{"id":820271,"date":"2025-08-11T19:09:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-11T15:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=820271"},"modified":"2025-08-11T19:09:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-11T15:09:09","slug":"kreml-ag-evin-yeni-qafqaz-siyas%c9%99tind%c9%99n-niy%c9%99-xoflanib-abs-rusiya-toqqusmasi-m%c9%99hz-orta-asiyada-bas-ver%c9%99c%c9%99k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=820271","title":{"rendered":"Kreml A\u011f Evin yeni Qafqaz siyas\u0259tind\u0259n niy\u0259 xoflan\u0131b: AB\u015e-Rusiya toqqu\u015fmas\u0131 m\u0259hz Orta Asiyada ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k"},"content":{"rendered":"

A\u011f Evin yaln\u0131z C\u0259nubi Qafqaza yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259kl\u0259 kifay\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini el\u0259 indid\u0259n t\u0259xmin etm\u0259k olar, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla AB\u015e n\u00f6vb\u0259ti m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 daha iki \u00f6n\u0259mli regiona da n\u00fcfuz etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq… Tramp administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n yeni C\u0259nubi Qafqaz siyas\u0259ti X\u0259z\u0259ryan\u0131 v\u0259 Orta Asiya regionlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyinin d\u0259 indi m\u0259hz bu strateji m\u0259kanda h\u0259ll olundu\u011funu ehtimal etm\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir…<\/strong><\/h3>\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqaz d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n \u00f6n\u0259mli regionlar\u0131ndan birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u00fczr\u0259dir. Bel\u0259 ki, indi bu region qlobal r\u0259qab\u0259tin \u0259sas m\u0259kanlar\u0131ndan biridur. Bu bax\u0131mdan, C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n geostrateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tinin durmadan artmaqda oldu\u011fu q\u0259tiyy\u0259n \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 do\u011furmur. \u00dcst\u0259lik, yax\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 bu regionun d\u00fcnya n\u0259h\u0259ngl\u0259ri aras\u0131nda qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n olduqca ciddi geoiqtisadi poliqonuna \u00e7evrilm\u0259 ehtimal\u0131 da q\u0259tiyy\u0259n istisna deyil. V\u0259 indiki situasiyan\u0131n yaranmas\u0131nda son ba\u015f ver\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259rin birba\u015fa t\u0259siri inkaredilm\u0259z reall\u0131qd\u0131r.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Onu da qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, AB\u015e prezidenti Donald Tramp\u0131n Bayden administrasiyas\u0131 d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259kind\u0259n tamamil\u0259 f\u0259rqli C\u0259nubi Qafqaz siyas\u0259ti bu regiona qlobal m\u0259kanda \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131xartma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. Bel\u0259 ki, A\u011f Ev sahibi C\u0259nubi Qafqazda s\u00fclh\u00fcn v\u0259 sabitliyin t\u0259min olunmas\u0131 istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 olduqca q\u0259tiyy\u0259tli add\u0131mlar atmaqdad\u0131r. \u0130lk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyev v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan ba\u015f naziri Nikol Pa\u015finyan aras\u0131nda yekun s\u00fclh sazi\u015finin \u0259vv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n raz\u0131la\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f m\u0259tninin paraflanmas\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 s\u0259n\u0259din AB\u015e liderinin i\u015ftirak\u0131 il\u0259 imzalanmas\u0131 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn tarixini yenid\u0259n yaza bil\u0259c\u0259k q\u0259d\u0259r h\u0259lledici prosesin ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131d\u0131r. V\u0259 bu bax\u0131mdan, regionun g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyinin indi tamamil\u0259 f\u0259rqli geopolitik \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n olunaca\u011f\u0131 art\u0131q q\u0259tiyy\u0259n \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 do\u011furmur.<\/p>\n

