{"id":791510,"date":"2025-03-04T09:20:58","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T05:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=791510"},"modified":"2025-03-04T09:20:58","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T05:20:58","slug":"az%c9%99rbaycan-haqda-iki-proqnoz-biri-nikbin-biri-s%c9%99rh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=791510","title":{"rendered":"Az\u0259rbaycan haqda iki proqnoz: biri nikbin, biri&#8230; &#8211; \u015f\u0259rh"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u00d6lk\u0259nin qeyri-enerji sektoruna investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn kompleks islahatlara gedilm\u0259lidir<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 (DB) 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131 2,7 faiz s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Bank\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m tempi 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 2,4 faiz\u0259, 2027-ci ild\u0259 2,3 faiz\u0259, 2028-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 2,2 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, 2025-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 orta hesabla ild\u0259 2,4 faiz artacaq.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bank\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, \u0259sas yataqlar\u0131n (X\u0259z\u0259r d\u0259nizinin Az\u0259rbaycan sektorundak\u0131 \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d yataqlar bloku) k\u00f6hn\u0259lm\u0259si s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n neft hasilat\u0131 azalma\u011fa davam ed\u0259c\u0259k, t\u0259bii qaz hasilat\u0131 (\u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda) is\u0259 2024-2025-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259ki pik s\u0259viyy\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n sonra sabitl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131n qeyri-resurs sektorlar\u0131, \u0259sas\u0259n xidm\u0259t v\u0259 tikinti sektoru ild\u0259 4 faiz s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 art\u0131m n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdir\u0259c\u0259k. Tikinti sektoru, g\u00fcman ki, d\u00f6vl\u0259t investisiyalar\u0131na meylli olacaq.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131ndan bildirilib ki, iqtisadiyyatda d\u00f6vl\u0259tin y\u00fcks\u0259k pay\u0131, maliyy\u0259 bazar\u0131n\u0131n z\u0259if inki\u015faf\u0131 v\u0259 kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r insan kapital\u0131n\u0131n olmamas\u0131 kimi \u0259sas struktur m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259ri aradan qald\u0131r\u0131larsa, ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 art\u0131m templ\u0259ri s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259n\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 son vaxtlar q\u0259bul edilmi\u015f R\u0259qab\u0259t M\u0259c\u0259ll\u0259si v\u0259 maliyy\u0259 sektorunda normativ-h\u00fcquqi aktlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si laz\u0131md\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131n\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259nin xarici v\u0259 fiskal v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 dayan\u0131ql\u0131 olaraq qalacaq, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd karbohidrogen g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin hasilat h\u0259cml\u0259rin\u0259 uy\u011fun olaraq azalmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n profisitl\u0259rin azalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir: \u201cEyni zamanda iqtisadi proqnozlar geosiyasi amill\u0259r, qlobal iqtisadi d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r v\u0259 iqlim \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da daxil olmaqla bir s\u0131ra riskl\u0259r\u0259 m\u0259ruz qal\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/azerbaijan.az\/uploads\/news-files\/melumatlar\/Paytaxt\/_FKH2988_89_90_tonemapped.jpg\" alt=\"\u00dcmumi m\u0259lumat - Azerbaijan.az\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Daha bir beyn\u0259lxalq maliyy\u0259 qurumu olan Avropa Yenid\u0259nqurma v\u0259 \u0130nki\u015faf Bank\u0131 (AY\u0130B) 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda sabit art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Bank\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00dcDM art\u0131m\u0131 3 faiz\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 2.5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r yava\u015flayacaq. Bununla bel\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259nin iqtisadi perspektivi neft v\u0259 qaz qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259ki d\u0259yi\u015fk\u0259nlikl\u0259r\u0259, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 regional geosiyasi prosesl\u0259r\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259k d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259ssas olaraq qal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AY\u0130B-d\u0259 hesab edirl\u0259r ki, ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan \u00c7ini v\u0259 M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiyan\u0131 Avropa il\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n Transx\u0259z\u0259r N\u0259qliyyat D\u0259hlizi (Orta d\u0259hliz) vasit\u0259sil\u0259 artan ticar\u0259td\u0259n faydalana bil\u0259r. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, infrastruktur, k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131 v\u0259 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 sah\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259ldil\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259t investisiyalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259yi il\u0259 ictimai istehlak\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Xat\u0131rladaq ki, Az\u0259rbaycan \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi 2025-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 3,5 faizlik, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank is\u0259 3,3 faizlik iqtisadi art\u0131m proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131blar. S&amp;P Global Beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi 2025-2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n orta hesabla illik 2 faiz, Fitch Rating &#8211; 2025-ci ild\u0259 3 faiz v\u0259 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 2,4 faiz, Moody\u2019s illik 2,5 faiz, Niderland\u0131n ING bank\u0131 is\u0259 2025-ci ild\u0259 2,6 faiz, g\u0259l\u0259n il 2,8 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259yini g\u00f6zl\u0259yir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6vl\u0259t Statistika Komit\u0259sinin a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, 2025-ci ilin yanvar ay\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycanda 9 milyard 430,2 milyon manatl\u0131q v\u0259 ya \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fc il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 0,9 faiz az \u00fcmumi daxili m\u0259hsul istehsal olunub. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131n neft-qaz sektorunda \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r 4,0 faiz azal\u0131b, qeyri neft-qaz sektorunda is\u0259 1,0 faiz art\u0131b.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcDM istehsal\u0131n\u0131n 39,9 faizi s\u0259naye, 10,3 faizi ticar\u0259t; n\u0259qliyyat vasit\u0259l\u0259rinin t\u0259miri, 7,1 faizi n\u0259qliyyat v\u0259 anbar t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131, 4,2 faizi tikinti, 3,1 faizi k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131, me\u015f\u0259 t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131 v\u0259 bal\u0131q\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q, 2,0 faizi turistl\u0259rin yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si v\u0259 ictimai ia\u015f\u0259, 1,9 faizi informasiya v\u0259 rabit\u0259 sah\u0259l\u0259rinin, 20,7 faizi dig\u0259r sah\u0259l\u0259rin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb, m\u0259hsula v\u0259 idxala xalis vergil\u0259r \u00dcDM-in 10,8 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil edib.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/vergiler.az\/media\/2019\/12\/18\/artimm.jpg\" alt=\"\u00dcDM istehsal\u0131nda art\u0131m qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Xat\u0131rladaq ki, 2024-c\u00fc ilin yanvar\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycanda 5 faizlik \u00dcDM art\u0131m\u0131 qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Qeyd olunan d\u00f6vrd\u0259 neft-qaz sektorunda 2,6 faiz azalmaya qar\u015f\u0131, qeyri-neft-qaz sektorunda 12,3 faiz art\u0131m olmu\u015fdu. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir ki, bu ilin yanvar\u0131nda neft-qaz sektorunda azalma 1,5 d\u0259f\u0259y\u0259 yax\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nib, qeyri-neft-qaz sektorunda art\u0131m is\u0259 12 d\u0259f\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7ox yava\u015f\u0131y\u0131b.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcDM-in strukturunda \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck paya malik olan s\u0259naye sektorunda bu il istehsal\u0131n azalmas\u0131 2,6 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u00d6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rici -1,5 faiz idi. S\u0259nayenin strukturunda m\u0259d\u0259n\u00e7\u0131xarma s\u0259nayesi \u00f6t\u0259n il 66,6 faiz, bu il is\u0259 61 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u00d6t\u0259n il m\u0259d\u0259n\u00e7\u0131xarma s\u0259nayesind\u0259 istehsal\u0131n \u00fcmumi d\u0259y\u0259ri 3,4 milyard manat olmaqla, \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin m\u00fcvafiq ay\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 2,3 faiz azalm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bu zaman sah\u0259nin \u0259sas m\u0259hsulu olan \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 2,5 milyon ton, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik t\u0259bii qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 3,3 milyard kub metr t\u0259\u015fkil etmi\u015fdi. \u018fmt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin m\u00fcvafiq ay\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 8,3 faiz azalm\u0131\u015f, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 4,2 faiz artm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>2025-ci ilin yanvar\u0131nda is\u0259 m\u0259d\u0259n\u00e7\u0131xarma s\u0259nayesind\u0259 istehsal\u0131n \u00fcmumi d\u0259y\u0259ri 3,3 milyard manat olmaqla, \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin m\u00fcvafiq ay\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 5,0 faiz azal\u0131b. Sah\u0259nin \u0259sas m\u0259hsulu olan \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 2,3 milyon ton, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik t\u0259bii qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 3,1 milyard kub metr t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u018fmt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 2024-c\u00fc ilin m\u00fcvafiq ay\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 6,6 faiz, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 4,8 faiz azal\u0131b.