{"id":825976,"date":"2025-09-12T20:22:49","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T16:22:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=825976"},"modified":"2025-09-12T20:22:49","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T16:22:49","slug":"rusiya-z%c9%99ng%c9%99zur-d%c9%99hlizin%c9%99-hucum-plani-qurur-tramp-korpusund%c9%99-yeni-qafqaz-savasi-baslamaq-uzr%c9%99dir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arantv.az\/?p=825976","title":{"rendered":"Rusiya Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizin\u0259 h\u00fccum plan\u0131 qurur: “Tramp k\u00f6rp\u00fcs\u00fc”nd\u0259 yeni Qafqaz sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flamaq \u00fczr\u0259dir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rusiya indi r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vandan izahat t\u0259l\u0259b etm\u0259kl\u0259, h\u0259m Erm\u0259nistana, h\u0259m d\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q t\u0259hdid mesaj\u0131 g\u00f6nd\u0259rir… Kreml C\u0259nubi Qafqazda n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin Rusiyan\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131 olmadan a\u00e7\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 diqt\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r…<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ukraynada i\u00e7ind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131lmaz “sava\u015f bataql\u0131\u011f\u0131”na sal\u0131nm\u0131\u015f Rusiyan\u0131n qlobal m\u00f6vqel\u0259ri art\u0131q ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 sars\u0131laraq, z\u0259ifl\u0259yib. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, Kreml haz\u0131rda Rusiyan\u0131n b\u0259zi regionlarda geopolitik maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 qorumaqda a\u00e7\u0131q-a\u015fkar \u00e7\u0259tinlik \u00e7\u0259kir. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259, postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131nda Rusiya art\u0131q hegemon h\u0259rbi-siyasi g\u00fcc m\u0259rk\u0259zi statusunu itirm\u0259k \u00fczr\u0259dir. V\u0259 bu, Rusiyan\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqazda geostrateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131yan geoiqtisadi layih\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n k\u0259narda qalmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ehtimallar\u0131 da g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Onu da qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, Kremld\u0259 indi Rusiyan\u0131n Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizind\u0259 i\u015ftirakdan k\u0259narda qalmas\u0131 olduqca ciddi t\u0259\u015fvi\u015f do\u011furub. \u00c7\u00fcnki Rusiya siyasi dair\u0259l\u0259ri art\u0131q anlay\u0131rlar ki, Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi C\u0259nubi Qafqazda yeni geopolitik d\u00fcz\u0259nin formala\u015fmas\u0131nda \u0259sas t\u0259yinedici mexanizm rolunu oynay\u0131r. Rusiya bu layih\u0259d\u0259n k\u0259narda qalarsa, C\u0259nubi Qafqaz Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259mi\u015f\u0259lik itirilmi\u015f regiona \u00e7evril\u0259 bil\u0259r. V\u0259 bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n d\u0259, Kreml isterik v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 h\u0259m Az\u0259rbaycana, h\u0259m d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistana Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 t\u0259zyiq g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, Kremlin r\u0259smi Bak\u0131ya t\u0259zyiq c\u0259hdl\u0259ri h\u0259l\u0259lik tamamil\u0259 iflasa u\u011framaqda davam edir. \u00c7\u00fcnki Az\u0259rbaycan art\u0131q Rusiyadan as\u0131l\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 deyil. H\u0259tta indi Az\u0259rbaycan Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259l\u00e7atmaz d\u00f6vl\u0259tdir. \u00dcst\u0259lik, r\u0259smi Bak\u0131 m\u00f6vcud imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 tam d\u0259qiqliyi il\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndirm\u0259kl\u0259, Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycana qar\u015f\u0131 t\u0259zyiq mexanizml\u0259rini iflasa u\u011frama\u011f\u0131 bacar\u0131r. V\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycana t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k imkanlar\u0131 olmayan Rusiya indi b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259zyiq g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc Erm\u0259nistana y\u00f6n\u0259ltm\u0259k m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 qal\u0131b.<\/p>\n

\"0fb43174b85d09d7759ddd70b8d38996.jpg<\/p>\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, Kreml Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vandan israrla izahat t\u0259l\u0259b etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Kremli narahat ed\u0259n \u0259sas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 odur ki, Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizinin i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Rusiya AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0259v\u0259zl\u0259nib. Y\u0259ni, Rusiya bu qlobal \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli regional layih\u0259d\u0259n k\u0259narla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131b. V\u0259 bu add\u0131m\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131nda is\u0259 m\u0259hz Rusiyan\u0131n h\u0259rbi m\u00fctt\u0259fiqi Erm\u0259nistan x\u00fcsusi rol oynay\u0131b, AB\u015e-\u0131n Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi layih\u0259sin\u0259 daxil olmas\u0131na nail olub.<\/p>\n

Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, Rusiya Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin s\u00f6z\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc Mariya Zaxarovan\u0131n bu bar\u0259d\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda yeni geopolitik g\u0259rginliyin anonsu kimi d\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndiril\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u00c7\u00fcnki o, bildirib ki, Rusiya Erm\u0259nistanla n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 dialoqu davam etdirm\u0259kd\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r. Eyni zamanda, Mariya Zaxarova a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 vur\u011fulay\u0131b ki, \u201cTramp mar\u015frutu\u201d (Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi) il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 yaln\u0131z konkret detallar t\u0259qdim olunduqdan sonra m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259ni anlamaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacaq. V\u0259 bu, \u0259slind\u0259, Rusiyan\u0131n \u0130r\u0259vandan ciddi izahat g\u00f6zl\u0259diyi dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n

Maraql\u0131d\u0131r ki, Erm\u0259nistan ictimaiyy\u0259tind\u0259 v\u0259 Q\u0259rb siyasi dair\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 son vaxtlar Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 \u201cTramp mar\u015frutu\u201d ifad\u0259si x\u00fcsusi olaraq, m\u00fczakir\u0259 edilir. Bu geoiqtisadi layih\u0259d\u0259 AB\u015e-\u0131n birba\u015fa i\u015ftirak\u0131 Tramp adminstrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqaz il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 daha uzaqged\u0259n strateji planlar qurmas\u0131 kimi izah olunur. Q\u0259rb\u0259 inteqrasiya kursu y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u0259n r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n Rusiyanin n\u0259zar\u0259tind\u0259n k\u0259nar alternativ iqtisadi-ticari mar\u015frutlar axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131 A\u011f Evin strateji h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259rin\u0259 paralellik t\u0259\u015fkil edir. V\u0259 bu is\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n strateji maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259, bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259c\u0259k m\u0259qamd\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\"d153e5d779b0c7a828d807040622cd29.jpg<\/p>\n

Rusiya C\u0259nubi Qafqazda n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rini yaln\u0131z iqtisadi layih\u0259 kimi g\u00f6rm\u00fcr. Kreml \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu, h\u0259m d\u0259 regiona geopolitik n\u0259zar\u0259t al\u0259tidir. 2020-ci ilin 10 noyabr b\u0259yanat\u0131ndan sonra Kreml Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 faktiki n\u0259zar\u0259tini t\u0259min etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rd\u0131. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259diyi alternativ \u201cTramp mar\u015frutu\u201d variant\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259tirm\u0259si is\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n bu plan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131radan \u00e7\u0131xartm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n

D\u00fczd\u00fcr, Rusiya Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin r\u0259smi t\u0259msil\u00e7isi Mariya Zaxarovan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131qlamas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131q s\u0259rtlik m\u00f6vcud deyil. Ancaq bu a\u00e7\u0131qlamada Rusiyan\u0131n ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 q\u0131c\u0131qland\u0131\u011f\u0131 biruz\u0259 verilir. Onun \u201c\u0130zahat g\u00f6zl\u0259yirik\u201d mesaj\u0131 is\u0259 \u0259slind\u0259, Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259tin\u0259 dolay\u0131s\u0131 x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131qd\u0131r. V\u0259 r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vana Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 Rusiya yoxsa, AB\u015e-\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131na y\u00f6n\u0259lik variantlardan hans\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7m\u0259li oldu\u011funu diqt\u0259 etm\u0259k c\u0259hdidir.<\/p>\n

Halbuki, Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259ti uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n dikt\u0259 etdiyi \u201ckommunikasiya a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d modelini q\u0259bul etm\u0259k ist\u0259m\u0259diyini q\u0259tiyy\u0259n gizl\u0259tmir. \u00c7\u00fcnki bu halda, h\u0259m Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259siri daha da artacaq. Alternativ mar\u015frut ideyalar\u0131 \u2014 ist\u0259r \u201cTramp mar\u015frutu\u201d, ist\u0259rs\u0259 d\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259diyi Br\u00fcssel platformas\u0131 is\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n manevr m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 imkan ver\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bu siyas\u0259tl\u0259 r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van h\u0259m Q\u0259rb\u0259 loyal g\u00f6rs\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiya qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u0259lav\u0259 r\u0131\u00e7aq \u0259ld\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. V\u0259 bu balans oyunu Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259l\u0259lik \u00e7ox risklidir.<\/p>\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, Kremlin C\u0259nubi Qafqazda n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini yaln\u0131z Rusiyanin i\u015ftirak\u0131 il\u0259 legitim hesab etm\u0131si v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 q\u0259lizl\u0259\u015fdirir. \u00c7\u00fcnki Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Q\u0259rb\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lik t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259ri Rusiyan\u0131n t\u0259sir dair\u0259sinin \u0259ridilm\u0259si prosesinin t\u0259rkib hiss\u0259sidir. V\u0259 bu, Rusiyani Erm\u0259nistana s\u0259rt t\u0259zyiq metodlar\u0131 axtarma\u011fa s\u00f6vq edir.<\/p>\n

