{"id":805068,"date":"2025-05-09T10:47:30","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T06:47:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=805068"},"modified":"2025-05-09T10:47:30","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T06:47:30","slug":"opek-olk%c9%99l%c9%99rinin-riskli-q%c9%99rari-neft-50-dollara-duss%c9%99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=805068","title":{"rendered":"OPEK+ \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin riskli q\u0259rar\u0131 &#8211; neft 50 dollara d\u00fc\u015fs\u0259&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><strong>\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar hesab edir ki, \u0259g\u0259r neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 50 dollar civar\u0131nda bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il qalsa, b\u0259zi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ciddi iqtisadi dal\u011falanmalar ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri v\u0259 hasilat\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 maraql\u0131 prosesl\u0259r c\u0259r\u0259yan etm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda s\u0259kkiz OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259si bu ilin iyun ay\u0131ndan hasilat\u0131 k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 &#8211; g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 411 min barel art\u0131racaq. Raz\u0131la\u015fmada i\u015ftirak ed\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r cari planlar\u0131na m\u00fcmk\u00fcn d\u00fcz\u0259li\u015fl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259r ay g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 s\u00f6z verirl\u0259r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ekspertl\u0259r hesab edirl\u0259r ki, hasilat\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas m\u0259qs\u0259di OPEC+ raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 pozanlar\u0131 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edilmi\u015f kvotalara \u0259m\u0259l etm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259cbur etm\u0259kdir. Kartel liderl\u0259ri bu t\u0259dbirl\u0259r effekt verm\u0259diyi t\u0259qdird\u0259 daha da ir\u0259li ged\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259rini v\u0259d edirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>Q\u0259rb agentlikl\u0259rinin verdiyi m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, sazi\u015f i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 hasilat kvotalar\u0131na \u0259m\u0259l etm\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, OPEC+ neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha da s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259 v\u0259 oktyabr\u0131n sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r k\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc azald\u0131lan 2,2 milyon barel hasilat\u0131 tam b\u0259rpa ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. OPEC+ q\u0259rar\u0131 art\u0131q qara q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 azalma g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rini art\u0131r\u0131b. Mart ay\u0131nda S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131l\u0131q etdiyi ixracat\u00e7\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r, hasilat art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 2026-c\u0131 ilin sentyabr ay\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r davam ed\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 q\u0259rar veribl\u0259r. OPEK+ i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 bildirirl\u0259r ki, iyun ay\u0131nda hasilat\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131 m\u00f6vcud sa\u011flam bazar \u0259saslar\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq q\u0259bul edilib. S\u0259kkiz OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259si (S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131, Rusiya, \u0130raq, B\u018f\u018f, \u018flc\u0259zair, K\u00fcveyt, Qazax\u0131stan v\u0259 Oman) bu add\u0131m\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 kompensasiyalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259k imkan\u0131 ver\u0259c\u0259yini qeyd edirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6zl\u0259nilir ki, art\u0131q iyun ay\u0131nda onlar aprel ay\u0131ndan k\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc hasilat\u0131n \u00fcmumi h\u0259cminin 30 faizd\u0259n \u00e7oxunu neft bazar\u0131na qaytara bil\u0259rl\u0259r. Hesablamalara g\u00f6r\u0259, OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin iyun ay\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00fcmumi kvotas\u0131 sazi\u015fi pozanlardan kompensasiyalar n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmaqla sutkada 36,14 milyon barel t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k ki, bu da may ay\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 359 min barel \u00e7oxdur. Q\u0259rb analitikl\u0259ri hesab edir ki, OPEC+ q\u0259rar\u0131 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti \u00fc\u00e7 r\u00fcb \u0259rzind\u0259 qlobal neft ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 200 milyon barel art\u0131ra bil\u0259r ki, bu da qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin bir barel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 50 dollara d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si riskini yarad\u0131r. Bu ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259n neft art\u0131q t\u0259xmin\u0259n 19 faiz ucuzla\u015f\u0131b. V\u0259 kartelin aprel q\u0259rar\u0131ndan sonra \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259ti bir h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 72 dollardan 60 dollara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar hesab edir