{"id":765186,"date":"2024-10-29T20:48:04","date_gmt":"2024-10-29T16:48:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=765186"},"modified":"2024-10-29T20:48:04","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T16:48:04","slug":"%c9%99mt%c9%99%c9%99-qiym%c9%99tl%c9%99ri-bes-ilin-%c9%99n-asagi-h%c9%99ddin%c9%99-dus%c9%99-bil%c9%99r-dunya-bankindan-qorxulu-proqnoz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=765186","title":{"rendered":"\u018fmt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri be\u015f ilin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 h\u0259ddin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r \u2013 D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131ndan qorxulu proqnoz"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025-ci ild\u0259 qlobal \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri neft bollu\u011fu fonunda be\u015f ilin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

ARANTV.AZ <\/strong>\u00a0x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu ehtimal D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazarlar\u0131na dair hesabat\u0131nda \u0259ksini tap\u0131b.<\/p>\n

DB-nin analitikl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bolluq o q\u0259d\u0259r \u00e7oxdur ki, o, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 daha geni\u015f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin qiym\u0259t t\u0259sirl\u0259rini m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131ra bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Bununla bel\u0259, \u00fcmumi \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri COVID-19 pandemiyas\u0131ndan be\u015f il \u0259vv\u0259lki s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259n 30 faiz y\u00fcks\u0259k qalacaq.<\/p>\n

\"D\u00fcnya<\/p>\n

Analitikl\u0259r hesab edirl\u0259r ki, 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft t\u0259klifi t\u0259l\u0259bi g\u00fcnd\u0259lik orta hesabla 1,2 milyon barel \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Daha b\u00f6y\u00fck profisit \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259r c\u0259mi iki d\u0259f\u0259 – 2020-ci ild\u0259 pandemiya v\u0259 1998-ci ild\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. H\u0259ddind\u0259n art\u0131q t\u0259dar\u00fck, dig\u0259r m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, s\u0259naye istehsal\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 elektrikli n\u0259qliyyat vasit\u0259l\u0259rinin v\u0259 mayel\u0259\u015fdirilmi\u015f t\u0259bii qazla i\u015fl\u0259y\u0259n y\u00fck ma\u015f\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n \u00c7ind\u0259 neft\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n dem\u0259k olar ki, 2023-c\u00fc il s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 qalmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

OPEC+ \u00fczv\u00fc olmayan bir s\u0131ra \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Alyans\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc 2019-cu ild\u0259 pandemiyadan \u0259vv\u0259lki s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259n dem\u0259k olar ki, iki d\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7ox olan 7 milyon barel h\u0259cmind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli ehtiyat g\u00fcc\u00fc saxlay\u0131r.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bankl ekspertl\u0259ri qlobal \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 2024-2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259r aras\u0131nda dem\u0259k olar ki, 10 faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n

\"Ukrayna<\/p>\n

\u018frzaq qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri stabill\u0259\u015fm\u0259d\u0259n \u0259vv\u0259l bu il 9 faiz, 2025-ci ild\u0259 is\u0259 daha 4 faiz ucuzla\u015fa bil\u0259r. Buna baxmayaraq, qiym\u0259tl\u0259r h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 2015-2019-cu ill\u0259rin orta g\u00f6st\u0259ricisind\u0259n dem\u0259k olar ki, 25 faiz y\u00fcks\u0259k olacaq.<\/p>\n

Enerji x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin g\u0259l\u0259n il 6 faiz, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 daha 2 faiz azalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir: \u201c\u018frzaq v\u0259 enerji qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si m\u0259rk\u0259zi banklar\u0131n inflyasiyaya n\u0259zar\u0259t etm\u0259sini asanla\u015fd\u0131rmal\u0131d\u0131r. Lakin silahl\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131durmalar\u0131n artmas\u0131 enerji t\u0259chizat\u0131n\u0131 pozaraq, \u0259rzaq v\u0259 enerji x\u0259rcl\u0259rini art\u0131raraq bu s\u0259yl\u0259ri \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259 bil\u0259r\u201d.<\/p>\n

Son bir il \u0259rzind\u0259 Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259yi\u015fk\u0259nliy\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olub, x\u00fcsus\u0259n d\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n geni\u015fl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259yi t\u0259qdird\u0259 \u0259sas istehsal\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n infrastrukturuna m\u00fcmk\u00fcn z\u0259r\u0259rin qorxusu s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n: \u201cM\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 g\u00fccl\u0259nm\u0259diyi t\u0259qdird\u0259 Brent markal\u0131 neftin orta illik qiym\u0259tinin bu il 80 dollardan 2025-ci ild\u0259 73 dollar s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 en\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir\u201d.<\/p>\n

