{"id":777428,"date":"2024-12-27T09:15:05","date_gmt":"2024-12-27T05:15:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=777428"},"modified":"2024-12-27T09:15:05","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T05:15:05","slug":"baki-v%c9%99-ankaranin-z%c9%99ng%c9%99zur-2025-anonsu-erm%c9%99nil%c9%99r-panikada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=777428","title":{"rendered":"Bak\u0131 v\u0259 Ankaran\u0131n \u201cZ\u0259ng\u0259zur-2025″ anonsu – erm\u0259nil\u0259r panikada"},"content":{"rendered":"

Erm\u0259nistan b\u00fcdc\u0259si silah ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi x\u0259rcl\u0259ri ilb\u0259il art\u0131rma\u011fa imkan verm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k; erm\u0259ni t\u0259hlil\u00e7il\u0259r iddia edirl\u0259r ki, guya Bak\u0131ya h\u00fccum \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn…<\/strong><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nistan \u0130kinci Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra regionda formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f yeni geosiyasi reall\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif vasit\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259, bu m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259 h\u0259rbi potensial\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259rbi b\u00fcdc\u0259sini daha 20 faiz art\u0131raraq 1,7 milyard dollara \u00e7atd\u0131rmas\u0131 deyil\u0259nl\u0259rin \u0259yani t\u0259sdiqidir.<\/p>\n

R\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259n etibar\u0259n h\u0259rbi x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 77 faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131, k\u00fctl\u0259vi silahlanma siyas\u0259ti y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u0259si r\u0259smi Bak\u0131n\u0131 adekvat t\u0259dbirl\u0259r g\u00f6rm\u0259y\u0259 s\u00f6vq edir. Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyevin Rusiya medias\u0131na son m\u00fcsahib\u0259sind\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 silahlanma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na tab g\u0259tir\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yi haqda dedikl\u0259ri Erm\u0259nistanda ciddi reaksiyalara s\u0259b\u0259b olub. Erm\u0259ni ekspertl\u0259r\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n h\u0259rbi \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fc haz\u0131rda obyektiv reall\u0131qd\u0131r. Eyni zamanda Erm\u0259nistan iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin silahl\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri aras\u0131nda imkanlar aras\u0131ndak\u0131 f\u0259rqi azaltmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 add\u0131mlar at\u0131r, lakin bu t\u0259dbirl\u0259rin real effektivliyi h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 ayd\u0131n deyil.<\/p>\n

R\u0259smi Bak\u0131 son ill\u0259rd\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n aqressiv ritorikas\u0131n\u0131n regional s\u00fclh\u0259, t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliy\u0259, habel\u0259 iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda etimad quruculu\u011funa ciddi t\u0259hdid oldu\u011funu d\u0259f\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 b\u0259yan ets\u0259 d\u0259, bu \u00f6lk\u0259 havadarlar\u0131 vasit\u0259sil\u0259 silahlanman\u0131 davam etdirir. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n silah ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin s\u0131ras\u0131 ilb\u0259il geni\u015fl\u0259nir, t\u0259cav\u00fczkar \u00f6lk\u0259 Fransa, Hindistan, \u0130ran, Yunan\u0131stan, AB\u015e v\u0259 Rusiyadan m\u00fcxt\u0259lif n\u00f6v silah-sursat t\u0259dar\u00fck edir. Haz\u0131rda Yunan\u0131standan S-300 hava h\u00fccumundan m\u00fcdafi\u0259 kompleksl\u0259rinin silahlanmaya daxil edilm\u0259si m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si m\u00fczakir\u0259 olunur. Erm\u0259ni politoloq David Arutyunov deyib ki,\u00a0 eskalasiyan\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndir\u0259n \u0259sas amil q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r balans\u0131n\u0131n qeyd olunmu\u015f balans\u0131 v\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n regionda dominantl\u0131q planlar\u0131d\u0131r. Erm\u0259ni politoloq iddia edib ki, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da s\u0259b\u0259bi var. \u201cAz\u0259rbaycan Erm\u0259nistanla h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131qla ba\u011fl\u0131 b\u0259yanatlar\u0131nda bir s\u0131ra probleml\u0259ri h\u0259ll etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bu, ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n suverenliyini m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131ran qeyd olunmu\u015f strategiyad\u0131r. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n guya “artan silahlanmas\u0131na” cavab olaraq Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259r\u0259fin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259rin \u0259saslar\u0131 qoyulur. Eyni zamanda bu b\u0259yanatlar h\u0259m d\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r aras\u0131nda q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r balans\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r b\u0259rpas\u0131na mane olmaq ist\u0259yini g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, bu da dig\u0259r amill\u0259rl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n m\u00f6vcud h\u0259rbi \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0259slind\u0259 o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 \u0259hat\u0259li olmamas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r”.<\/p>\n