ki, \u0259g\u0259r neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 50 dollar civar\u0131nda bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il qalsa, neftd\u0259n k\u0259skin as\u0131l\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ciddi iqtisadi dal\u011falanmalar ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259\u00a0 Az\u0259rbaycan da bu s\u0131rada ola bil\u0259r. V\u0259ziyy\u0259tin q\u0259lizliyi h\u0259m d\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, qiym\u0259tl\u0259 paralel neft hasilat\u0131 da azal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/images.oxu.az\/2022\/12\/21\/11\/29\/49\/d8ef25df-221d-4b2e-bb8b-d68015c50f0f\/elman-sadiqov:1200.jpg\" alt=\"Elman Sad\u0131qov: \u201c\u018fsas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n biri 2026-c\u0131 il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Az\u0259rbaycan  manat\u0131n\u0131 sabit saxlamaqd\u0131r\u201d - Oxu.az\" width=\"881\" height=\"556\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Elman Sad\u0131qov<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131-ekspert Elman Sad\u0131qova g\u00f6r\u0259, 2025-ci ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259n v\u0259 haz\u0131rda neft bazar\u0131nda ged\u0259n prosesl\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z deyil:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cBu v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin yaranaca\u011f\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ilin pay\u0131z\u0131nda &#8211; Donald Tramp\u0131n se\u00e7ki kampaniyas\u0131 zaman\u0131 proqnoz edilirdi. Ham\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirdi ki, Tramp hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259rs\u0259, k\u0259skin tarif siyas\u0259ti y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u0259c\u0259k. Bunu da ona g\u00f6r\u0259 edirdi ki, birinci hakimiyy\u0259ti d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 daha rasional v\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f tarif siyas\u0259ti il\u0259 kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r ciddi n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r \u0259ld\u0259 etmi\u015fdi. Bu siyas\u0259td\u0259n h\u0259dd\u0259n art\u0131q ruhlanan, bir az da eyforiyaya d\u00fc\u015f\u0259n Tramp\u0131n onu daha da k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilirdi. Lakin he\u00e7 kim bel\u0259 geni\u015f, ham\u0131ya y\u00f6n\u0259lik v\u0259 bel\u0259 dey\u0259k, tam ara\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f siyas\u0259t g\u00f6zl\u0259mirdi. \u0130ndi bu siyas\u0259t ba\u015flad\u0131l\u0131b, onu dig\u0259r m\u0259hsullar\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bahala\u015fma neft-enerji qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7\u0259kir. Neftin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 is\u0259 AB\u015e-da m\u00fch\u00fcm \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t\u0259 malik benzin-dizel qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini sal\u0131r. Bu da \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259sini xeyli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 tormozlay\u0131r: y\u00fckda\u015f\u0131ma xidm\u0259tl\u0259rinin, k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131 m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Bu, neftin qiym\u0259tini ucuzla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 prioritet\u0259 \u00e7evirir v\u0259 Tramp da bunu n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131r. Neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 salmaq imkanlar\u0131 \u00e7oxdur &#8211; bazarda t\u0259klifi art\u0131rmaq bunun \u0259n asan yoludur. Tramp bunu Venesueal, \u0130ran neftini bazara qaytarmaqla da ed\u0259 bil\u0259rdi, lakin \u0259sas ixracat\u00e7\u0131lar olan \u0259r\u0259b \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 t\u0259siri se\u00e7ib. \u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259 h\u0259d\u0259f 45-50 dollar idi, lakin tezlikl\u0259 ayd\u0131n oldu ki, bu qiym\u0259t AB\u015e-\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn neft hasilat\u0131nda art\u0131m\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 alacaq, sektora m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 kompromis variant kimi 50-55 dollar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dayan\u0131ld\u0131. Burada \u0259sas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131, Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f \u018fr\u0259b \u018fmirlikl\u0259ri v\u0259 dig\u0259r neft ixracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 raz\u0131 salmaq idi. Tramp onlar\u0131 buna raz\u0131 sal\u0131b: bu, ayd\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. \u018fr\u0259b d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rinin haz\u0131rda AB\u015e-\u0131n bu irad\u0259sin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 getm\u0259k imkan\u0131-potensial\u0131 yoxdur. \u00c7\u00fcnki Tramp rahatl\u0131qla onlardan \u00fcz \u00e7evirib, Venesuela, \u0130ran neftini bazara qaytara bil\u0259r. Bu halda hasilat\u0131 art\u0131rmaq ist\u0259m\u0259y\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r bazar paylar\u0131n\u0131 itirm\u0259kl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, AB\u015e kimi superd\u00f6vl\u0259tin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259n\u00e7iliyini qazanm\u0131\u015f olacaqlar. Bunu is\u0259, \u0259lb\u0259tt\u0259, he\u00e7 bir \u0259r\u0259b d\u00f6vl\u0259ti ist\u0259mir. Onlar q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259t \u0259rzind\u0259 neftin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 d\u00f6zm\u0259y\u0259 raz\u0131la\u015fmaq m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 