{"id":810050,"date":"2025-06-09T14:25:30","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T10:25:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=810050"},"modified":"2025-06-09T14:25:30","modified_gmt":"2025-06-09T10:25:30","slug":"pasinyana-qarsi-sui-q%c9%99sd-varianti-artiq-sinaqdan-cixarildi-erm%c9%99ni-kils%c9%99si-v%c9%99-xarici-k%c9%99sfiyyatin-qorxunc-ortaq-plani-is%c9%99-salindi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=810050","title":{"rendered":"Pa\u015finyana qar\u015f\u0131 sui-q\u0259sd variant\u0131 art\u0131q s\u0131naqdan \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131ld\u0131: Erm\u0259ni kils\u0259si v\u0259 xarici k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n qorxunc ortaq plan\u0131 i\u015f\u0259 sal\u0131nd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan se\u00e7kil\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n bir il qalm\u0131\u015f radikal-revan\u015fist m\u00fcxalif\u0259t\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t ed\u0259n erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lik ittihamlar\u0131n m\u0259zmunu bax\u0131m\u0131ndan, “q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 cizgil\u0259ri” art\u0131q \u00e7oxdan a\u015f\u0131b… B\u0259zi Erm\u0259nistan m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rinin \u0259minlikl\u0259 ir\u0259li s\u00fcrd\u00fcy\u00fc iddialara g\u00f6r\u0259, erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazirin siyasi sava\u015f elan etdiyi r\u0259qib d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rg\u0259 onu fiziki c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n aradan g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131 verib…<\/strong><\/h3>\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqaz yeni geopolitik m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 art\u0131q ke\u00e7id edib. Bu regionda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyi b\u00f6y\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u0259 onlar\u0131n strateji se\u00e7iml\u0259rinin istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n birba\u015fa as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. \u00c7\u00fcnki C\u0259nubi Qafqazda AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbl\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n daha amans\u0131z xarakter almaqda oldu\u011fu m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilir. V\u0259 bu bax\u0131mdan, region d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259ri ist\u0259nil\u0259n halda, bu qar\u015f\u0131durmaya m\u00fcnasib\u0259td\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259 riski il\u0259 \u00fcz-\u00fcz\u0259 qal\u0131b.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Onu da qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbl\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda intensivl\u0259\u015f\u0259n geopolitik sava\u015fda strateji se\u00e7im etm\u0259k m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 olmayan yaln\u0131z bir region d\u00f6vl\u0259ti m\u00f6vcuddur. Bel\u0259 ki, Az\u0259rbaycan \u00f6z strateji se\u00e7imini NATO-nun avanqard \u00fczv\u00fc olan T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 h\u0259rbi m\u00fctt\u0259fiqlik bar\u0259d\u0259 \u015eu\u015fa B\u0259yannam\u0259sini imzalamaqla, art\u0131q \u00e7oxdan edib. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, indi Az\u0259rbaycan h\u0259m AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259l\u00e7atmazd\u0131r. R\u0259smi Bak\u0131 n\u0259h\u0259ngl\u0259rin bu geopolitik qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131nda t\u0259r\u0259f\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 deyil. V\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda \u015f\u0259riksiz geopolitik irad\u0259 sahibi olan Az\u0259rbaycan indi Q\u0259rb-Rusiya qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131nda orbitr roluna malikdir.<\/p>\n

Ancaq G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn strateji se\u00e7im m\u0259cburiyy\u0259ti qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz xarakter da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n separat\u00e7\u0131 Abxaziya v\u0259 C\u0259nubi Osetiya b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259ri Rusiyan\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259ti alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, r\u0259smi Tiflis Rusiyan\u0131n t\u0259msil olundu\u011fu b\u00fct\u00fcn geopolitik platformalardan m\u0259saf\u0259 saxlay\u0131r. Eyni zamanda, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb il\u0259 d\u0259 ciddi siyasi-diplomatik probleml\u0259ri m\u00f6vcuddur. V\u0259 r\u0259smi Tiflisin Q\u0259rbl\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 da haz\u0131rda kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r q\u0259liz geopolitik kombinasiyalara ba\u011fl\u0131 proses kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

