{"id":816064,"date":"2025-07-16T09:26:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-16T05:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=816064"},"modified":"2025-07-16T09:26:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T05:26:03","slug":"olk%c9%99mizd%c9%99-bahaliq-ilin-sonunad%c9%99k-davam-ed%c9%99c%c9%99k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=816064","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6lk\u0259mizd\u0259 bahal\u0131q ilin sonunad\u0259k davam ed\u0259c\u0259k"},"content":{"rendered":"

Daha bir beyn\u0259lxalq \u015firk\u0259t Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiya proqnozu verdi<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Niderland\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck bank qrupu olan \u201cING Group\u201d Az\u0259rbaycanda 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131 5.3% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. \u201cReport\u201d x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131b.<\/p>\n

Bank analitikl\u0259ri III r\u00fcbd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n 4.6% (0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131m), IV r\u00fcbd\u0259 is\u0259 4.8% (+ 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi) olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n

ING 2026-c\u0131 ilin I r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131n 4.6%, II r\u00fcbd\u0259 4.9%, III r\u00fcbd\u0259 5.2%, IV r\u00fcbd\u0259 is\u0259 5.7% olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259, \u201cING\u201d 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131n 5.1% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (\u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik yoxdur) proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadiyyat Nazirliyinin proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, bu il \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 ortaillik inflyasiya 5.1%, g\u0259l\u0259n il is\u0259 4.3% t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k. Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n 2025-ci ilin yanvar ay\u0131nda yenil\u0259nmi\u015f proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, cari ild\u0259 inflyasiya 5.5%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 3.8% t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

BMT-nin g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, bu il inflyasiya 3.6%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 3.1% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olacaq.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 2025-2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131n 2.3% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir.<\/p>\n

Beyn\u0259lxalq Valyuta Fondunun (IMF) proqnozlar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiya 5.7%, illik inflyasiya 5.2%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 ortaillik inflyasiya 4.5%, 2027-2029-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 4% t\u0259\u015fkil ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

\u201cS&P Global\u201d v\u0259 \u201cMoody\u2019s\u201d beyn\u0259lxalq reytinq agentlikl\u0259ri 2025-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131 4%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 3% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259, \u201cFitch Ratings\u201d is\u0259 2025-ci ild\u0259 5.3%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 4.6% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Xat\u0131rladaq ki, \u00f6t\u0259n il Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiya 2.2%, 2025-ci ilin yanvar-iyun aylar\u0131nda is\u0259 5.9% t\u0259\u015fkil edib.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131 (AMB) iyun ay\u0131nda 2025-2026-c\u0131 ill\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 inflyasiya proqnozunu a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b.<\/p>\n

AMB-nin r\u0259smi m\u0259lumat\u0131nda qeyd edilib ki, qlobal ticar\u0259td\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n prosesl\u0259r \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 v\u0259 maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131nda dal\u011falanmalar\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir. Bu \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 \u0259sas ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f\u0131 olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n y\u00fcks\u0259lm\u0259si, dollar indeksinin azalmas\u0131 v\u0259 nominal effektiv m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259nin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 templ\u0259 m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si xarici risk faktorlar\u0131ndand\u0131r. \u0130nflyasiyan\u0131 art\u0131ra bil\u0259c\u0259k daxili risk faktorlar\u0131 kimi is\u0259 x\u0259rc amill\u0259ri il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, m\u0259cmu t\u0259l\u0259bin izafi art\u0131m\u0131 qeyd oluna bil\u0259r. H\u0259m\u00e7inin kredit aktivliyinin m\u0259cmu t\u0259l\u0259b\u0259 v\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn t\u0259sirl\u0259ri daim diqq\u0259td\u0259 saxlan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u201cFitch Ratings\u201d reytinq agentliyinin iyun ay\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n inflyasiya v\u0259 iqtisadi art\u0131m proqnozlar\u0131nda bildirilib ki, 2025-ci ilin may ay\u0131nda illik inflyasiya 5,9%-\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259lib, bu da qism\u0259n baza effektl\u0259ri v\u0259 2025-ci ilin I r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 minimum \u0259m\u0259khaqq\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. \u201cFitch\u201d 2025-ci il \u00fczr\u0259 illik orta inflyasiyan\u0131n 5,3%, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 4,6% olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBu g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n h\u0259d\u0259f diapazonuna (4% \u00b1 2 faiz b\u0259ndi) uy\u011fundur. Agentlik 2026-c\u0131 il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r faiz d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259l\u0259rinin azald\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259mir\u201d- agentlik qeyd edib.<\/p>\n

\u201cFitch\u201d 2025-ci ild\u0259 tam illik iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n 3,5% (2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259: 4,1%), 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 is\u0259 2,5% olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir. Bu art\u0131mda d\u00f6vl\u0259t investisiyalar\u0131 v\u0259 neftd\u0259nk\u0259nar sektorlar \u0259sas rol oynayaca\u011f\u0131 qeyd edilib.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0130qtisadi diversifikasiya istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 ir\u0259lil\u0259yi\u015fl\u0259r m\u0259hduddur. Bel\u0259 ki, karbohidrogenl\u0259r \u00dcDM-in 32%-ni v\u0259 ixrac\u0131n 90%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259rini t\u0259\u015fkil edir. Diversifikasiyan\u0131 \u0259ng\u0259ll\u0259y\u0259n amill\u0259r\u0259 iqtisadiyyatda d\u00f6vl\u0259tin b\u00f6y\u00fck pay\u0131, m\u0259hdud maliyy\u0259 vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi, idar\u0259etm\u0259 probleml\u0259ri v\u0259 qeyri-enerji sektoruna xarici investisiyan\u0131n z\u0259ifliyi daxildir\u201d- agentliyin \u015f\u0259rhind\u0259 bildirilib.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Xalid<\/strong><\/p>\n

