{"id":813645,"date":"2025-07-01T16:17:21","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T12:17:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=813645"},"modified":"2025-07-01T16:17:21","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T12:17:21","slug":"nufuzlu-agentlikd%c9%99n-manat-proqnozu-qarsidaki-5-ild%c9%99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=813645","title":{"rendered":"N\u00fcfuzlu agentlikd\u0259n manat proqnozu: qar\u015f\u0131dak\u0131 5 ild\u0259…"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131: \u201cV\u0259ziyy\u0259tin indiki \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r daxilind\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 davam etm\u0259si real g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan manat\u0131n\u0131n AB\u015e dollar\u0131na de-fakto ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0259n az\u0131 2030-cu ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r 1,7 manat s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 saxlan\u0131lacaq. \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d Report-a istinad\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu proqnozla \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edib. \u201cFitch\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, hakimiyy\u0259tin ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 valyuta \u00e7evikliyinin t\u0259dric\u0259n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 planlar\u0131 elan etm\u0259sin\u0259 baxmayaraq, sabit m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259nin saxlan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u0259sas siyasi prioritetl\u0259rd\u0259n biri hesab olunur.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Agentlik qeyd edir ki, Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131 bank sistemind\u0259 struktur likvidlik art\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n idar\u0259 edilm\u0259si al\u0259tl\u0259rini inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259y\u0259 davam edir, h\u0259m\u00e7inin pul-kredit siyas\u0259tinin transmissiya mexanizminin s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259liliyini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir: \u201cLakin buna baxmayaraq, monetar q\u0259rarlar\u0131n iqtisadiyyata t\u0259siri m\u0259hdud olaraq qal\u0131r\u201d. “Fitch” analitikl\u0259ri m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 amill\u0259r aras\u0131nda daxili pul bazarlar\u0131n\u0131n yet\u0259rinc\u0259 inki\u015faf etm\u0259m\u0259sini, bank sektorunda y\u00fcks\u0259k likvidliyi, h\u0259m\u00e7inin dollarla\u015fman\u0131n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli s\u0259viyy\u0259sini qeyd edirl\u0259r: \u201cAzalma tendensiyas\u0131na baxmayaraq, 2025-ci ilin aprel ay\u0131na depozitl\u0259rin 40 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259ri xarici valyutada ifad\u0259 olunur\u201d.<\/p>\n

“Fitch” analitikl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 2025-2030-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 2,66 faiz orta illik art\u0131m n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdir\u0259c\u0259k. Proqnozlara \u0259sas\u0259n, 2025-ci ild\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 iqtisadiyyat\u0131 3,5 faiz, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 2,5 faiz artacaq. N\u00f6vb\u0259ti ill\u0259rd\u0259 (2027-2030-cu ill\u0259r) Az\u0259rbaycanda \u00dcDM-in art\u0131m tempi ild\u0259 orta hesabla 2,5 faiz t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cFitch Ratings\u201d h\u0259m\u00e7inin 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fcmumi d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcunun \u00dcDM-in 21,8\u00a0 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Agentlik bildirir ki, bu s\u0259viyy\u0259nin ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 sabit qalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Agentliyin proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici \u00dcDM-in 21,3\u00a0 faizin\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r azalacaq, n\u00f6vb\u0259ti ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 yenid\u0259n artma\u011fa ba\u015flayacaq: 2027-ci ild\u0259 \u00dcDM-in 22,9 faizin\u0259, 2028-ci ild\u0259 24,7 faizin\u0259, 2029-cu ild\u0259 25,8 faizin\u0259, 2030-cu ild\u0259 is\u0259 26,4 faizin\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259r olacaq.<\/p>\n

\u201cFitch\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u00fcmumi d\u00f6vl\u0259t borcu \u00dcDM-in 21,8 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil edib.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n beyn\u0259lxalq ehtiyatlar\u0131 is\u0259 2025-ci ilin sonunda 13,1 milyard AB\u015e dollar\u0131na \u00e7atacaq. “Fitch” qeyd edir ki, 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin ehtiyatlar\u0131, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n q\u0131z\u0131l ehtiyatlar\u0131 12,7 milyard AB\u015e dollar\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Agentliyin proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 bu g\u00f6st\u0259rici 13,3 milyard AB\u015e dollar\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r artacaq.