\"e2e65d887dc9002ace9fce24d89dc82a.jpg<\/p>\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda m\u0259hz Erm\u0259nistan \u0259n “z\u0259if b\u0259nd” hesab olunur. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, haz\u0131rda AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin Rusiya il\u0259 geopolitik qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan \u0259sas “sava\u015f m\u0259kan\u0131”na \u00e7evrilm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259hkum duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259ti Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiyadan uzaqla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b, Q\u0259rb\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 siyas\u0259tind\u0259 h\u0259l\u0259lik israr edir. Halbuki, AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vana bu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259yi he\u00e7 d\u0259 yet\u0259rli s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 deyil. V\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistana t\u0259zyiq mexanizml\u0259ri r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn real t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 t\u00f6r\u0259dir.<\/p>\n

X\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259, Kremlin Erm\u0259nistana h\u0259m xarici, h\u0259m d\u0259 daxili faktorlar il\u0259 m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 etm\u0259k imkanlar\u0131 Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259tini “odla su aras\u0131nda” burax\u0131r. Erm\u0259nistan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 dem\u0259k olar ki, tamamil\u0259 Rusiyadan as\u0131l\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259dir. \u00dcst\u0259lik, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n h\u0259rbi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sistemi d\u0259 Rusiyaya birba\u015fa ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Erm\u0259nistan \u0259razisind\u0259 Rusiya h\u0259rbi bazalar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011funu da n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 ald\u0131qda, r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n Kreml qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda m\u00fcqavim\u0259t immunitetinin m\u0259hdud \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sini t\u0259s\u0259vv\u00fcr etm\u0259k o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 \u00e7\u0259tin deyil.<\/p>\n

T\u0259bii ki, Kreml bu geopolitik t\u0259zyiq al\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259tin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 maksimum s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 istifad\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259yini q\u0259tiyy\u0259n gizl\u0259tmir. Kreml r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131 Q\u0259rb\u0259 inteqrasiya siyas\u0259ti ucbat\u0131ndan Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiyan\u0131n patronajl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda olan Avrasiya \u0130qtisadi \u0130ttifaq\u0131ndan qovula bil\u0259c\u0259yi il\u0259 t\u0259hdid edir. R\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vana x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131q olunur ki, \u0259g\u0259r, geopolitik qar\u015f\u0131durmada Q\u0259rbin yan\u0131nda yer alarsa, bu, Erm\u0259nistan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6kd\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259sin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r. V\u0259 bu t\u0259hdidl\u0259r dolay\u0131s\u0131 il\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiyan\u0131n orbitin\u0259 qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b anlam\u0131 da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\"e459d0859762ce9aaa8fab00a89146b0.jpg<\/p>\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Rusiyan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistana daxili t\u0259zyiq mexanizml\u0259ri d\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur. Bel\u0259 ki, Erm\u0259nistan ordusunun y\u00fcks\u0259k r\u00fctb\u0259li zabit hey\u0259ti b\u00f6y\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u0259 rus k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259ti alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Eyni zamanda, erm\u0259ni kils\u0259si v\u0259 “Qaraba\u011f klan\u0131” da rus k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259limatlar\u0131 il\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, Erm\u0259nistanda ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k n\u00f6vb\u0259ti parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259 rus k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n\u0131n idar\u0259 etdiyi h\u0259rb\u00e7il\u0259r, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259, erm\u0259ni kils\u0259si v\u0259 “Qaraba\u011f klan\u0131” Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259ti \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn real t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 m\u0259nb\u0259yi say\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Onu da qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, h\u0259tta ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan \u00f6z yax\u0131n \u0259traf\u0131na erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sinin birba\u015fa Kremld\u0259n t\u0259limat ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirib. Eyni zamanda, Erm\u0259nistan ba\u015f naziri erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131q sava\u015f a\u00e7maqla, bu t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259ni nisb\u0259t\u0259n z\u0259ifl\u0259tm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazir Rusiya k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n\u0131n agenti hesab etdiyi katalikosun bar\u0259sind\u0259 if\u015faedici faktlara malik oldu\u011fu da b\u0259yan edib. V\u0259 bu, Erm\u0259nistanda kils\u0259-h\u00f6kum\u0259t sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li istiqam\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259ltm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b.<\/p>\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan il\u0259 erm\u0259ni kils\u0259si aras\u0131ndak\u0131 bu sava\u015f indi iki t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n birinin s\u0131radan \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131la bil\u0259c\u0259yi m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015f\u0131r. Erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazir bu sava\u015fa sad\u0259 xalq\u0131n da qo\u015fulmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. O, erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sini if\u015faedici ittihamlar il\u0259 n\u00fcfuzdan salma\u011fa, Erm\u0259nistan c\u0259miyy\u0259tinin \u0259sas probleml\u0259rini qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259 ba\u011flama\u011fa c\u0259hd g\u00f6st\u0259rir: “D\u00f6vl\u0259t (hakimiyy\u0259t) xalq\u0131nd\u0131r. Kils\u0259 d\u0259 xalq\u0131nd\u0131r. Biz d\u00f6vl\u0259ti (hakimiyy\u0259ti) xalqa qaytard\u0131q. Biz kils\u0259ni d\u0259 xalqa qaytarmal\u0131y\u0131q”.<\/p>\n