qald\u0131lar. M\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti deyir\u0259m, ona g\u00f6r\u0259 ki, Tramp \u0259sas ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131 il\u0259 tarif raz\u0131la\u015fmalar\u0131na nail olandan sonra neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin bir q\u0259d\u0259r yuxar\u0131 qalxmas\u0131na imkan ver\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k, lakin 55 dollardan yuxar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n deyil\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ekspert qeyd edir ki, haz\u0131rk\u0131 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri AB\u015e-\u0131n tarif siyas\u0259ti fonunda neft idxal ed\u0259n t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ciddi stimuldur:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cG\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz, AB\u015e-\u0131n \u0259sas m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259ri olan Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131, B\u00f6y\u00fck Britaniya, Yaponiya v\u0259 dig\u0259rl\u0259ri AB\u015e-a qar\u015f\u0131 k\u0259skin tarif siyas\u0259ti q\u0259rarlar\u0131 almad\u0131lar. Enerji qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259ki ucuzla\u015fma onlara b\u00f6y\u00fck dividentl\u0259r g\u0259tirir: x\u0259rcl\u0259r azal\u0131r, inflyasiya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Onlar art\u0131q AB\u015e-la tarif dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131na ba\u015flay\u0131blar v\u0259 y\u0259qin ki, yax\u0131n 1-2 ay \u0259rzind\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn \u0259sas ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131 il\u0259 ham\u0131n\u0131 qane ed\u0259n raz\u0131la\u015fmalar \u0259ld\u0259 olunacaq. Neft ixracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259 S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 bunu g\u00f6r\u00fcr. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m ki, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 50 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259ndir. V\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan 50 dollar \u0259traf\u0131ndak\u0131 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 haz\u0131rd\u0131r. Bu, ciddi devalvasiya t\u0259zyiqi d\u0259 yaratmayacaq, \u0259g\u0259r m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n add\u0131mlar at\u0131lacaqsa. Bu add\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir\u0259m, \u00e7\u00fcnki haz\u0131rk\u0131 m\u0259qamda \u00f6lk\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131nda ciddi t\u0259lat\u00fcml\u0259r\u0259 yol a\u00e7acaq prosesl\u0259r\u0259 yol verilm\u0259si a\u011f\u0131r n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r. Fikrimc\u0259, \u00f6lk\u0259nin m\u00f6vcud borc s\u0259viyy\u0259si, valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cmi, iqtisadiyyat\u0131n v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti imkan ver\u0259c\u0259k ki, bel\u0259 t\u0259lat\u00fcml\u0259rd\u0259n yay\u0131nmaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olsun. H\u00f6kum\u0259tin art\u0131q z\u0259ruri f\u0259aliyy\u0259t plan\u0131na sahib oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m, \u00e7\u00fcnki neft bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 haz\u0131rk\u0131 prosesl\u0259r art\u0131q \u00f6t\u0259n ilin pay\u0131z\u0131ndan proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rd\u0131\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, may\u0131n 8-d\u0259 d\u00fcnya bazarlar\u0131nda \u201cAzeri Light\u201d (CIF) markal\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan neftinin qiym\u0259ti 1,69 AB\u015e dollar\u0131 v\u0259 ya 2,6 faiz azalaraq 63,25 AB\u015e dollar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, onun hasilat\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 da problem yaradan amildir. R\u0259smi statistikaya \u0259sas\u0259n birinci r\u00fcbd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda 6,9 milyon ton neft (kondensatla birlikd\u0259) hasil edilib. Hasilat\u0131n 4 milyon tonu \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201dnin, 1 milyon tonu (kondensat) \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201din, 0,14 milyon tonu (kondensat) \u201cAb\u015feron\u201d yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. SOCAR \u00fczr\u0259 neft (kondensatla birlikd\u0259) hasilat\u0131 1,8 milyon ton t\u0259\u015fkil edib.<\/p>\n<p><strong>R\u00fcb \u0259rzind\u0259 5,7 milyon ton neft (kondensatla birlikd\u0259) ixraca n\u0259ql olunub. Bunun 4,9 milyon tonu konsorsiumlar\u0131n, 0,7 milyon tonu SOCAR-\u0131n, 0,14 milyon tonu is\u0259 \u201cAb\u015feron\u201d yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Bel\u0259likl\u0259, birinci r\u00fcbd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda neft hasilat\u0131 illik ifad\u0259d\u0259 400 min ton azal\u0131b. Bunun 200 min tonu \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201dd\u0259, 100 min tonu (kondensat) \u201c\u015eahd\u0259niz\u201dd\u0259,\u00a0 100 min tonu is\u0259 SOCAR \u00fczr\u0259 qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b. \u0130xracda 300 min ton A\u00c7G, 100 min ton SOCAR \u00fczr\u0259 azalma var.