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, \u201cFitch\u201d il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, Niderland\u0131n \u201cING Group\u201du v\u0259 Asiya \u0130nki\u015faf Bank\u0131n\u0131n analitikl\u0259ri d\u0259 manat\u0131n dollara ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 2026-c\u0131 il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r saxlan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r. \u00d6z n\u00f6vb\u0259sind\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyi v\u0259 \u201cS&P Global Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi m\u00f6vcud sabit m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 rejiminin \u0259n az\u0131 2028-ci ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r saxlan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259nov<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131-ekspert R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259novun \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201da dediyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin indiki \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r daxilind\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 davam etm\u0259si real g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cBaxmayaraq ki, beyn\u0259lxalq t\u0259\u015fkilatlar bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 m\u00f6vqe ortaya qoyur, bir s\u0131ra hallarda onlar\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin r\u0259smi s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rin\u0259 \u0259saslan\u0131r, h\u00f6kum\u0259tin a\u00e7\u0131qlamalar\u0131ndan qaynaqlan\u0131r. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 2026-2029-cu ill\u0259r ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 s\u0259n\u0259dind\u0259 manat\u0131n AB\u015e dollar qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin sabit qalaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. Bu, iqtisadi inki\u015faf strategiyas\u0131nda, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259y\u0259 hesablanm\u0131\u015f s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259 bel\u0259dir. Ayd\u0131n m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259dir ki, h\u00f6kum\u0259t, \u0130qtisadi Sabitlik \u015euras\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan q\u0259d\u0259r manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sini sabit saxlamaqda q\u0259rarl\u0131d\u0131r, buna \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaqlar. Amma onu da qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 2024-c\u00fc ilin sonlar\u0131ndan ba\u015flanan prosesl\u0259r, 2025-ci ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259n beyn\u0259lxalq ticari-iqtisadi m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 ged\u0259n k\u00f6kl\u00fc d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r, neft bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 qiym\u0259t eni\u015fi, Az\u0259rbaycanda yaranm\u0131\u015f yeni \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n i\u015f\u011faldan azad olunmu\u015f \u0259razil\u0259ri b\u0259rpas\u0131na irih\u0259cmli v\u0259saitl\u0259rin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131, h\u0259min v\u0259saitl\u0259rin idxal\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131, bu art\u0131m\u0131n t\u0259diy\u0259 balans\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r, m\u00fcsb\u0259t ticar\u0259t saldosunun azalmas\u0131 kimi m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin sabit saxlanmas\u0131 imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 xeyli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 almaqla, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m ki, uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vr \u00fczr\u0259 manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin sabit qalmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131 50 faizd\u0259n yuxar\u0131 deyil\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ekspert\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin 2030-cu il\u0259d\u0259k sabit saxlanmas\u0131 birba\u015fa d\u00fcnya neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq: \u201cBurada \u0259sas rolu neftin d\u00fcnya bazar qiym\u0259ti oynayacaq. \u018fg\u0259r qiym\u0259t 70 dollar v\u0259 ondan yuxar\u0131 olacaqsa, dollar\\manat m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Ondan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259r\u0259k, uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259t bel\u0259 qalacaqsa, b\u00f6y\u00fck \u00e7\u0259tinlikl\u0259r meydana \u00e7\u0131xacaq\u201d.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, “Fitch” iyun proqnozunda 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tin\u0259 dair proqnozunu 70 dollardan 65 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r azald\u0131b. Ondan ba\u015fqa dig\u0259r qurumlar da yax\u0131n v\u0259 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin 60-65 dollar \u0259traf\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neftin qiym\u0259ti il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, hasilat\u0131n azalmas\u0131 da \u00e7\u0259tinlik yarad\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, D\u00f6vl\u0259t Statistika Komit\u0259sinin ayl\u0131q hesabat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, 2025-ci ilin yanvar-may aylar\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycanda \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 11,4 milyon ton, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik t\u0259bii qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 16,2 milyard kub metr t\u0259\u015fkil edib. \u018fmt\u0259\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin m\u00fcvafiq d\u00f6vr\u00fc il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 4,9 faiz azal\u0131b, \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 is\u0259 1,7 faiz art\u0131b.