Xalid K\u0259rimli\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 Xalid K\u0259rimli hesab edir ki, 2025-ci ilin sonuna kimi inflyasiya g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi 6,5 faiz ola bil\u0259r. \u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201da \u015f\u0259rhind\u0259 iqtisad\u00e7\u0131 qeyd etdi ki, o, ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 d\u0259 bu q\u0259na\u0259td\u0259 idi: \u201cH\u0259m cari il ba\u015flayanda, h\u0259m d\u0259 iyun ay\u0131nda bu fikird\u0259 idim.\u00a0 Statistik g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r\u0259 baxanda g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fck ki, bu r\u0259q\u0259m t\u0259xmin\u0259n 6 faizdir. \u0130lin sonuna kimi bu r\u0259q\u0259min 6,5 faiz olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir\u0259m. \u0130dxal inflyasiyas\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259k olaraq qal\u0131r. Bu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 manat\u0131n dollarla birg\u0259 dig\u0259r valyutalara nisb\u0259td\u0259 ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 da rol oynay\u0131r. Avro manata nisb\u0259t\u0259n 13 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r bahala\u015f\u0131b. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar inflyasiyaya t\u0259sir ed\u0259n faktorlard\u0131r. Manat\u0131n real effektiv m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si 7 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb. Cari ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 Tarif \u015euras\u0131n\u0131n q\u0259rarlar\u0131 da qiym\u0259tart\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 faktorlard\u0131r, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u00f6d\u0259ni\u015fli xidm\u0259tl\u0259rin d\u0259y\u0259ri art\u0131r. Bu q\u0259rarlar\u0131n iqtisadiyyata t\u0259sirl\u0259ri t\u0259drici olaraq h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 davam edir\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"Eyyub<\/p>\n

\u00a0Eyyub K\u0259rimli<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 Eyyub K\u0259rimli d\u0259 m\u00f6vzunu q\u0259zetimiz \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u015f\u0259rh etdi. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 bildirdi ki, \u0259rzaq inflyasiyas\u0131 nisb\u0259t\u0259n sabitl\u0259\u015fib:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cQeyri-\u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259 art\u0131m m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. 2025-ci ilin proqnozlar\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 onu dey\u0259 bil\u0259rik ki, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 inflyasiya y\u00f6n\u00fcml\u00fc amill\u0259rin t\u0259siri var. Daxili t\u0259l\u0259b h\u0259l\u0259 ki, sabitdir. M\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t subsidiya mexanizmi vasit\u0259sil\u0259 t\u0259nziml\u0259m\u0259 siyas\u0259ti h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irir. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, inflyasiyaya t\u0259zyiq ed\u0259n amill\u0259r d\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur: xarici borc, ictimai x\u0259rcl\u0259rd\u0259 art\u0131m v\u0259 s. Hesab edir\u0259m ki, 2025-ci ilin sonuna kimi orta inflyasiya g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi 3,4-4 faiz aras\u0131, 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 3,5 faiz\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r ola bil\u0259r. \u201cING Group\u201dun qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259sini y\u00fcks\u0259k hesab edir\u0259m. D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 is\u0259 daha optimalla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f proqnoz verib. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr\u0259m ki, inflyasiyan\u0131n 4-6 faiz aras\u0131 olmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131 daha reald\u0131r”.<\/p>\n

Nigar H\u018fS\u018fNL\u0130,<\/strong>
\n\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Daha bir beyn\u0259lxalq \u015firk\u0259t Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiya proqnozu verdi Niderland\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck bank qrupu olan \u201cING Group\u201d Az\u0259rbaycanda 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131 5.3% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. \u201cReport\u201d x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131b. Bank analitikl\u0259ri III r\u00fcbd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n 4.6% (0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131m), IV r\u00fcbd\u0259 is\u0259 4.8% (+ 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi) olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yirl\u0259r. ING 2026-c\u0131 ilin I r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131n 4.6%, II r\u00fcbd\u0259 4.9%, III r\u00fcbd\u0259 5.2%, IV r\u00fcbd\u0259 is\u0259 5.7% olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir. \u00dcmumilikd\u0259, \u201cING\u201d 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131n 5.1% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (\u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":816065,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"gutentor_comment":0,"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380-660x346.jpg",660,346,true],"large":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",640,336,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380-240x172.jpg",240,172,true],"advps-thumb-one":["https:\/\/arantv.az\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bdfa7e61f413cbbed38539083ca25380.jpg",768,403,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"V\u00fcsal Rafiqo\u011flu","author_link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?author=2"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"G\u00fcnd\u0259m<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Daha bir beyn\u0259lxalq \u015firk\u0259t Az\u0259rbaycanda inflyasiya proqnozu verdi Niderland\u0131n \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck bank qrupu olan \u201cING Group\u201d Az\u0259rbaycanda 2025-ci il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ortaillik inflyasiyan\u0131 5.3% s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. \u201cReport\u201d x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, \u0259vv\u0259lki proqnozla m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131b. Bank analitikl\u0259ri III r\u00fcbd\u0259 inflyasiyan\u0131n 4.6% (0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi art\u0131m), IV r\u00fcbd\u0259 is\u0259 4.8% (+ 0.1 faiz b\u0259ndi)…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/816064"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=816064"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/816064\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":816066,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/816064\/revisions\/816066"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/816065"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=816064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=816064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=816064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}