Ayd\u0131nd\u0131r ki, bu c\u00fcr t\u0259sbitl\u0259r \u0259slind\u0259 erm\u0259ni c\u0259miyy\u0259tini aldatmaqd\u0131r. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259mizl\u0259 h\u0259rbi m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 r\u0259qab\u0259t aparmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil. \u018fvv\u0259la ona g\u00f6r\u0259 ki, h\u0259rbi g\u00fcc\u00fc t\u0259min ed\u0259n amill\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda iqtisadi v\u0259 demoqrafik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u0259 vacib rol oynay\u0131r. Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 5 milyard dollar t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 bu da Erm\u0259nistanla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 3 d\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7oxdur. Bu bir daha g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, Az\u0259rbaycan \u0259ld\u0259 etdiyi z\u0259f\u0259rl\u0259rl\u0259 arxay\u0131nla\u015fm\u0131r, h\u0259rbi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131r\u0131r, \u0259n m\u00fcasir silahlar\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi texnikan\u0131 Ordumuzun arsenal\u0131na daxil edir. K\u00fctl\u0259vi silahlanma\u011fa r\u0259\u011fm\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycanla h\u0259rbi m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 r\u0259qab\u0259t aparmaq v\u0259 regiondak\u0131 geosiyasi v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti hans\u0131sa formada d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259k imkanlar\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131ra b\u0259rab\u0259rdir. Bunu bir s\u0131ra beyn\u0259lxalq t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n hesabatlar\u0131ndan da ayd\u0131n g\u00f6rm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. D\u00fcnya \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin h\u0259rbi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ara\u015fd\u0131ran \u201cGlobal Firepower\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n 2024-c\u00fc il \u00fczr\u0259 hesabat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n g\u00fccl\u00fc ordusu reytinqind\u0259 59-cu, Erm\u0259nistan is\u0259 102-ci yerd\u0259 q\u0259rarla\u015f\u0131b.<\/p>\n

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\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201da dan\u0131\u015fan h\u0259rbi ekspert Ramil M\u0259mm\u0259dli Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n postm\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 iki c\u00fcr izah edir: \u201cBirincisi, daxili auditoriyaya g\u00f6st\u0259rilir ki, Erm\u0259nistana ciddi h\u0259rbi d\u0259st\u0259k var. Pa\u015finyan KTMT-d\u0259n \u00fcz \u00e7evirm\u0259yin, Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6lk\u0259sin\u0259 guya d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00e7\u0131xma\u011f\u0131n m\u00fcsb\u0259t n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rini xalq\u0131na n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirir. Bununla dem\u0259k ist\u0259yir ki, Rusiyadan biz\u0259 xeyir olmad\u0131, Fransa, AB\u015e, Yunan\u0131stan yan\u0131m\u0131zdad\u0131r. Eyni zamanda t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sah\u0259sind\u0259 vektorunu d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259r\u0259k yeni m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259r tapd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \u018flb\u0259tt\u0259, Kipr, Yunan\u0131stan, yaxud Fransan\u0131n hans\u0131sa silahlar\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycanla d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 yet\u0259rli deyil. Erm\u0259nistan yax\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr ki, bu silahlanman\u0131 art\u0131rmaqla revan\u015f g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacaq. He\u00e7 xalq da n\u00f6vb\u0259ti m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 minl\u0259rl\u0259 erm\u0259ni \u0259sg\u0259rinin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u0259 haz\u0131r deyil. Sad\u0259c\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259ksiz qalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc yarad\u0131l\u0131r\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n

H\u0259rbi ekspertin fikrinc\u0259, ikincisi, m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan Silahl\u0131 Q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rinin minl\u0259rl\u0259 h\u0259rbi texnikas\u0131 m\u0259hv edilib, bir hiss\u0259si H\u0259rbi Q\u0259nim\u0259tl\u0259r Park\u0131nda n\u00fcmayi\u015f olunur: \u201cBuna g\u00f6r\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan ordunu yenid\u0259n b\u0259rpa etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. N\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaq ki, 44 g\u00fcn davam ed\u0259n m\u00fcharib\u0259nin h\u0259r d\u0259qiq\u0259si erm\u0259ni ordusunun silah-sursat\u0131 darmada\u011f\u0131n olunurdu. Y\u0259ni indi onun arsenal\u0131, anbarlar\u0131 bombo\u015f kimidir. Q\u0259rb d\u0259 bu f\u00fcrs\u0259td\u0259n istifad\u0259 ed\u0259r\u0259k onu silahland\u0131rmaqla regiona yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bununla Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n yan\u0131nda dayand\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rirl\u0259r. Bir s\u00f6zl\u0259, bu silahlanmaya birt\u0259r\u0259fli baxma\u011f\u0131n t\u0259r\u0259fdar\u0131 deyil\u0259m. \u0130r\u0259van onsuz da yar\u0131\u015fa girm\u0259k qabiliyy\u0259tin\u0259 malik deyil\u201d.<\/p>\n