<\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti, milli neft \u015firk\u0259ti olan SOCAR v\u0259 yataqlarda i\u015fl\u0259y\u0259n xarici \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259ld\u0259 olunan raz\u0131la\u015fmaya \u0259sas\u0259n, neft hasilat\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259 s\u00fcr\u0259tini azaltmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bir s\u0131ra add\u0131mlar at\u0131l\u0131r. Bu add\u0131mlardan biri \u00f6lk\u0259nin \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck neft yata\u011f\u0131 olan \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d (A\u00c7G) yataqlar\u0131 yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n \u201cM\u0259rk\u0259zi Az\u0259ri\u201d platformas\u0131nda yeni qaz kompressor qur\u011fusunun qura\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. BP-nin hasilat v\u0259 \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar \u00fczr\u0259 icra\u00e7\u0131 vitse-prezidenti Qordon Birrelin a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, bu lahiy\u0259 A\u00c7G-d\u0259 neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tinin azalmas\u0131 v\u0259 stabill\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

Bildirilib ki, yeni qur\u011fu laylara qaz\u0131n vurma h\u0259cmini art\u0131rma\u011fa imkan ver\u0259c\u0259k. Qordon Birrel qeyd edib ki, A\u00c7G-d\u0259 hasilat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259 s\u00fcr\u0259tini azaltmaq m\u0259qs\u0259di il\u0259 bir s\u0131ra t\u0259dbirl\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Bu t\u0259dbirl\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda, t\u0259zyiqin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn laylara daha \u00e7ox su v\u0259 qaz vurulur.<\/p>\n

SOCAR daxilind\u0259 is\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n bir il \u0259rzind\u0259 m\u00fcasir suvurma \u00fcsullar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259tbiqi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli layih\u0259l\u0259r icra edilib v\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259ki layih\u0259l\u0259rin daha da geni\u015fl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si qar\u015f\u0131ya h\u0259d\u0259f qoyulub. SOCAR-\u0131n \u201cAzneft\u201d \u0130stehsalat Birliyinin ba\u015f direktoru \u018fli Qurbanovun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, hasilat\u0131n stabill\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 m\u00fch\u00fcm hesab edil\u0259n suvurma prosesinin \u201cG\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d v\u0259 \u201cNeft Da\u015flar\u0131\u201d il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, dig\u0259r yataqlarda da t\u0259tbiq edilm\u0259si vacib say\u0131l\u0131r, bununla ba\u011fl\u0131 planlama apar\u0131l\u0131r. Art\u0131q \u201cPirallah\u0131\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda suvurma sisteminin qurulmas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar ilkin add\u0131mlar at\u0131l\u0131r. \u201cQ\u0259rbi Ab\u015feron\u201d, \u201cL\u00f6kbatan\u201d v\u0259 s. yataqlarda da m\u00fch\u00fcm layih\u0259l\u0259rin icras\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycanda yeni yataqlardan da neft hasilat\u0131na ba\u015flanmas\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulur. \u0130yunun \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 Bak\u0131 Enerji Forumu \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 BP \u015firk\u0259ti il\u0259 SOCAR aras\u0131nda B\u00f6y\u00fck Britaniya \u015firk\u0259tinin \u201cQaraba\u011f\u201d yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259si layih\u0259sin\u0259 qo\u015fulmas\u0131na dair m\u00fcqavil\u0259 imzalan\u0131b. M\u00fcqavil\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n BP Bak\u0131dan 120 km \u015f\u0259rqd\u0259, G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli yata\u011f\u0131ndan 20-25 km m\u0259saf\u0259d\u0259, suyun 150-200 metr d\u0259rinliyind\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n \u201cQaraba\u011f\u201d neft yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131 v\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259si layih\u0259sind\u0259 35 faiz pay al\u0131b. Bu, m\u00fcst\u0259qillik d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda k\u0259\u015ff olunan ilk neft yata\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. 2020-ci ild\u0259 SOCAR v\u0259 Norve\u00e7in “Equinor” \u015firk\u0259ti yata\u011f\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 elan edibl\u0259r. Yata\u011f\u0131n ilkin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilmi\u015f geoloji ehtiyatlar\u0131 60 milyon ton neftd\u0259n art\u0131qd\u0131r. Yata\u011f\u0131n i\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 dair m\u00fcqavil\u0259 1995-ci ild\u0259 imzalanm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. 2023-c\u00fc ilin dekabr\u0131nda “Equinor” 50 faizlik i\u015ftirak pay\u0131n\u0131 SOCAR-a sataraq yataqdan \u00e7\u0131x\u0131b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP-nin hasilat v\u0259 \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar \u00fczr\u0259 icra\u00e7\u0131 vitse-prezidenti Qordon Birrelin dediyin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, \u201cQaraba\u011f\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda yarad\u0131lacaq infrastruktur \u201cAz\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli\u201d (A\u00c7G) blokunda m\u00f6vc\u00fcd infrastruktura qo\u015fulacaq. Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, qeyd olunan proses \u201cQaraba\u011f\u201d yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fl\u0259nilm\u0259sin\u0259 tez bir zamanda ba\u015flama\u011fa imkan ver\u0259c\u0259k: \u201cPlana g\u00f6r\u0259, “Qaraba\u011f”dan ilk neftin \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131 2029-cu ild\u0259 ba\u015f tutacaq. \u00c7ox g\u00fcman ki, yataqda ki\u00e7ik platforma qura\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lacaq v\u0259 bu platforma A\u00c7G-nin m\u00f6vcud infrastrukturuna qo\u015fulacaq”.<\/p>\n