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Neft ixrac\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cm v\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r bax\u0131m\u0131ndan azalmas\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259nin valyuta g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q hiss olunur. Bel\u0259 ki, birinci r\u00fcbd\u0259 D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondu \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d (A\u00c7G) yataqlar blokunun i\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259sind\u0259n 1 milyard 177,406 milyon AB\u015e dollar\u0131 m\u0259bl\u0259\u011find\u0259 g\u0259lir \u0259ld\u0259 edib. Bu, 2024-c\u00fc ilin yanvar-mart aylar\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 270,4 milyon AB\u015e dollar\u0131 v\u0259 yaxud 18,7 faiz azd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 neft-qaz sektorundan daxil olan vergil\u0259rd\u0259 d\u0259 k\u0259skin azalma var. A\u00e7\u0131qlanan hesabata \u0259sas\u0259n birinci r\u00fcbd\u0259 bu g\u0259lir m\u0259nb\u0259sind\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 1 milyard 367,2 milyon manat daxil olub. Bu, illik ifad\u0259d\u0259 40 faiz azalma dem\u0259kdir. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 Vergi Xidm\u0259tinin x\u0259tti il\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 neft-qaz sektorundan 2 milyard 284 milyon manat daxil olmu\u015fdu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti neft hasilat\u0131 v\u0259 neft ixrac\u0131ndan g\u0259lirl\u0259rin azalmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir. Bildirilir ki, bu azalma 2029-cu il\u0259d\u0259k davam ed\u0259c\u0259k. \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyinin t\u0259qdim etdiyi m\u0259lumatlara \u0259sas\u0259n 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131na baxmayaraq qaz hasilat\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 sektorun inki\u015faf\u0131na art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2027-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 neft v\u0259 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 (2029-cu il istisna olmaqla) \u00fczr\u0259 azalman\u0131n davam etm\u0259si n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131naraq neft-qaz sektorunda azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Lakin h\u00f6kum\u0259tin a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 hesablama v\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma neftin 65 dollarl\u0131q orta qiym\u0259ti \u0259sas\u0131nda apar\u0131l\u0131b. G\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r is\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 55-60 dollarl\u0131q h\u0259dd\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 qalmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnd\u0259dir. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 iyunun \u0259vv\u0259lin\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r h\u00f6kum\u0259tin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs\u00fc il\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f ed\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar hesab edir ki, \u0259g\u0259r neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 50 dollar civar\u0131nda bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il qalsa, b\u0259zi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ciddi iqtisadi dal\u011falanmalar ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri v\u0259 hasilat\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 maraql\u0131 prosesl\u0259r c\u0259r\u0259yan etm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda s\u0259kkiz OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259si bu ilin iyun ay\u0131ndan hasilat\u0131 k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 &#8211; g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 411 min barel art\u0131racaq. Raz\u0131la\u015fmada i\u015ftirak ed\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r cari planlar\u0131na m\u00fcmk\u00fcn d\u00fcz\u0259li\u015fl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259r ay g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 s\u00f6z verirl\u0259r. Ekspertl\u0259r hesab edirl\u0259r ki, hasilat\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas m\u0259qs\u0259di OPEC+ raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 pozanlar\u0131 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edilmi\u015f kvotalara \u0259m\u0259l etm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259cbur etm\u0259kdir. Kartel liderl\u0259ri bu t\u0259dbirl\u0259r&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":805069,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f-240x170.jpg",240,170,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20da5551cd550320ed01e5a10257253f.jpg",297,170,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?cat=19\" rel=\"category\">G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131lar hesab edir ki, \u0259g\u0259r neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 50 dollar civar\u0131nda bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il qalsa, b\u0259zi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ciddi iqtisadi dal\u011falanmalar ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k D\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri v\u0259 hasilat\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 maraql\u0131 prosesl\u0259r c\u0259r\u0259yan etm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda s\u0259kkiz OPEC+ \u00f6lk\u0259si bu ilin iyun ay\u0131ndan hasilat\u0131 k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 &#8211; g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 411 min barel art\u0131racaq. Raz\u0131la\u015fmada i\u015ftirak&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/805068"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=805068"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/805068\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":805071,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/805068\/revisions\/805071"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/805069"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=805068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=805068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=805068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}