<\/p>\n<p>Bel\u0259likl\u0259, ayd\u0131n olur ki, bu il neftl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, qaz hasilat\u0131nda da azalma qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. Qaz hasilat\u0131ndak\u0131 azalma \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda hasilat\u0131n 10 g\u00fcn\u0259 yax\u0131n dayanmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, yanvar\u0131n 10-da yata\u011f\u0131n i\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259si layih\u0259sinin operatoru BP-Az\u0259rbaycan \u015firk\u0259ti \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz Alfa\u201d platformas\u0131ndan S\u0259ng\u0259\u00e7al terminal\u0131na kondensat\u0131n n\u0259qli \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulmu\u015f boru k\u0259m\u0259rind\u0259 texniki nasazl\u0131q bar\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259lumat verib. Problemi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn q\u0259d\u0259r tez h\u0259ll etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn platforman\u0131n f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti olaraq dayand\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b.<\/p>\n<p>Yanvar\u0131n 18-d\u0259 ax\u015fam kondensat boru k\u0259m\u0259rind\u0259 yaranm\u0131\u015f problem tam aradan qald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131qdan sonra \u201cBP-Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d \u015firk\u0259ti \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz Alfa\u201d platformas\u0131ndan hasilat\u0131 b\u0259rpa edib.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/azvision.az\/photos\/UDM_1519117907.png\" alt=\"\u00dcDM art\u0131r: \u018fsas h\u0259d\u0259f n\u0259 olmal\u0131d\u0131r? \u2013 T\u018fHL\u0130L\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Platformada hasilat\u0131n dayanmas\u0131 \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201dd\u0259n hasilat\u0131n illik ifad\u0259d\u0259 400 milyon kubmetr azalmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olub. Bu is\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 \u00fczr\u0259 \u00dcDM art\u0131m\u0131nda 0,9 faizlik azalman\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rind\u0259n biridir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, neft-qaz sektorunda hasilat\u0131n azalmas\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin proqnozlar\u0131nda da \u0259ksini tap\u0131b. \u201c2025-ci il d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si haqq\u0131nda\u201d qanun layih\u0259sind\u0259 yer alan proqnoza \u0259sas\u0259n, 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda neftin hasilat\u0131 28,7 milyon ton, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 38,4 milyard kubmetr olacaq, 2028-ci ild\u0259 is\u0259 qeyd olunan g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r m\u00fcvafiq olaraq 26,7 milyon tona v\u0259 36,6 milyard kubmetr\u0259d\u0259k azalacaq. Bel\u0259likl\u0259 d\u0259 2026-2028-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 neft v\u0259 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 (2027-ci il istisna olmaqla) \u00fczr\u0259 azalman\u0131n davam etm\u0259si neft-qaz sektorunun azalmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaq. Bu is\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 \u00fczr\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m dinamikas\u0131na ciddi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k. Bu t\u0259sirin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131, iqtisadi art\u0131m s\u00fcr\u0259tinin saxlanmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qeyri-neft sektorunda ciddi investisiya qoyulu\u015flar\u0131na ehtiyac var. 2025-ci ilin ilk ay\u0131nda bu sah\u0259d\u0259 \u00e7ox k\u0259skin azalma qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. R\u0259smi statistikaya \u0259sas\u0259n, 2025-ci ilin yanvar ay\u0131nda \u00f6lk\u0259nin iqtisadi v\u0259 sosial sah\u0259l\u0259rinin inki\u015faf\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fct\u00fcn maliyy\u0259 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n \u0259sas kapitala 787,0 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 2024-c\u00fc ilin yanvar ay\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 50,0 faiz, yaxud iki d\u0259f\u0259 az investisiya y\u00f6n\u0259ldilib. Neft-qaz sektoruna y\u00f6n\u0259ldilmi\u015f investisiyalar\u0131n h\u0259cmi 40,5 faiz, qeyri neft-qaz sektoruna y\u00f6n\u0259ldilmi\u015f investisiyalar\u0131n h\u0259cmi is\u0259 54,8 faiz az olub.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Xat\u0131rladaq ki, 2024-c\u00fc ilin yanvar ay\u0131nda \u00f6lk\u0259nin iqtisadi v\u0259 sosial sah\u0259l\u0259rinin inki\u015faf\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fct\u00fcn maliyy\u0259 m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n \u0259sas kapitala 1 milyard 553,0 milyon manat v\u0259 ya 2023-c\u00fc ilin m\u00fcvafiq d\u00f6vr\u00fc il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 37,4 faiz \u00e7ox v\u0259sait y\u00f6n\u0259ldilmi\u015fdr. Bu zaman neft-qaz sektoruna yat\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f investisiyalar\u0131n h\u0259cmi 44,5 faiz, qeyri neft-qaz sektoruna y\u00f6n\u0259ldil\u0259n v\u0259saitin h\u0259cmi is\u0259 34,1 faiz artm\u0131\u015fd\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, bu ilin yanvar\u0131nda qeyri-neft-qaz sektoruna yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda azalma 2 d\u0259f\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 \u00e7oxdur. Bu is\u0259 yax\u0131n v\u0259 davaml\u0131 olarsa, ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131ma nail olunmas\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcns\u00fcz hala g\u0259tir\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bel\u0259 ki, AB\u015e-da Donald Tramp\u0131n hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259li\u015fi il\u0259 d\u00fcnya neft bazar\u0131nda b\u00f6y\u00fck t\u0259lat\u00fcml\u0259r ya\u015fanmaqdad\u0131r. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 Tramp\u0131n Venesuela neftinin bazara qay\u0131tmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 Bayden administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259tbiq etdiyi sanksiyalar\u0131 aradan qald\u0131rmaq planlar\u0131 neft bazar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7ox t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li perspektivl\u0259r v\u0259d edir. Analitikl\u0259r\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Venesuelan\u0131n neft ixrac\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259tta 50 faiz h\u0259ddind\u0259 b\u0259rpa etm\u0259si d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 55 dollardan da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sala bil\u0259r. Bu is\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sini neftin 70 dollarl\u0131q qiym\u0259ti il\u0259 hesablayan Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yaln\u0131z iqtisadi azalma deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131na \u0259m\u0259l olunmas\u0131 sah\u0259sind\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck probleml\u0259r yarada bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin k\u0259skin azalmas\u0131 ba\u015f ver\u0259rs\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin yaranacaq \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flara hans\u0131sa cavab t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri haz\u0131rlay\u0131b-haz\u0131rlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lum deyil: h\u0259r halda, bu bar\u0259d\u0259 hans\u0131sa a\u00e7\u0131qlama verilm\u0259yib. Lakin ekspertl\u0259r\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, h\u00f6kum\u0259t vaxt itirm\u0259d\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259nin qeyri-enerji sektoruna investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7ox ciddi v\u0259 kompleks islahatlara getm\u0259li, s\u00f6z\u00fcn h\u0259qiqi m\u0259nas\u0131nda, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m etm\u0259lidir. \u018fks halda, 2015-2016-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259ki kimi b\u00f6hrandan qa\u00e7maq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacaq.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00d6lk\u0259nin qeyri-enerji sektoruna investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn kompleks islahatlara gedilm\u0259lidir D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 (DB) 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131 2,7 faiz s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Bank\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m tempi 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 2,4 faiz\u0259, 2027-ci ild\u0259 2,3 faiz\u0259, 2028-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 2,2 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, 2025-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 orta hesabla ild\u0259 2,4 faiz artacaq. Bank\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, \u0259sas yataqlar\u0131n (X\u0259z\u0259r d\u0259nizinin Az\u0259rbaycan sektorundak\u0131 \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d yataqlar bloku) k\u00f6hn\u0259lm\u0259si s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n neft hasilat\u0131 azalma\u011fa davam ed\u0259c\u0259k, t\u0259bii qaz hasilat\u0131 (\u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda) is\u0259 2024-2025-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259ki pik s\u0259viyy\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n sonra sabitl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131n qeyri-resurs sektorlar\u0131,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":791511,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a-635x365.jpg",635,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a-840x483.jpg",640,368,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/34478aa00c3ad4bafcfc0dea09224e2a.jpg",870,500,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?cat=19\" rel=\"category\">G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u00d6lk\u0259nin qeyri-enerji sektoruna investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn kompleks islahatlara gedilm\u0259lidir D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 (DB) 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131 2,7 faiz s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Bank\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m tempi 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 2,4 faiz\u0259, 2027-ci ild\u0259 2,3 faiz\u0259, 2028-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 2,2 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, 2025-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 orta hesabla ild\u0259 2,4 faiz&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/791510"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=791510"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/791510\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":791513,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/791510\/revisions\/791513"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/791511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=791510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=791510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=791510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}