Onu da qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 s\u0259n\u0259din\u0259 2029-cu il\u0259d\u0259k hasilat\u0131n azalmas\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n neft-qaz sektorundan d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 daxilolmalar\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r daxil edilib. Bel\u0259 ki, 2029-cu ild\u0259 neft v\u0259 qaz hasilat\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. \u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyinin t\u0259qdim etdiyi m\u0259lumatlara \u0259sas\u0259n 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131na baxmayaraq qaz hasilat\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 sektorun inki\u015faf\u0131na art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k. 2027-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 neft v\u0259 \u0259mt\u0259\u0259lik qaz hasilat\u0131 (2029-cu il istisna olmaqla) \u00fczr\u0259 azalman\u0131n davam etm\u0259si n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131naraq neft-qaz sektorunda azalma proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b.<\/p>\n

Buna uy\u011fun olaraq 2029-cu ild\u0259 qeyri-neft\/qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin g\u0259lirl\u0259rind\u0259ki pay\u0131 2026-c\u0131 ilin g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 6,9 faiz b\u0259nd artaraq 61,9 faiz, m\u00fctl\u0259q ifad\u0259d\u0259 is\u0259 19,4 faiz artaraq 25,8 milyard manat t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Eyni zamanda d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259ri 2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 10,3 faiz azalaraq d\u00f6vr\u00fcn sonunda 15,8 milyard manata q\u0259d\u0259r en\u0259c\u0259k. M\u00fcvafiq olaraq 2025-ci ild\u0259 neft-qaz sektorunun \u00dcDM-\u0259 t\u00f6hf\u0259sinin 37,3 milyard manat (28,5 faiz), 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 34,4 milyard manat (25,3 faiz), 2027-ci ild\u0259 34,1 milyard manat (23,7 faiz), 2028-ci ild\u0259 32,5 milyard manat (21,4 faiz), 2029-cu ild\u0259 is\u0259 33,5 milyard manat(20,6 faiz) t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya SAK\u0130T,<\/strong>
\n\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131: \u201cV\u0259ziyy\u0259tin indiki \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r daxilind\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 davam etm\u0259si real g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan manat\u0131n\u0131n AB\u015e dollar\u0131na de-fakto ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0259n az\u0131 2030-cu ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r 1,7 manat s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 saxlan\u0131lacaq. \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d Report-a istinad\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu proqnozla \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edib. \u201cFitch\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, hakimiyy\u0259tin ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 valyuta \u00e7evikliyinin t\u0259dric\u0259n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 planlar\u0131 elan etm\u0259sin\u0259 baxmayaraq, sabit m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259nin saxlan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u0259sas siyasi prioritetl\u0259rd\u0259n biri hesab olunur. Agentlik qeyd edir ki, Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131 bank sistemind\u0259 struktur likvidlik art\u0131ql\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n idar\u0259 edilm\u0259si al\u0259tl\u0259rini inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259y\u0259 davam edir, h\u0259m\u00e7inin pul-kredit siyas\u0259tinin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":813646,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb-635x365.jpg",635,365,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb-840x483.jpg",640,368,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/42a66b4d1c4bb6a9d3e0af38469d8feb.jpg",870,500,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131: \u201cV\u0259ziyy\u0259tin indiki \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r daxilind\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 davam etm\u0259si real g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr\u201d Az\u0259rbaycan manat\u0131n\u0131n AB\u015e dollar\u0131na de-fakto ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0259n az\u0131 2030-cu ilin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r 1,7 manat s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 saxlan\u0131lacaq. \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d Report-a istinad\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu proqnozla \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentliyi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edib. \u201cFitch\u201din m\u0259lumat\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, hakimiyy\u0259tin ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 valyuta \u00e7evikliyinin t\u0259dric\u0259n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/813645"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=813645"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/813645\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":813647,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/813645\/revisions\/813647"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/813646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=813645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=813645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=813645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}