R.M\u0259mm\u0259dli \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc amil kimi Rusiyan\u0131n h\u0259rbi \u015finelind\u0259n Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131 c\u0259hdl\u0259rini m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edir: \u201cZvartnots aeroportundan rus s\u0259rh\u0259d\u00e7il\u0259r \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131lar, \u0130ranla s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259n d\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015f\u0131rlar, Az\u0259rbaycanla delimitasiya olunmu\u015f \u0259razil\u0259ri d\u0259 t\u0259rk etdil\u0259r, qal\u0131r T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 rus h\u0259rb\u00e7il\u0259ri. \u018fg\u0259r “Marqara” ke\u00e7id m\u0259nt\u0259q\u0259si n\u0259 zamansa i\u015f\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fs\u0259, oradan da ged\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. N\u0259hay\u0259t, bunun final\u0131 kimi G\u00fcmr\u00fc v\u0259 Erebunid\u0259n Rusiyan\u0131n h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131n\u0131n, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 aviabazas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259nib. Lakin Pa\u015finyan olduqca xam x\u0259yallara qap\u0131l\u0131b. O, Rusiyan\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ya ki\u00e7ildir, ya da Q\u0259rbd\u0259n indiki d\u0259st\u0259yi \u00e7ox b\u00f6y\u00fcd\u00fcr. H\u0259min Q\u0259rb G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Ukraynada g\u00f6z qaba\u011f\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130ndi Erm\u0259nistanda ruslar\u0131n h\u0259rbi t\u0259sirl\u0259rini azaltmaq, guya Rusiyan\u0131 bu \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xarmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn strategiya var, amma Moskvan\u0131n \u0130r\u0259vanda y\u00fczill\u0259rl\u0259 oturu\u015fmu\u015f t\u0259zyiq resurslar\u0131n\u0131, potensial\u0131n\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259 bilmirl\u0259r. Q\u0131sas\u0131, silahlanmada \u00fc\u00e7 m\u0259qs\u0259d var: erm\u0259ni ordusunda sovet-rus h\u0259rbi m\u0259kt\u0259binin t\u0259sirl\u0259rini aradan qald\u0131rmaq, Rusiyan\u0131n bu \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259rbi varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na son qoymaq; ard\u0131nca, Q\u0259rbin d\u0259st\u0259yini n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirm\u0259k v\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 biab\u0131r olmu\u015f erm\u0259ni ordusunu qism\u0259n dir\u00e7\u0259ltm\u0259k. Buna \u201cMar\u015fal plan\u0131\u201d da deyilir. Az\u0259rbaycanla yeni m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rl\u0131q versiyas\u0131n\u0131 sonuncu punkt kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u0259m. Erm\u0259nil\u0259rin Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n guya bu silahlanman\u0131 \u0259sas g\u0259tirib yeni h\u0259rbi add\u0131mlar ataca\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 iddialar\u0131 is\u0259 c\u0259f\u0259ngdir. Biz nizamlanma prosesini d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yirik”.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Erm\u0259nistan b\u00fcdc\u0259si silah ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi x\u0259rcl\u0259ri ilb\u0259il art\u0131rma\u011fa imkan verm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k; erm\u0259ni t\u0259hlil\u00e7il\u0259r iddia edirl\u0259r ki, guya Bak\u0131ya h\u00fccum \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn… Erm\u0259nistan \u0130kinci Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra regionda formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f yeni geosiyasi reall\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif vasit\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259, bu m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259 h\u0259rbi potensial\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259rbi b\u00fcdc\u0259sini daha 20 faiz art\u0131raraq 1,7 milyard dollara \u00e7atd\u0131rmas\u0131 deyil\u0259nl\u0259rin \u0259yani t\u0259sdiqidir. R\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259n etibar\u0259n h\u0259rbi x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 77 faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131, k\u00fctl\u0259vi silahlanma siyas\u0259ti y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u0259si r\u0259smi Bak\u0131n\u0131 adekvat t\u0259dbirl\u0259r g\u00f6rm\u0259y\u0259 s\u00f6vq edir. 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