\"tramp-qafqaz.jpg<\/p>\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, A\u011f Evd\u0259 imzalanm\u0131\u015f s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259r C\u0259nubi Qafqazda yeni situasiya yaratd\u0131. Birincisi, regional s\u00fclh prosesind\u0259 Rusiya, \u0130ran v\u0259 erm\u0259nip\u0259r\u0259st Avropa Birliyi oyundank\u0259nar v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 sal\u0131nd\u0131lar. \u0130ndi onlar C\u0259nubi Qafqazda geopolitik manevrl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas mexanizml\u0259ri art\u0131q itirmi\u015f kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u0259r. \u00c7\u00fcnki bundan sonra regional s\u00fclh prosesind\u0259 \u015f\u0259riksiz vasit\u0259\u00e7i statusu m\u0259hz AB\u015e-a m\u0259xsus olacaq. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir ki, AB\u015e art\u0131q C\u0259nubi Qafqazda geopolitik oyun\u00e7uya \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn olduqca g\u00fccl\u00fc h\u00fcquqi-siyasi mexanizm\u0259 sahibdir. V\u0259 buna paralel olaraq da, Rusiya, \u0130ran, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259, Avropa Birliyi daha regional s\u00fclh prosesin\u0259 m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 etm\u0259k \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 itirmi\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n son ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259r\u0259 reaksiyas\u0131 da h\u0259m Kremlin, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n ciddi narahatl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biruz\u0259 verir. Bel\u0259 ki, r\u0259smi Tehran AB\u015e-\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqaza, x\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259, \u0130ran\u0131n \u201cq\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 cizgil\u0259ri\u201d olan Erm\u0259nistanda yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 prosesin\u0259 s\u0259rt reaksiya verm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \u0130ran Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131 t\u0259hdid edir. H\u0259tta AB\u015e-\u0131n Erm\u0259nistana yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259 ehtimal\u0131 olan h\u0259rbi kontingentin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 h\u0259rbi add\u0131mlar at\u0131la bil\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 eyham vurur. V\u0259 bununla da art\u0131q indid\u0259n AB\u015e-la birba\u015fa qar\u015f\u0131durma ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Rusiya siyasi dair\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda yaranmaqda olan yeni situasiyan\u0131 h\u0259zm etm\u0259kd\u0259 \u00e7\u0259tinlik \u00e7\u0259kirl\u0259r. Rusiya Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin r\u0259smi t\u0259msil\u00e7isi Mariya Zaxarova Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistana s\u00fclh prosesi \u00fczr\u0259 add\u0131mlar atark\u0259n balans\u0131 qoruma\u011f\u0131 m\u0259sl\u0259h\u0259t g\u00f6r\u00fcb. Y\u0259ni, Kreml bununla dem\u0259k ist\u0259yir ki, yekun s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi imzalanark\u0259n, Rusiyan\u0131n geopolitik maraqlar\u0131 m\u00fctl\u0259q n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 al\u0131nmal\u0131d\u0131r. Halbuki, bu, olduqca absurd v\u0259 m\u0259ntiqsiz yana\u015fmad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan 30 illik sava\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259tinin s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi il\u0259 yekunla\u015fd\u0131rmaq niyy\u0259tini b\u0259yan edibl\u0259r. V\u0259 bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Rusiyan\u0131n maraqlar\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259y\u0259 q\u0259tiyy\u0259n ehtiyac yoxdur.<\/p>\n

\"aaade012ed-5500-4e6d-844e-ce5f1444d60d.jpg<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, yeni situasiyan\u0131n ilkin \u0259lam\u0259tl\u0259ri art\u0131q m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edilm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Bel\u0259 ki, Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ran C\u0259nubi Qafqazda geopolitik d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fcqavim\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015fd\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131 biruz\u0259 verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131blar. \u018fsas s\u0259b\u0259b is\u0259 regional s\u00fclh prosesinin m\u0259hz AB\u015e-\u0131n orbitirliyi il\u0259 davam etm\u0259sind\u0259n qaynaqlan\u0131n narahatl\u0131qd\u0131r. Halbuki, h\u0259m Kremld\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u0130ran siyasi dair\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 AB\u015e-\u0131n t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs\u00fc il\u0259 y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcl\u0259n proses\u0259 k\u0259nar m\u00fcdaxil\u0259nin asan olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da anlamam\u0131\u015f deyill\u0259r. V\u0259 \u0259n \u0259sas\u0131sa, bundan sonra C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi t\u0259hdidkar regional qon\u015fular\u0131n t\u0259sir dair\u0259sind\u0259n s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 uzaqla\u015fma\u011fa ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 q\u0259tiyy\u0259n \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 do\u011furmur.<\/p>\n

Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqaz d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259zyiq mexanizml\u0259rini i\u015f\u0259 salma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259k olar. Halbuki, h\u0259m Rusiyan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n \u00fczl\u0259\u015fdikl\u0259ri indiki situasiyada buna nail olmas\u0131 dem\u0259k olar ki, qeyri-m\u00fcmk\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u0259 yax\u0131n bir reall\u0131qd\u0131r. AB\u015e-\u0131n s\u00fclh\u0259 v\u0259 sabitliy\u0259 t\u0259minat verdiyi C\u0259nubi Qafqazda regional prosesl\u0259r\u0259 pozucu m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 etm\u0259k bu iki d\u00f6vl\u0259tin imkanlar\u0131ndan k\u0259nard\u0131r. V\u0259 bel\u0259 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r ki, yax\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259ri h\u0259r halda, \u0259n az\u0131ndan, Rusiyan\u0131n ikit\u0259r\u0259fli m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259r \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259zyiq c\u0259hdl\u0259rin\u0259 haz\u0131r olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\"664b834b6157946e12534dca502d5b6d.jpg<\/p>\n

Halbuki, b\u00fct\u00fcn bu c\u0259hdl\u0259rin real n\u0259tic\u0259 verm\u0259 ehtimal\u0131 haz\u0131rda o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 c\u0259lbedici g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr. \u00c7\u00fcnki AB\u015e-\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqaza yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn art\u0131q h\u00fcquqi-siyasi mexanizmi m\u00f6vcuddur. AB\u015e-\u0131n bu faktordan istifad\u0259 ed\u0259r\u0259k, C\u0259nubi Qafqaza t\u0259dric\u0259n yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259yi v\u0259 \u00f6z regional m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndir\u0259c\u0259yi q\u0259tiyy\u0259n \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 do\u011furmur. \u00c7\u00fcnki bu region indi AB\u015e \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t qazanma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. V\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259, \u0130ran\u0131 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n itirilm\u0259siyl\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, daha \u00e7ox narahat ed\u0259n \u0259sas faktorlardan biri d\u0259 m\u0259hz bu m\u0259qamd\u0131r.<\/p>\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, A\u011f Evin yaln\u0131z C\u0259nubi Qafqaza yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259kl\u0259 kifay\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini el\u0259 indid\u0259n t\u0259xmin etm\u0259k olar. Bel\u0259 ki, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla AB\u015e C\u0259nubi Qafqaz \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n daha iki regiona da n\u00fcfuz etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq. \u00c7\u00fcnki Tramp administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n yeni C\u0259nubi Qafqaz siyas\u0259tind\u0259n sonra AB\u015e \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn X\u0259z\u0259ryan\u0131 v\u0259 Orta Asiya regionlar\u0131n\u0131n da strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti artma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. V\u0259 bu bax\u0131mdan, adlar\u0131 \u00e7\u0259kil\u0259n h\u0259r iki regionun da g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyinin indi m\u0259hz C\u0259nubi Qafqazda h\u0259ll olundu\u011fu q\u0259tiyy\u0259n \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 do\u011furmur.<\/p>\n

El\u00e7in XAL\u0130DB\u018fYL\u0130,
\nSiyasi ekspert,
\n\u201cYeni M\u00fcsavat\u201d Media Qrupu<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A\u011f Evin yaln\u0131z C\u0259nubi Qafqaza yerl\u0259\u015fm\u0259kl\u0259 kifay\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini el\u0259 indid\u0259n t\u0259xmin etm\u0259k olar, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla AB\u015e n\u00f6vb\u0259ti m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 daha iki \u00f6n\u0259mli regiona da n\u00fcfuz etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq… Tramp administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n yeni C\u0259nubi Qafqaz siyas\u0259ti X\u0259z\u0259ryan\u0131 v\u0259 Orta Asiya regionlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k taleyinin d\u0259 indi m\u0259hz bu strateji m\u0259kanda h\u0259ll olundu\u011funu ehtimal etm\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir… C\u0259nubi Qafqaz d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259n \u00f6n\u0259mli regionlar\u0131ndan birin\u0259 \u00e7evrilm\u0259k \u00fczr\u0259dir. Bel\u0259 ki, indi bu region qlobal r\u0259qab\u0259tin \u0259sas m\u0259kanlar\u0131ndan biridur. 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