Bununla bel\u0259, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259, x\u00fcsus\u0259n d\u0259 bu ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r qlobal neft t\u0259dar\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn 2 faiz azalmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olarsa (g\u00fcnd\u0259 2 milyon barel) – 2011-ci ild\u0259 Liviya v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f m\u00fcharib\u0259si v\u0259 2003-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u0130raq m\u00fcharib\u0259si zaman\u0131 oldu\u011fu kimi, – Brent neftinin qiym\u0259ti k\u0259skin artaraq 92 dollara \u00e7atacaq.<\/p>\n

\"D\u00fcnya<\/p>\n

Lakin m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259d\u0259n t\u0259sirl\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259n neft istehsal\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin artmas\u0131na tez reaksiya ver\u0259 v\u0259 hasilat\u0131 art\u0131ra bil\u0259r. N\u0259tic\u0259 etibaril\u0259, qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n nisb\u0259t\u0259n q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli olaca\u011f\u0131, orta hesabla neftin qiym\u0259tinin 2025-ci ild\u0259 bir barel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 84 dollara y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi ehtimal edilir. Bu, g\u0259l\u0259n il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ilkin proqnozdan 15 faiz, lakin 2024-c\u00fc il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn orta g\u00f6st\u0259ricid\u0259n c\u0259mi 5 faiz yuxar\u0131 olacaq.<\/p>\n

Analitikl\u0259r\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n orta qiym\u0259tinin 2023-c\u00fc ilin orta qiym\u0259tind\u0259n 21 faiz artaraq bu il rekorda \u00e7ataca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti iki il \u0259rzind\u0259 q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259ti pandemiyadan \u0259vv\u0259lki be\u015f il \u0259rzind\u0259 orta s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259n 80 faiz yuxar\u0131 qalacaq: “S\u0259naye metallar\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 2025-26-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 sabit olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir, \u00e7\u00fcnki \u00c7inin da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak sektorundak\u0131 z\u0259iflik s\u0259rt t\u0259dar\u00fck \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ri v\u0259 enerji ke\u00e7idi il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar b\u0259zi metallara artan t\u0259l\u0259bl\u0259 kompensasiya edilir. Bununla bel\u0259, \u00c7ind\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z art\u0131m metal bazarlar\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fk\u0259nliy\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2025-ci ild\u0259 qlobal \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri neft bollu\u011fu fonunda be\u015f ilin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r. ARANTV.AZ \u00a0x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu ehtimal D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazarlar\u0131na dair hesabat\u0131nda \u0259ksini tap\u0131b. DB-nin analitikl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bolluq o q\u0259d\u0259r \u00e7oxdur ki, o, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 daha geni\u015f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin qiym\u0259t t\u0259sirl\u0259rini m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131ra bil\u0259r. Bununla bel\u0259, \u00fcmumi \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri COVID-19 pandemiyas\u0131ndan be\u015f il \u0259vv\u0259lki s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259n 30 faiz y\u00fcks\u0259k qalacaq. Analitikl\u0259r hesab edirl\u0259r ki, 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft t\u0259klifi t\u0259l\u0259bi g\u00fcnd\u0259lik orta hesabla 1,2 milyon barel \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Daha b\u00f6y\u00fck profisit \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259r c\u0259mi iki d\u0259f\u0259 – 2020-ci ild\u0259 pandemiya v\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":765187,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb-545x365.jpg",545,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",640,429,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/d1cc2f515ff5e5115b5b13b6f238e4cb.jpg",690,462,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"2025-ci ild\u0259 qlobal \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri neft bollu\u011fu fonunda be\u015f ilin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259r. ARANTV.AZ \u00a0x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu ehtimal D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazarlar\u0131na dair hesabat\u0131nda \u0259ksini tap\u0131b. DB-nin analitikl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bolluq o q\u0259d\u0259r \u00e7oxdur ki, o, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 daha geni\u015f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin qiym\u0259t t\u0259sirl\u0259rini m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131ra bil\u0259r. Bununla bel\u0259, \u00fcmumi \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri COVID-19 pandemiyas\u0131ndan be\u015f…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765186"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=765186"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":765188,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765186\/revisions\/765188"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/765187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=765186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=765186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=765186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}