\"5dc10b64f99e682b9e48220cc22e09e8.jpg<\/p>\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb Erm\u0259nistan\u0131 regionda \u201cgeopolitik laboratoriya\u201dya \u00e7evirm\u0259kd\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259, \u201cTramp k\u00f6rp\u00fcs\u00fc\u201d il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 geoiqtisadi t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n AB\u015e-\u0131n yeni C\u0259nubi Qafqaz plan\u0131nda yer tutmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas ssenaridir. Bu, Rusiyan\u0131n b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259ki m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini daha da z\u0259ifl\u0259d\u0259 v\u0259 n\u00f6vb\u0259ti m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259, aradan qald\u0131ra bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fcy\u00fc kimi, \u201cTramp mar\u015frutu\u201d ifad\u0259si h\u0259l\u0259lik konkret layih\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7ox, geopolitik mexanizm xarakteri da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. Ancaq bu, art\u0131q indid\u0259n Rusiya v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda yeni g\u0259rginlik n\u00f6qt\u0259sin\u0259 \u00e7evrilib. Kreml indi r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vandan izahat t\u0259l\u0259b etm\u0259kl\u0259, h\u0259m Erm\u0259nistana, h\u0259m d\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q mesaj g\u00f6nd\u0259rir. V\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin Rusiyan\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131 olmadan a\u00e7\u0131la bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini t\u0259lqin etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bel\u0259 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r ki, haz\u0131rda Erm\u0259nistan balans oyunu apararaq, h\u0259m AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n t\u0259zyiql\u0259ri aras\u0131nda s\u0131x\u0131\u015fma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. \u00dcst\u0259lik, m\u00f6vcud situasiyada r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259van\u0131n manevr m\u0259kan\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259k \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, daha da darala bil\u0259r. V\u0259 ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, indi Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Kremlin t\u0259hdidkar t\u0259zyiql\u0259rind\u0259n yay\u0131nmas\u0131 AB\u015e-\u0131n Rusiyan\u0131 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131n “Tramp k\u00f6rp\u00fcs\u00fc”nd\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 at\u0131b-atmayaca\u011f\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq.<\/p>\n

El\u00e7in XAL\u0130DB\u018fYL\u0130,
\nSiyasi ekspert,
\n“Yeni M\u00fcsavat” Media Qrupu<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusiya indi r\u0259smi \u0130r\u0259vandan izahat t\u0259l\u0259b etm\u0259kl\u0259, h\u0259m Erm\u0259nistana, h\u0259m d\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Q\u0259rb\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q t\u0259hdid mesaj\u0131 g\u00f6nd\u0259rir… Kreml C\u0259nubi Qafqazda n\u0259qliyyat-kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin Rusiyan\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131 olmadan a\u00e7\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 diqt\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r… Ukraynada i\u00e7ind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131lmaz “sava\u015f bataql\u0131\u011f\u0131”na sal\u0131nm\u0131\u015f Rusiyan\u0131n qlobal m\u00f6vqel\u0259ri art\u0131q ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 sars\u0131laraq, z\u0259ifl\u0259yib. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, Kreml haz\u0131rda Rusiyan\u0131n b\u0259zi regionlarda geopolitik maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 qorumaqda a\u00e7\u0131q-a\u015fkar \u00e7\u0259tinlik \u00e7\u0259kir. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 d\u0259, postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131nda Rusiya art\u0131q hegemon h\u0259rbi-siyasi g\u00fcc m\u0259rk\u0259zi statusunu itirm\u0259k \u00fczr\u0259dir. V\u0259 bu, Rusiyan\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqazda geostrateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131yan geoiqtisadi layih\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n k\u0259narda qalmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 ehtimallar\u0131 da g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir. 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