\"Untitled-1-Recovered.jpg<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan h\u0259m Rusiya, h\u0259m d\u0259 rus k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259ti alt\u0131nda olan erm\u0259ni kils\u0259si il\u0259 eyni vaxtda m\u00fcbariz\u0259 aparmaq m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 qal\u0131b. Halbuki, olduqca t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li siyasi se\u00e7imdir. Ola bilsin ki, erm\u0259ni ba\u015f ba\u015f nazir bel\u0259 riskli m\u00fcbariz\u0259 variant\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7\u0259rk\u0259n, ba\u015fqa yolunun art\u0131q qalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na tamamil\u0259 \u0259min olub. V\u0259 bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n d\u0259, h\u0259lledici siyasi sava\u015fa ba\u015flama\u011f\u0131n yegan\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yolu oldu\u011fu q\u0259na\u0259tin\u0259 g\u0259lib.<\/p>\n

T\u0259bii ki, bel\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li se\u00e7imin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 \u00e7ox g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259yib. Bel\u0259 ki, Erm\u0259nistan ba\u015f naziri Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n avtomobil karteji S\u00fcnik b\u00f6lg\u0259sind\u0259 q\u0259zaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. B\u0259zi erm\u0259ni K\u0130V-l\u0259ri bunun q\u0259za deyil, m\u0259hz sui-q\u0259sd oldu\u011funu iddia edirl\u0259r. H\u0259min iddialara g\u00f6r\u0259, erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazirin siyasi sava\u015f elan etdiyi r\u0259qib d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rg\u0259 onu fiziki c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n aradan g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131 verib. V\u0259 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259 bu, o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z hesab olunmur.<\/p>\n

\u018fsas versiyalar ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan se\u00e7kil\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n bir il qalm\u0131\u015f radikal-revan\u015fist m\u00fcxalif\u0259t\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t ed\u0259n erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lik ittihamlar\u0131n m\u0259zmunu bax\u0131m\u0131ndan, “q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 cizgil\u0259ri” art\u0131q \u00e7oxdan a\u015f\u0131b. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, bu q\u0259za u\u011fursuz sui-q\u0259sd c\u0259hdi kimi d\u0259 q\u0259bul oluna bil\u0259r. B\u0259zil\u0259ri is\u0259 bunun ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyana qar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rlanan sui-q\u0259sd plan\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259l\u0259lik yaln\u0131z s\u0131na\u011f\u0131 hesab edirl\u0259r. V\u0259 erm\u0259ni ba\u015f naziri fiziki c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n aradan g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259li olan sui-q\u0259sd plan\u0131 se\u00e7kiy\u0259 q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259t qalm\u0131\u015f i\u015f\u0259 sal\u0131na bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

El\u00e7in XAL\u0130DB\u018fYL\u0130,
\nSiyasi ekspert,
\n“Yeni M\u00fcsavat” Media Qrupu<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan se\u00e7kil\u0259r\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n bir il qalm\u0131\u015f radikal-revan\u015fist m\u00fcxalif\u0259t\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259t ed\u0259n erm\u0259ni kils\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lik ittihamlar\u0131n m\u0259zmunu bax\u0131m\u0131ndan, “q\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 cizgil\u0259ri” art\u0131q \u00e7oxdan a\u015f\u0131b… B\u0259zi Erm\u0259nistan m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rinin \u0259minlikl\u0259 ir\u0259li s\u00fcrd\u00fcy\u00fc iddialara g\u00f6r\u0259, erm\u0259ni ba\u015f nazirin siyasi sava\u015f elan etdiyi r\u0259qib d\u00fc\u015f\u0259rg\u0259 onu fiziki c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n aradan g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k q\u0259rar\u0131 verib… C\u0259nubi Qafqaz yeni geopolitik m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 art\u0131q ke\u00e7id edib. Bu regionda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyi b\u00f6y\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u0259 onlar\u0131n strateji se\u00e7iml\u0259rinin istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n birba\u015fa as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq. \u00c7\u00fcnki C\u0259nubi Qafqazda AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbl\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n daha amans\u0131z xarakter almaqda oldu\u011fu m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilir. 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