar\u0131 il\u0259 t\u0259chiz olunur. Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyev d\u0259 x\u0259b\u0259rdar edib ki, yeni h\u00fccum silahlar\u0131n\u0131n Erm\u0259nistana verilm\u0259si g\u0259rginliyi art\u0131ra bil\u0259r v\u0259 \u0130r\u0259van s\u00fclh g\u00fcnd\u0259liyind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xma\u011fa ba\u015flasa, a\u011f\u0131r n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri olacaq\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/azertag.az\/files\/2020\/2\/1200x630\/1598437062540325292_1200x630.jpg\" alt=\"Ramil M\u0259mm\u0259dli: Erm\u0259nistan davaml\u0131 \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycana qar\u015f\u0131 terror,  diversiya aksiyalar\u0131 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irir - AZ\u018fRTAC\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0Ramil M\u0259mm\u0259dli\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bu fikirl\u0259ri \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201da h\u0259rbi ekspert Ramil M\u0259mm\u0259dli a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131. H\u0259rbi analitik qeyd etdi ki, Az\u0259rbaycan eskalasiyada maraql\u0131 deyil v\u0259 bu il toqqu\u015fmalar g\u00f6zl\u0259nilmir: \u201c\u018fvv\u0259la, pay\u0131zda \u00f6lk\u0259mizd\u0259 m\u00f6t\u0259b\u0259r bir toplant\u0131 ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n diqq\u0259ti Bak\u0131da olacaq v\u0259 bel\u0259 \u0259r\u0259f\u0259d\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 erm\u0259ni t\u0259xribatlar\u0131 ba\u015f ver\u0259rs\u0259, layiqli cavab alacaqlar, amma irimiqyasl\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131durma g\u00f6zl\u0259mir\u0259m. \u0130kincisi, s\u0259rh\u0259din delimitasiyas\u0131 i\u015fi apar\u0131l\u0131r, Pa\u015finyan tikanl\u0131 m\u0259ftill\u0259r\u0259 d\u0259 baxd\u0131, \u0130r\u0259van davaml\u0131 olaraq s\u00fclh b\u0259yanatlar\u0131 s\u0259sl\u0259ndirir, o zaman h\u0259r hans\u0131 t\u0259xribata yol vers\u0259l\u0259r, s\u00fclh prosesini d\u0259 \u00f6zl\u0259ri pozmu\u015f olacaqlar. Erm\u0259nistan Q\u0259rbin \u0259lind\u0259 al\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259r\u0259k regionda yeni h\u0259rbi m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 yaranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaqsa, bunun c\u0259zas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fc \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259k. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 se\u00e7im Erm\u0259nistan\u0131nd\u0131r\u201d. H\u0259rbi ekspert xat\u0131rlatd\u0131 ki, bu yax\u0131nlarda K\u0259lb\u0259c\u0259r v\u0259 Nax\u00e7\u0131van at\u0259\u015f\u0259 tutuldu, sonra sakitlik yarand\u0131: \u201cBu da v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin g\u0259rginl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sind\u0259 ist\u0259kli olan q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin i\u015fi idi. Hiss olunur ki, erm\u0259ni ordusuna n\u0259zar\u0259t ya tam t\u0259min olunmay\u0131b, ya da Pa\u015finyan veril\u0259n t\u0259limatlar \u0259sas\u0131nda bel\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t edir. B\u00fct\u00fcn hallarda beyn\u0259lxalq agentliyin yayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 proqnoz n\u0259z\u0259ri olaraq do\u011frudur &#8211; s\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259si yoxdursa, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259li v\u0259ziyy\u0259t davam edir. Amma s\u00fclh m\u0259tni raz\u0131la\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r, Bak\u0131 konkret t\u0259l\u0259bl\u0259r qoyub, \u0130r\u0259van \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yolu qalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlay\u0131r, h\u0259tta erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazir etiraf edir ki, qanunvericiliy\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik olunmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130ndi Mirzoyan bizi s\u00fclh prosesini l\u0259ngitm\u0259kd\u0259 ittiham edir, amma \u00f6z h\u0259yas\u0131zl\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131 yada salmaq ist\u0259mir. Nec\u0259 ola bil\u0259r ki, s\u00fclh s\u0259n\u0259di imzalans\u0131n, amma Erm\u0259nistan qanunvericilik aktlar\u0131nda Qaraba\u011f\u0131n bu \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si iddias\u0131 saxlan\u0131ls\u0131n?! T\u0259bii ki, bu iddia s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rd\u0259 yer ald\u0131qca, h\u0259rbi eskalasiya riski h\u0259mi\u015f\u0259 olacaq\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>R.M\u0259mm\u0259dli istisna etmir ki, Erm\u0259nistan Q\u0259rbin t\u0259kidi il\u0259 b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 yeni g\u0259rginlik oca\u011f\u0131 yarada bil\u0259r:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cErm\u0259nistan AB\u015e-la birg\u0259 h\u0259rbi t\u0259liml\u0259r ke\u00e7irir, m\u00fcdafi\u0259 naziri Papikyan Fransaya tez-tez gedir, bu da \u0130r\u0259van\u0131 \u00fcr\u0259kl\u0259ndirir ki, revan\u015f ola bil\u0259r. Lakin bunu a\u011f\u0131llar\u0131ndan bel\u0259 ke\u00e7irm\u0259sinl\u0259r. Az\u0259rbaycan Ordusu he\u00e7 d\u0259 yerind\u0259 saym\u0131r. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, m\u00fcmk\u00fcn eskalasiya strateji r\u0259qab\u0259t g\u00fccl\u0259n\u0259nd\u0259 ba\u015f verir. Haz\u0131rda C\u0259nubi Qafqazda Rusiya il\u0259 Q\u0259rbin yar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 getm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Bu da m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n f\u0259sadlar t\u00f6r\u0259dir. Az\u0259rbaycan ir\u0259liy\u0259 bax\u0131r v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistanla ikit\u0259r\u0259fli qaydada davam ed\u0259n dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar modelinin inki\u015faf\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259r\u0259fdar\u0131d\u0131r. Biz q\u0259ti \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 o h\u0259v\u0259sd\u0259 deyilik ki, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti h\u0259rbi qar\u015f\u0131durmalar ba\u015f versin. Postm\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0259rt\u0259r\u0259fli i\u015fl\u0259nmi\u015f s\u00fclh s\u0259n\u0259din\u0259 liderl\u0259rin imza atmas\u0131d\u0131r. Regionu i\u015f\u0131ql\u0131 g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 daimi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliy\u0259 bar\u0131\u015f\u0131q apara bil\u0259r. H\u0259r halda, Pa\u015finyan ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr ki, h\u0259r s\u0259rh\u0259d toqqu\u015fma onlarla erm\u0259ni g\u0259ncinin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc dem\u0259kdir\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Emil SALAMO\u011eLU,<br \/>\n\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d h\u0259r iki t\u0259r\u0259fin silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutaraq yeni h\u0259rbi toqqu\u015fmalar g\u00f6zl\u0259yir; ekspert: \u201c\u0130r\u0259van Q\u0259rbin \u0259lind\u0259 al\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259r\u0259k regionda yeni h\u0259rbi m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 yaranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaqsa, bunun c\u0259zas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fc \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259k\u201d Beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin kredit reytinqini Ba 1 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259sdiql\u0259y\u0259r\u0259k, proqnozu sabitd\u0259n m\u00fcsb\u0259t\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, maliyy\u0259 \u00fczr\u0259 proqnozlar ver\u0259n agentlik siyasi \u015f\u0259rh d\u0259 verib. \u0130ddia olunub ki, s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131n davam etm\u0259sin\u0259 baxmayaraq, Erm\u0259nistanla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin \u00e7\u0259tin qalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r. \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda iqtisadi inteqrasiya v\u0259 ya ortaq geosiyasi maraqlar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259qdird\u0259 geosiyasi g\u0259rginliyin y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirib. \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201da g\u00f6r\u0259, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":735888,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f-648x365.jpg",648,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",640,360,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/18f948a9c758dcb6f21924a52328d68f.jpg",700,394,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?cat=19\" rel=\"category\">G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d h\u0259r iki t\u0259r\u0259fin silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutaraq yeni h\u0259rbi toqqu\u015fmalar g\u00f6zl\u0259yir; ekspert: \u201c\u0130r\u0259van Q\u0259rbin \u0259lind\u0259 al\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259r\u0259k regionda yeni h\u0259rbi m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 yaranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaqsa, bunun c\u0259zas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fc \u00e7\u0259k\u0259c\u0259k\u201d Beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin kredit reytinqini Ba 1 s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259sdiql\u0259y\u0259r\u0259k, proqnozu sabitd\u0259n m\u00fcsb\u0259t\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. 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